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Nuggets to Cover Spread vs Trail Blazers

This could be a trap game if the Denver Nuggets played anyone else. The All-Star break just ended and the Nuggets have a home-road back-to-back, which should affect betting lines for the NBA. However, they are facing the Portland Trail Blazers, a team with the fifth-worst record in the league.

In the Nuggets’ first game of this back-to-back, they hosted the Washington Wizards, winning easily 130-110. This will be the Trail Blazers‘ first game back from the break, which might lead to a slow start.

Nuggets to Cover Spread vs Trail Blazers
Nuggets to Cover Spread vs Trail Blazers

Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Game Information

1. Game: Nuggets (37-19) vs Trail Blazers (15-39)
2. Start time: 10:00 p.m. ET
3. Day Game: Friday, Feb. 23.
4. Location: Moda Center, Portland, OR
5. Team vs team Live Stream: NBA Game Pass

 

The Nuggets slumped into the All-Star break, losing three straight. However, the Trail Blazers lost the last six games before the break and failed to cover basketball point spreads over the previous four.

Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Head-to-Head

Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Odds and Spreads

  • Nuggets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 11.0 or greater.
  • Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5.
  • Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5.
  • Under is 6-0 in Trail Blazers last 6 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-0-1 in Nuggets last 6 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5.
  • Under is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5.
  • Under is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 games as a road favorite of 11.0 or greater.
  • Under is 7-1 in Nuggets last 8 road games.

Nuggets vs Trail Blazers ATS Pick: Nuggets -9½

Over this six-game losing streak, the Trail Blazers have only covered the first two NBA spreads. The interesting thing about that is that they faced the Nuggets in both games, and the spread was set in double digits.

That theoretically could shift NBA picks toward the Trail Blazers, having just recently covered against the Nuggets in back-to-back games on Feb.2 and Feb.4, but the lines were set at 14 and 15. The Trail Blazers still lost 120-108 and 112-103.

The Nuggets are the better team, and their pre-All-Star Weekend slump in which they lost three straight could be more due to the defending champions being fatigued and needing the break. The team will round into form now that play is starting again, and that was pretty clear in the dominating win over the Wizards.

Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Over/Under Pick: Under 219

Despite having Nikola Jokić, who is in the running for the MVP, the Nuggets have not consistently blown out teams. Part of that is because the team plays through Jokić, who tends to run the offense slowly. Denver averages 113.9 points, ranking 19th, but has the 13th-best offensive rating at 117.9 per 100 minutes.

On top of that, NBA lines were already leaning towards the Nuggets to hit the under before the All-Star break. They hit the under in eight of the 10 games leading up to the break. Furthermore, the Nuggets only hit the over 41.5% of the time this season.

The Nuggets struggle to hit the over, and the Trail Blazers have their own issues on offense, leading to this game going under. Plus, the Trail Blazers are coming out of a week-long break, making the game feel like a solid option to be low-scoring.

Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Player Prop Pick: Nikola Jokić Under 47.5 Pts + Reb + Ast (-115)

While the Nuggets should win and cover the spread, that might have to do more with the Trail Blazers. That could lead to Jokic not fully playing his best game, which isn’t needed for the Nuggets to win this game. He should still have a significant statistical night with highly impactful minutes, but going over on his points+rebounds+assists seems unlikely.

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Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Prediction

Nuggets 113, Trail Blazers 102

 

 

Questions of the Day

Do the Nuggets have what it takes to be back-to-back NBA champions?


The Nuggets are still one of the best teams in the Western Conference, and they will always have a chance with Nikola Jokić on the roster.

How is the Trail Blazers' rebuild going?


This season for the Trail Blazers is a rebuild, but many veterans are still playing many minutes, which should shift now that the All-Star break is over.

 


The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.

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