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Pacers vs Thunder Prediction, Picks and 2025 NBA Finals Odds, Sunday, 6/22: Bet OKC ATS, Williams Over 4.5 Assists

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Oklahoma City Thunder
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Pacers vs Thunder Prediction, Picks and 2025 NBA Finals Odds, Sunday, 6/22
Jalen Williams #8 of the Oklahoma City Thunder/Matthew Stockman/Getty Images/AFP

 

 

Game 7 of the 2025 NBA Finals tips off Sunday night with the Oklahoma City Thunder laying 7.5 points at home to the Indiana Pacers. The total sits at 215, and Oklahoma City enters with the best home record in the league at 35-6. For anyone deep into NBA lines, this is where championship nerves and betting values collide.

Read on as I break down my top picks for the final showdown of the NBA playoffs betting slate for Sunday’s Game 7. We are including some of the sharpest NBA prop bets today.

 

Pacers vs Thunder NBA Finals Prediction

The Thunder have covered the spread in all three of their wins of this series, winning each of them by at least seven points. Their elite defense (first in opponent shooting percentage) has clamped down in every win, and Indiana hasn’t shot above 45% in any Oklahoma City victory. Trust the more complete team to finish the job at home, where they’ve been deadly.

 

Score Prediction: Thunder 110, Pacers 101

 

Pacers vs Thunder Best NBA Player Props Today

  • Jalen Williams Over 4.5 Assists (-110)

The Thunder’s Jalen Williams is averaging 4.9 assists this postseason and has one of the best assist-to-turnover ratios on the team. Indiana ranks just 19th in opponent assists per field goal made, and its help defense opens up plenty of kick-out opportunities. With Shai Gilgeous-Alexander drawing double-teams and Chet Holmgren spacing the floor, Williams should have ample chances to rack up five dimes in Game 7.

Bet on Jalen Williams Over 4.5 Assists (-107)

 

  • Isaiah Hartenstein Over 6.5 Rebounds (+102)

Isaiah Hartenstein is averaging 7.5 rebounds in the playoffs despite playing just 22.6 minutes per game. He’s pulled down at least seven boards in several tight matchups, and Indiana ranks 28th in total rebounds per game and 29th in defensive rebound rate. If Oklahoma City controls the glass like it has most of this series, Hartenstein should clear this number with time on the clock. Hartenstein is near the top of my top NBA prop picks for Game 7.

Bet on Isaiah Hartenstein Over 6.5 Rebounds (+102)

 

  • Aaron Nesmith Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made (-162)

The final of my NBA predictions for players is on Indiana’s Aaron Nesmith. He has made multiple 3-pointers in five of the last six games, shooting nearly 50% from deep in the postseason. The Pacers forward is playing around 28 minutes per night this postseason and gets plenty of kick-outs against a Thunder defense that dares shooters to beat them from outside.

Bet On Aaron Nesmith Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made (-162)

 

Pacers vs Thunder Moneyline Pick

Oklahoma City is 35-6 at home this season and has covered every win this series. With Gilgeous-Alexander running the show and the league’s top defense backing him, the Thunder are built to win low-scoring playoff games like this. Indiana has been scrappy, but Oklahoma City’s balance and pace should bring the title to the Thunder at home.

Bet on Thunder ML (-285)

 

Pacers vs Thunder Spread Pick

The Thunder have covered the spread in six of their last seven playoff wins, and they’ve done it comfortably, with three of those seven wins being by 25+ points. Their +11.6 average scoring margin ranks first in the NBA, and the Pacers’ offense struggles against top-tier perimeter defenses like this. At home, in Game 7, Oklahoma City rolls.

Bet on Thunder -7.5

 

Pacers vs Thunder Over/Under Pick

Four of the six games in this series have stayed under the total, including three of the last four. With the Pacers averaging just 100.7 points in their previous three losses and Oklahoma City’s defense ranking in the top three in points allowed, this one profiles as another low-scoring Finals finish. Make your bet online on the under.

Bet on Pacers vs Thunder Under 215 (-110)

 

Pacers vs Thunder How to Watch:

Game: Indiana Pacers (3-3) vs Oklahoma City Thunder (3-3)
Date/Time: Sunday, June 22, , 8:00 p.m. ET
Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
Pacers vs Thunder Live Stream: NBA League Pass

 

Check here for Pacers vs Thunder betting trends.

 

Looking for more ways to bet on NBA today’s games? BetUS has you covered with NBA first-quarter lines, NBA first-half lines, and NBA second-half lines. Head over to our sportsbook page to see all your options.

 

Pacers vs Thunder NBA FAQs

Is it worth betting the Thunder spread instead of the moneyline?


Yes. Oklahoma City has covered in all three wins this series, making the spread a better value play than the heavily juiced moneyline.

 

Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets

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