The San Antonio Spurs (27-28) showed what they’re capable of this past Saturday, when they walloped the Suns in Phoenix. On the very fringe of the Western Conference playoff picture, San Antonio made a big statement with a 111-85 victory. The Spurs shot 50.6% from the field, while holding the Suns to a 40%, including an anemic 22.2% from three.
Remarkably, San Antonio head coach Gregg Popovich sat DeMAr DeRozen, Patty Mills, and Jakob Poeltl and still stomped second-place Phoenix. Rudy Gay led the Spurs with 19 points, while snagging five boards and swatting two shots in just 23 minutes. San Antonio has six players score in double-digits in the impressive win.
The Indiana Pacers (26-30) are also pushing for a postseason berth, but don’t seem to be pushing very hard. The Pacers have lost three-out-of-four, most recently getting humbled by the Hawks 129-117 in Atlanta. Indiana’s lone victory during this stretch came against the sputtering Rockets, and the Pacers sweating in the fourth quarter.
The Spurs are slim favorites entering this contest with the Pacers, and NBA betting odds like these butter our bread. San Antonio and Indiana are each playoff hopefuls, but they are clearly heading in different directions. Let’s dig into the data for this matchup.
Pacers Disappointing At Home and Against the Spread
The Indiana Pacers have produced an embarrassing 9-16 record at Bankers Life Fieldhouse this season, and their defense is awful. Indiana is just 7-20 ATS at home over its previous 27 games, and is 23-33 ATS overall this season. The Pacers did defeat the Spurs 139-133 on April 3, but it required OT and feels like an eternity ago.
The Pacers are playing the back end of a back-to-back, and the well-rested Spurs have had time to polish their steel. San Antonio is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 roadies, and has a solid 15-10 away mark this season SU. The Spurs are trending upwards, while the Pacers continue to frustrate their fan base.
Indiana does score points, sporting an O/U record of 33-22-1, and the over has hit in eight consecutive Monday contests for the Pacers. The over is 7-3 in San Antonio’s last 10 games overall, and this is shaping up to be a shootout. Remember, the last time these two teams met, the points total was 272, so eclipsing 232 should be simple.
Prediction: Spurs 135, Pacers 127