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Home » NBA Betting » NBA Picks » Hawks Look to Survive vs Bucks

Hawks Look to Survive vs Bucks

Atlanta Battles Adversity With Young's Injury

Paolo Go by Paolo Go
Jun 28, 2021, 3:21pm ET
in NBA Picks
Milwaukee Bucks at Atlanta Hawks NBA

Todd Kirkland/Getty Images/AFP

They’ve been here not too long ago. The Atlanta Hawks head to Game 4 looking to tie the series against the Milwaukee Bucks. They’ll be +235 online betting underdogs and are +800 to come back and win the series like they did against the Philadelphia 76ers.

Milwaukee got dominant performances from its stars and the Hawks’ leading man, Trae Young, hurt his ankle. Overlooking the Hawks now will be a mistake. But overcoming Young’s injury and a bigger Bucks team will be a tall task indeed.

Bucks: Get Inside and Dominate

It took an injury to Young for the Milwaukee Bucks to hit another gear and pull away in the fourth. But they’ll take it. Khris Middleton erupted and scored 20 of his 38 points in the fourth quarter, hitting eight of his 13 field goals.

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Middleton needed to step up in a big way after averaging just 15 points in the previous two games. He also hit six three-pointers and pulled down 11 boards. It was a compelling performance from the Bucks’ second-best player and a positive sign if this indicates he’s turning a corner.

Giannis Antetokounmpo added 33 points and forward/center Bobby Portis chipped in 15 as the Bucks kept afloat until Middleton’s explosion. Still, Milwaukee was neck-and-neck with Atlanta, thanks to getting outshot from deep. But if Young continues to be hobbled, Milwaukee can continue to pound the undersized Hawks from the inside.

Hawks: Young and Restless

If the fourth quarter was a sign of things to come, then the Atlanta Hawks are in big trouble. That might be why the NBA betting lines have heavily shifted toward Milwaukee for the series.

Young was doing his thing against Milwaukee and had 32 points until he stepped on a referee’s foot and hurt his ankle. He only scored three in the final quarter as the Hawks fell apart and hit just seven of their 18 field goal attempts while having as many turnovers as assists.

The good news is that Young will still play on Tuesday. But the bad news is that he will be hampered and for a player that relies on his quickness and foot work to create, that is dire news indeed. With Young at less than 100 percent, Atlanta needs to find other ways to create. The likes of guard Kevin Huerter and forward John Collins need to step up.

Pick: Towering Over Opposition

The Atlanta Hawks got crushed in Game 2 and lost a tough one in Game 3 following Young’s injury. Just when they regained the momentum in the series, it got taken from them by a freak accident. But Atlanta isn’t one to dwell on misfortune.

The Hawks are tough and can fight back. But they’ll need to learn to do the scoring beyond Young. Atlanta scored just 17 points in the fourth with a hobbled Young. Jrue Holiday and the larger Bucks were able to control them.

But if Young can fight through the pain and create just enough for the Hawks, they will be lively underdogs. As phenomenal as Young and the Hawks have been, the Bucks are also experienced and gritty playoff veterans. They will take this opportunity to continue attacking and dominating Atlanta like they did in the fourth.

Pick: Milwaukee Bucks -275

Bonus Pick: Defending Home

Games at the State Farm Arena have been low-scoring. The Hawks have kept the totals under for 24 of their 42 home games this season and that includes three of their last four home games. Each team has also had the totals go under in seven of their last ten games.

With a hurt Young, Atlanta will focus its efforts on stopping the Bucks, who have also struggled to shoot the rock consistently.

Pick: Totals – Under 220

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Paolo Go

Paolo Go

As a long-time Toronto Raptors and Buffalo Bills fan, Go Paolo knows that every dog gets its day. Paolo fancies himself as an underdog in the sports betting world as he does not come from a traditional sports background. He did not become a hardcore sports fan until his freshman days in college studying Mass Media and Communications. While he played basketball and trained in martial arts, Paolo sees himself more as a nerd who cut his teeth in sports analysis by dropping truth bombs and stone-cold facts against crazed fans from online message boards. It was here he caught the attention of several sports journalists and website owners who gave him his start as a sportswriter. He has since published with the likes of Sportsnet and FanSided and has been writing about sports betting for over five years. Paolo is thrilled to continue covering sports and cannot wait to unearth more underdogs and unconventional winners.

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