Nuggets vs Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds for NBA Semifinals Game 7

It’s Game 7 time in Oklahoma City and the NBA lines are stacked in the Thunder’s favor. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Nikola Jokic headline this high-stakes clash with the Thunder as 8-point favorites and -330 on the moneyline vs the Denver Nuggets.

The NBA futures odds market is shifting as the expected top two finishers in this season’s MVP race square off.

Let’s break down the matchup, with a side, total and three top NBA player props to bet.

Nuggets vs Thunder Prediction

This Denver squad is built for Game 7s. Jokic is playing at an MVP level and the Thunder’s youth may finally crack under pressure. Despite OKC’s elite defense, Denver’s experience and efficiency — No. 1 in FG%, assists and paint scoring — give the Nuggets the edge. If Jamal Murray gets going early, it’s trouble for OKC. At +270 on the moneyline, this is a live underdog spot and a sharp way to attack the NBA playoff series odds.

Nuggets 107, Thunder 102

Nuggets vs Thunder Best NBA Player Props Today

• Nikola Jokic Over 29.5 Points (-113)

Jokic is averaging 29.8 PPG in this series and has a good habit of going for 30+ in elimination games. He’s going to log 40+ minutes and handle every offensive possession. OKC’s one weak spot is size, and Jokic is smart enough to exploit it. This is the easiest lean of all our NBA player props today. He’s scoring 30+ or Denver’s toast.

Disgusting foul from Nikola Jokic. No place in the league for this! pic.twitter.com/eLvujeFX9W

— Barstool Sports (@barstoolsports) May 16, 2025

• Jamal Murray Under 4.5 Rebounds (-143)

Murray averages just 3.9 RPG and faces the NBA’s No. 1 rebounding defense. With OKC’s guards pushing pace and Chet Holmgren/Isaiah Hartenstein boxing out, there won’t be many boards falling his way. Murray is focused on offense in crunch time, and in a low-possession game, the Under is the value.

• Jalen Williams Over 4.5 Assists (-141)

Jalen Williams has quietly averaged 5.1 APG, and OKC leads the league in assists-to-turnover ratio. Williams will be the outlet, and Denver will pack the lane to stop Shai. His vision has grown all postseason, and he’s had 5+ dimes in 6 of his last 8. Ride the trend with one of the better NBA expert picks of the day.

Bet These Nuggets vs Thunder Player Props Here

Nuggets vs Thunder Moneyline Pick

The Nuggets at +270 is an early Christmas gift from BetUS Sportsbook, and I’m all in on an outright upset in Game 7. Are the Thunder a better team on paper? Yeah, sure. But that hasn’t stopped the Nuggets from winning three of the six games in this series so far. So why not be confident in them to at least compete here? With the NBA line at nearly 3/1, I see no reason to bet on the Thunder to win this game outright.

Bet on Denver Nuggets ML +270

Nuggets vs Thunder Spread Pick

Despite covering the spread in five of the six games in this series, the Nuggets are again rather heavy underdogs at +8 in Game 7. I’m not passing that price up. These teams are a lot closer of a matchup than the bookmakers seem to believe, and the Nuggets’ taking this series to Game 7 is proof of that in my eyes. Kudos if you picked Denver early on in the NBA playoff series odds.

Bet on Denver Nuggets +8 ATS (-110)

Nuggets vs Thunder Over/Under Pick

Denver plays at a slow pace, ranks No. 22 in opponent scoring, and struggles to shoot from three (bottom 5 in 3PM). OKC can run, but they’ve leaned on defense in the playoffs. With Game 7 nerves, tight rotations and teams ranked top-10 in defensive efficiency, this one has rock fight potential. Don’t buy the NBA latest news hype about scoring explosions — this game screams Under.

Bet on Nuggets vs Thunder Under 213.5

Nuggets vs Thunder How to Watch

• Game: Nuggets (50-32) vs Thunder (68-14)
• Time/Date: 3:30 p.m. ET, Sunday, May 18
• Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
• Nuggets vs Thunder Live Stream:NBA League Pass

Find the latest Nuggets vs Thunder betting trends here

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Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.

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