The NBA’s In-Season Tournament’s final night of group play took place Tuesday and it created one of the wilder November evenings the league has ever seen. Some wondered if that was a good thing, given the fact that it forced teams to run up the score. Others loved the opportunity to scoreboard watch on what usually is a relatively mundane time of year in the NBA.
For our purposes, it was a difficult night to digest as point spreads were destroyed and several teams waved the white flag early. Now that it’s out of the way, we can turn our attention to just a regular old evening in The Association and try to put together the NBA best bet for Nov. 29, delivered below in another parlay offering.
The Elite Eight of the NBA’s In-Season Tournament is set. pic.twitter.com/mni3Pi2TOY
— Adrian Wojnarowski (@wojespn) November 29, 2023
Here’s a look at some NBA betting to consider!
Take the Rockets to Stay Close in Denver…
This one bears monitoring. The Nuggets were without Nikola Jokic and Aaron Gordon when they played the Los Angeles Clippers on Monday, surviving their absences against the brutal Clips.
Both are questionable for this one and Jambal Murray remains sidelined, so we don’t know what sort of lineup Michael Malone will utilize. Keep an eye on the NBA news cycle for updates.
Here’s the thing. Even if Jokic and/or Gordon are able to suit up, we like the Rockets to make it a game. They’ve already defeated the Nuggets twice, including a 19-point rout just a few days ago, and are 10-4-1 against the spread on the season.
But Denver is 8-0 at home and Houston is 0-6 on the road, you say. Yep, we’re aware. At some point that will change, and all we need is for the Rockets to stay within a couple of possessions. Their last five road losses have come by four points, six, one, five, and six. Nobody is running away from Houston, and unlike the Nuggets, the Rockets are perhaps the healthiest team out there with no major injury concerns.
There is the issue of Houston finishing up a road back-to-back in the thin air of Denver. However, it had three full days off before beginning the double dip Tuesday in Dallas. And the Nuggets are playing for the third time in four nights.
A lot to take in, but when the dust settles we think it will at least be a close one. If you’re scared off by these many factors, consider the under – these teams are a combined 11-22 against the over. Or put them both on your NBA picks and parlay sheet.
NBA Parlay Pick: Houston Rockets +7
…And Take the Wizards (yes, the Wizards) in Orlando
We’re not taking Washington, with just three wins all season, to get a victory at Orlando, which has won seven straight. On paper, this is a massive mismatch deserving of a double-digit spread.
However, we do see the Wizards doing just enough to cover. They won easily at Detroit the other night. That’s a very different opponent, but consider that it came on the heels of several tight road games for Washington. Its previous five roadies included a three-point loss at Milwaukee, a three-point loss at Charlotte, a four-point loss at Toronto, an eight-point loss at Brooklyn, and a 16-point win at Charlotte.
Through it all, the Wizards have compiled the best against-the-spread road record in the league at 7-3. Yes, the Magic have the best against-the-spread home record (8-1) and have been very impressive on their current homestand. Not a lot of science here, it just feels like the former trend is going to win out in this one and Washington keeps it interesting.
NBA Parlay Pick: Washington Wizards +10
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…And Expect Some Low Scoring in Detroit
Over the past five games, the Los Angeles Lakers have made an average of only 8.8 3-pointers per game at a 31% clip. That 8.8 figure is the second-lowest during that span in the NBA. The lowest belongs to the Detroit Pistons, who have made 8.0 in a five-game stretch, making a league-low 29% along the way.
Indeed, these are teams that don’t necessarily wow anyone on the offensive end. They can have bursts (LA has hit the 120-point mark six times, Detroit has … um … once), but many nights involve some underwhelming offensive numbers.
The Lakers have been held to 110 or fewer in 12 of their 18 games. The Pistons average just 109.6 overall. The Las Vegas odds have the over/under at 229½. That just feels a bit high for a game that could resemble a rock fight.
Also, throw in the fact that both teams are beginning back-to-backs and might be careful with the minutes for some of their key players (particularly on the Los Angeles side). That might make for some clunky stretches.
NBA Parlay Pick: Lakers-Pistons Under 229½ points
Questions Of The Day
How do you place an NBA parlay?
You put together an NBA bet slip at our odds page with multiple picks. All have to come to fruition for the ticket to pay off, so the odds are steep but the payout can be pretty special.
Which NBA team has the best opportunity to win this season?
Boston has the best record in the league and looks the part.