Chicago Can’t Solve Vegas
The Chicago Sky haven’t enjoyed much success against the Las Vegas Aces heading into Tuesday night’s latest renewal in Sin City. They’ve dropped the series’ last two games and eight of the last 11. After the teams played back-to-back one-possession games, the last four contests between the teams have been decided by an average of 11.3 points. Three of the teams’ last four meetings in Vegas were decided by three points or less, however
The teams clinched the top spots in the Commissioner’s Cup standings and will play next month with bonus money at stake. It won’t count in the standings. With the teams ranking first and third, respectively, in WNBA scoring offense this season, it could be another high-octane affair here.
Las Vegas has moved to even-money favorites o win the WNBA championship according to the sportsbook. Chicago comes in third (behind the Connecticut Sun), priced at +450.
Sky Struggling, Though Winning
Chicago saw its three-game win streak snapped with a surprising loss to the last-place Indiana Fever Sunday. However, the reality is that while Chicago win those previous trio of games, it wasn’t putting on a show., at least by the standards of reigning league champions.
The Sky trailed Connecticut with 39.4 seconds to go before Candace Parker hit four straight free throws to help Chicago earn a tough road win. Then, a 3-pointer from Courtney Vandersloot with 1.6 seconds left avoided a loss at New York. The Sky subsequently had to go to overtime before outscoring Atlanta, 106-100.
If there was a positive to come out of the recent games, it’s that Kahleah Copper has found her rhythm on offense. After posting just one 20-point effort in her first nine games, she’s gone for 51 points in the last two.
Something of note for those who bet online is the Sky have failed to cover in each of the last three games.
The Wilson Show In Vegas
A’ja Wilson of the Las Vegas Aces attempted fewer than 10 shots in four of her first seven games of the season, as the offense ran through guards Kelsey Plum and Jackie Young.
Things are much different now. Wilson has become more involved in the offense. She is averaging 28.3 points over the last three game, 31-of-54 from the field. She is also 15-for-15 from the foul line as the Aces own the league’s best record at 13-2.
Wilson’s scoring average is now 18½ points per game after her surge. Among those qualified players, only Seattle’s Breanna Stewart averages more points per 40 minutes than Wilson.
— espnW (@espnW) June 20, 2022
She had 22 points and 16 rebounds in the first meeting of the season between the teams, won by visiting Vegas, 83-76, in late May.
Wilson is fifth in the WNBA in scoring, ranking second in rebounding (9.5 rpg) and blocked shots (2.5 bpg). Her rebounding and blocked shot numbers are the best of her five-year career.
Vegas failed to cover against the sportsbook in four of its last five.
Sky vs Aces Game Information
- Game: Sky 10-5 (5-3 on the road) vs Aces 13-2 (8-1 at home)
- Location: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas
- Day/Time: Tuesday, June 21, 10:00 p.m. ET
- Sky vs Aces Live stream: NBA Game Pass
Sky vs Aces Betting Lines
|Chicago Sky||+7½ -110||+290||175½-110o||84-115o / 84-115u|
|Las Vegas Aces||-7½ -110||-350||175½-110u||91½-115o / 91½-115u|
Sky vs Aces Prediction
The Aces have been rolling at home, key has been ball security as Las Vegas averages just 10.9 turnovers in nine home games. Chicago averages nearly seven fewer points when on the road than when the Sky are at home.
Seven of the last nine games between teams have gone over the total. The road team was favored in five of the last seven. That’s not the case on Tuesday with Las Vegas favored by 7½ points, the second-highest total since the Aces relocated to Las Vegas (from San Antonio) in 2018.
Wilson has posted double-doubles in each of her last three games against Chicago, while the Sky’s Candace Parker is averaging 18.3 points in her last four contests against the Aces. The 175½-point total is the highest of the four WNBA games Tuesday night.
Only three of the previous seven matchups with totals of 170 or higher ended up finishing over.