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Mavericks vs Thunder Prediction, Odds and NBA Picks Thursday, March 14

Thursday night’s Western Conference showdown at the Paycom Center will see the second-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder hosting the eighth-seeded Dallas Mavericks in a matchup that could foreshadow a playoff series. The Thunder, battling for the top position in the West, face a Mavericks team on a hot streak, making this game a top option to bet online on Thursday.

In this critical matchup, the third in their seasonal series, the Thunder look to even the score, currently standing at 1-1 against the Mavericks, especially after an embarrassing 146-111 defeat in their last meeting. However, the Mavericks face their own challenge: They may be without star player Luka Doncic.

Mavericks vs Thunder Predictions, Odds and Picks Thursday, March 14
Mavericks vs Thunder Predictions, Odds and Picks Thursday, March 14

Due to a hamstring strain, Doncic left Wednesday’s 109-99 victory against the Golden State Warriors in the fourth quarter. Post-game, Dallas coach Jason Kidd expressed uncertainty regarding Doncic’s ability to play on Thursday. This casts doubt on any NBA expert picks that side with Dallas.

The Thunder, wrapping up a four-game homestand, seeks to rebound from a recent 121-111 loss to the Indiana Pacers. With a fully healthy lineup led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, OKC is ready to assert dominance and avenge last month’s hefty loss.


Mavericks vs Thunder Game Information

  • Game: Mavericks (38-28) vs Thunder (45-20)
  • Start Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
  • Day Game: Thursday, Mar 14
  • Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
  • Mavericks vs Thunder Live Stream: NBA Game Pass


The Dallas Mavericks (38-28) travel to Oklahoma City to face the Thunder (45-20) on Thursday at Paycom Center. The game will start at 10 p.m. ET and be broadcast on NBA TV and TNT.


Mavericks vs Thunder Head-to-Head


Mavericks vs Thunder Odds and Spreads


  • The Mavericks are 4-0 against the NBA spread in their last four after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • The Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5.
  • The Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.
  • The Thunder are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • The Over is 6-0 in Thunder’s last six vs. a team with a winning straight-up record.
  • The Over is 4-0 in Thunder’s last four games following a double-digit loss at home.
  • The Over is 4-0 in Thunder’s last four games as a home underdog of 0.5-4.5.
  • The Under is 3-0-1 in Thunder’s last four games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5.
  • The Under is 4-0 in the Thunder’s last four games as a home favorite.


Mavericks vs Thunder ATS Pick: Thunder -11

Oklahoma City is poised to beat the spread in this matchup, looking to overturn its recent defeat to Dallas with a strong home performance. Despite the previous setback, the Thunder’s well-rounded offense and defense are set for a turnaround. The Thunder are primed and healthy, determined to prevent a repeat of the last game’s outcome.

Holding one of the NBA’s top home records contrasts sharply with Dallas’s noted road challenges, hinting at a tough game ahead for the Mavericks. Oklahoma City’s balanced attack in both the frontcourt and backcourt positions them well for victory. Previously, the Thunder had a streak of covering the spread in seven consecutive encounters with Dallas, and they’re likely to return to this form during the rematch, securing a significant home victory.

I don’t usually make NBA picks against the spread when the line is this high, but with Luka Magic banged up, expect the Thunder to roll.



Mavericks vs Thunder Player Prop Pick: Lu Dort Over 2.5 Threes Made +127

Lu Dort stands out as an unsung hero for the Oklahoma City Thunder in what’s shaping up to be a remarkable season for the team. Now in his fifth year, Dort has hit a career milestone, shooting an impressive 41.2% from beyond the arc. He has significantly contributed to the team’s success while maintaining his role as the primary defensive anchor each game, making him a very juicy bet online in this game.

In recent performances, Dort has been remarkably proficient from long range, hitting three or more 3-pointers in four of his last six games, demonstrating consistent shooting prowess.

Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks have shown vulnerabilities, allowing the third-highest points per 100 possessions since the All-Star break. Their defensive lapses, particularly around the 3-point line, result in numerous rotations and often leave opponents open.


Mavericks vs Thunder Prediction

Thunder 122, Mavericks 110



Questions Of The Day

Who are the favored players to lead in scoring for the Mavericks and Thunder?

Luka Doncic is on the NBA odds board despite being injured with an O/U of 34.5 points. For the Thunder, Shai Gilgeous Alexander’s NBA line is 31.5.

What is an alternate NBA betting prop for LAC vs OKC?

With Dallas’ poor perimeter defense, another NBA betting option is to take Shai Gilgeous Alexander to go Over 1.5 made threes.


The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.

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