The Phoenix Suns and visiting Denver Nuggets open their seasons on Wednesday night at Footprint Center.
Denver is dealing with a few injury concerns, but the Suns are healthy and favored to win on opening night.
NBA betting odds have the Suns at -6 favorites, so there is plenty of confidence of a home victory. The teams met in the Western Conference semifinals last season, with the Suns sweeping the Nuggets in four games.
What Can Denver Deliver?
Like many bettors, we’re not sure what to expect from the Nuggets on opening night.
They have the potential to be a great team, but there is trepidation in betting markets, with the Nuggets paying +200 to win on the road.
The lack of betting confidence is a real concern, but if players like Michael Porter Jr. can rise to another level, they are a dangerous outfit.
Porter Jr. hasn’t had the easiest time of it, but his ceiling is higher than most.
“For me, I try to win a day at a time,” Porter told Sports Illustrated. “I read the Bible, so the Bible says don’t worry about tomorrow. Today has worries of its own.”
— Denver Nuggets (@nuggets) October 19, 2021
He has the backing of coach Michael Malone, who said Porter loves playing basketball.
“I don’t know what all the other coaches would say, but out of the 15 guys in their locker room, how many truly love the game?” asked Malone. “Michael Porter loves the game of basketball.”
Bettors get a +6-point head start with bookmakers, so it’s a sizable spread.
Phoenix Rising from Ashes
It has been a long and hard road back for the Suns, but after last season’s loss to the Bucks in the NBA Finals, there is considerable upside.
Some teams don’t handle losing in the Finals and can feel deflated, but there is no reason why the Suns can’t come out humming on Wednesday.
They have the players needed to win a championship, and if the likes of Devin Booker and Chris Paul match their 2020-21 efforts, the same result should apply.
Because there aren’t many changes to the roster, the Suns won’t need time to jell. They should be fit and ready to go, and the sportsbook confidence is a good sign.
— Phoenix Suns (@Suns) October 19, 2021
Bettors will have to take -240 in moneyline markets, which is a short line for a season opener. However, the Suns are in a better position to win, and we expect the line to hold steady.
Our only concern is the drama surrounding Deandre Ayton, who wasn’t given a max contract. Despite the rumor mill in full swing surrounding his contract negotiations, Ayton could prove a point on the court.
He is a dominant center, and if he’s anywhere near his best against the Nuggets, he could match Nikola Jokic. Slowing down the Nuggets’ best player won’t be easy, but what better way to make a statement?
Nuggets vs Suns Betting Trends
It’s not good news for the Nuggets, who are 0-4 against the spread in the last four meetings against the Suns.
They are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as an underdog, and the Suns are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a favorite.
The Suns are also 36-17 ATS in their last 53 home games overall, and 10-4 as a home favorite, so the betting trends are in their favor.
Nuggets vs Suns Pick
The Suns should prove tough to beat, but the biggest question is whether they can cover the six-point spread.
They looked good in preseason with three consecutive wins, so they should be ready to fire.
Denver is a team that can’t be overlooked, but with the home crowd in their favor, we’re expecting the Suns to come out red-hot.
It should be a high-scoring contest, and the Suns could score a double-digit victory. With this team having played together all last season, there should be no rusty basketball being played.