Whether you are a fan of the NBA In-Season Tournament or not, we are on to the second round. Last week, we saw the Boston Celtics, Milwaukee Bucks, New York Knicks, and Indiana Pacers secure spots in the quarterfinals representing the Eastern Conference. The Phoenix Suns, Los Angeles Lakers, Sacramento Kings, and New Orleans Pelicans also advanced in the Western Conference bracket. According to the latest NBA Las Vegas odds, the Boston Celtics are the favorites to win the Tournament. We have two quarterfinal matchups set to tip off on Monday, and I’m back to deliver the NBA betting picks for them.
We are nearly a quarter of the way into the season, so we have some new trends developing from every team. Some teams are off to slow starts and some surprising ones but, as always, there are plenty of player props to select from. The pair of In-Season Tournament games on Monday feature the Indiana Pacers hosting the Boston Celtics, and it will be followed by the Sacramento Kings hosting the New Orleans Pelicans. Last week, our NBA player prop bets went 5-4 for a small profit; let’s build on that on Monday night.
The TNT doubleheader tips off in Indiana, where the Celtics (15-4) are 5½-point favorites over the Pacers (10-8). The Celtics are riding a three-game winning streak, and the first time these two faced off this season, Boston destroyed the Pacers 155-104. The second game features the Kings (11-7) at home against the surging Pelicans (11-10). Sacramento is currently a 3½-point favorite, and this will mark the third time these two have faced off this season. The Pelicans won both prior matchups at home.
The Elite Eight of the NBA’s In-Season Tournament is set. pic.twitter.com/mni3Pi2TOY
— Adrian Wojnarowski (@wojespn) November 29, 2023
You may be familiar with my NFL picks, and I handicap the NBA player prop market similarly. My research will always back up the reasoning behind my NBA prop bets. Now that the stage is set, let’s dive into Monday’s best NBA basketball picks. Best of luck if you tail!
Here’s a look at some NBA betting to consider!
Monday’s Best NBA Player Props
Tyrese Haliburton Under 27.5 Points
Tyrese Haliburton sat out the Pacers’ last game, but he should be back in the lineup for Monday’s showdown. Haliburton has been playing some of the best basketball of his career so far this season. Over his last five games, he has averaged 34.6 points. So why in the world do I like the under?
Haliburton will be defended by Jrue Holiday. He is one of the most underrated defenders of this generation. Holiday and Haliburton have matched up three times in the past, and Haliburton finished with 12, 24, and 17 points. The total for this game suggests there will be plenty of points, but I believe it will have more intensity. Haliburton has gone under this line in three of his last four games against the Celtics, and now Boston has Holiday to deploy against him. The Pacers’ point guard is also dealing with an upper respiratory infection that could also hamper him. Sign me up on the under.
Tyrese Haliburton (upper respiratory infection) is questionable for Monday’s quarterfinal game v Celtics. I expect him to play. Jalen Smith remains out.
Kristaps Porzingis is out for the Celtics.
— Scott Agness (@ScottAgness) December 3, 2023
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Zion Williamson Over 23.5 Points
While many people are sprinting to get in Brandon Ingram’s props on Monday night, I’m pivoting to Pelicans teammate Zion Williamson. Ingram’s splits this season with CJ McCollum have been poor, whereas Williamson has been unaffected. The former No. 1 overall pick is off to a great start this season. He has exceeded this line in seven of his last eight games, including both matchups in November versus the Kings.
Sacramento is allowing the 10th-most points per game in the paint. That is where Williamson eats. Overall, the Kings’ defense is the ninth-worst in the NBA so far this season, allowing 116.7 points per game. The Kings have struggled to defend power forwards, allowing the seventh-most points per game to the position. A significant reason is the Kings’ lack of size in the frontcourt other than Domantas Sabonis. Williamson’s ability to get to the free throw line could ultimately be the difference in this game. The Kings allow the 10th-most free throw attempts per game and, very quietly, Williamson is averaging the ninth-most free throw attempts per game in the NBA.
Questions of the Day
What is the most popular and profitable NBA player prop tonight?
The most profitable NBA player prop is Zion Williamson’s points total tonight.
With Giannis Antetokounmpo's consistent rebounding prowess, is his over/under for rebounds a reliable bet?
The matchup should always be taken into consideration when wagering a player prop. A player like Giannis Antetokounmpo can be consistent, but if he faces a tough rebounding team, it is not always a reliable bet.
The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.