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Prop Up Trio of Timberwolves in Must-Win Game 4

The NBA playoffs have been a thrilling ride and I’ve been right there with you, delivering a remarkable 41– 26 record on player prop bets since the start of the playoffs. This consistent success is a testament to my research. We closed out Monday with another 2-1 night, and I’m eager to continue this winning streak tonight.

The Boston Celtics took care of business and defeated the Indiana Pacers to sweep the series and advance to the NBA Finals. This victory was not unexpected, considering the Pacers were without Tyrese Haliburton. Boston’s Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum soared over their props in the victory.

Prop Up Trio of Timberwolves in Must-Win Game 4
Luka Doncic #77 of the Dallas Mavericks/Cooper Neill/Getty Images/AFP

Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving will look to replicate what Boston did by completing the sweep of the Timberwolves tonight. The duo has delivered gut punch after gut punch to the Wolves in this series like Mike Tyson will do to Jake Paul in the boxing ring next month.

 


On Tuesday, the Western Conference Finals continue at 8:30 p.m. ET on TNT. Anthony Edwards and the Minnesota Timberwolves are desperate to avoid the sweep. My predictions have been red-hot and we’re coming off of another profitable season, so let’s keep things rolling with my best NBA player props for Tuesday’s Mavericks vs. Timberwolves.

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Best Player Props Mavericks vs. Timberwolves

Timberwolves C Rudy Gobert to Record a Double-Double (+100)

I like several player props ahead of tonight’s Game 4 matchup, but I absolutely love the price we’re getting on a Rudy Gobert double-double. I couldn’t talk you off backing Anthony Edwards to go over his 27½ points betting line with Minnesota’s back against the wall.

Instead, I’m opting to play things safer here and roll with the big Frenchman, Rudy Gobert, to finish with a double-double in Game 4. Gobert has posted decent stat lines through the series’ first three games. He finished with 12 points and seven rebounds in Game 1, 16 and 10 in Game 2 and just nine and six in Game 3.

Gobert has just five double-doubles in 13 playoff games thus far. However, I like his chances of stuffing the stat sheet against the Mavs. Gobert has an 8.8 +/- on the floor in the playoffs, which is the fourth-highest of any player in the NBA. Boston’s Jayson Tatum leads the playoffs at 10.1 +/-.

Gobert averaged 12.9 rebounds and 14 points this season. The Mavericks had a clear need for more size, and they addressed it at the trade deadline when they acquired Daniel Gafford from the Washington Wizards. Entering this series, Gobert had a double-double in seven of eight appearances against Gafford. The Mavs announced that rookie Derrick Lively will miss Game 4 after he was inadvertently hit in the head/neck in Game 3. This is a significant blow to the depth for Dallas in the frontcourt, potentially creating an opening for Gobert to dominate the glass.

Dallas allowed the third-most rebounds per game during the regular season despite adding Gafford and PJ Washington to the rotation. Gobert leads this series with 20.3 rebound chances per game. I trust Gobert to get the job done in Game 4 and be the anchor we’ve grown accustomed to watching.

 

Timberwolves SG Nickeil Alexander-Walker Over 3½ Points (-124)

As I mentioned, Minnesota is desperate to avoid going home. Nickeil Alexander-Walker is a crucial player off the bench for the Wolves. He played just 16 minutes in Game 1 and finished with two points on 1-of-6 from the field and 0-for-4 from 3-point land. In Game 2, he played 14 minutes but knocked down two shots from beyond the arc. In Game 3, he played for 20 minutes but scored just three points.

I expect the Wolves to come out early with desperation, and they will need NAW’s scoring off the bench. The Mavericks have a significant weakness in defending corner threes. They allowed the fourth-most corner threes made per game. NAW buried the most corner threes this season for the T-Wolves and shot a good percentage of 44.5%!

In Game 1, Jaden McDaniels was hot from the corner, which led to him pouring in 24 points. NAW can replicate this. He was over this line in 64 of 82 games during the regular season (78%) and has exceeded this number in 10 of 14 playoff games thus far. I’m expecting Alexander-Walker to have a bounce-back showing. Take NAW on the sportsbook to pour it in tonight.

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Timberwolves C Naz Reid Over 12½ Points

Our third and final bet tonight will be another Minnesota player coming off the bench. It’s the reigning Sixth Man of the Year, Naz Reid. As a fellow New Jerseyean, how can we not romanticize Naz Reid! He has been one of the few bright spots for the T-Wolves in this series, scoring 15, 24 and 14 points through the first three games. The Mavericks have already had no answer for Reid defensively when he comes into the game. Without Lively tonight, Reid should continue to pour it in.

He has played at least 24 minutes in each game of this series, and I expect that number to stay the same tonight. He scored at least 13 points in 37 of 44 games this season when he played at least 24 minutes (84%). He has scored at least 13 points in 11 of his last 12 games, playing at least 23 minutes.

Karl-Anthony Towns has been struggling in this series. He could bounce back tonight, but Reid has been electric for Minnesota, so I expect his minutes to remain in the mid-20s. Ride the hot hand with Naz Reid and watch him fly over this number again.

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Questions Of The Day

Who will record the most assists in tonight’s Mavericks vs. Timberwolves?


Luka Doncic is projected to record the most assists on Tuesday night when the Mavs battle the T-Wolves in Game 4.

What is the best NBA player prop bet on Tuesday night?


The best player prop bet on Tuesday night is Rudy Gobert to record a double-double in Game 4.

 


The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.

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