Spurs vs Mavericks Picks 11/16: Take Wemby, San Antonio +10½

The San Antonio Spurs and Dallas Mavericks will square off on Saturday in a Western Conference matchup that will be the season’s second meeting between these division rivals.

The Spurs, currently 6-7 and tied for 10th in the Western Conference, are coming off an impressive five-game homestand in which they picked up wins against the Trail Blazers, Kings, and Wizards before falling to the Lakers on Friday night.

Meanwhile, the Mavericks, led by Luka Doncic, continue to battle for positioning near the top of the conference, though their 3-point shooting struggles have been a concern early this season.

Let’s dive into my NBA predictions for Saturday’s key Western Conference clash.

Spurs vs Mavericks Game Information

• Game: San Antonio Spurs (6-7) vs. Dallas Mavericks (5-7)
• Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
• Day/Time: Saturday, Nov 16, 8:30 p.m. ET
• Spurs vs Mavericks Live Stream: NBA League Pass

2 Things To Consider When Betting Spurs vs Mavericks

1. Wemby Hard To Stop In Second Season

The Mavericks won the season opener against San Antonio, but the Spurs, buoyed by the exceptional play of second-year sensation Victor Wembanyama, are looking for revenge.

Wembanyama, who had a historic 50-point performance against Washington this week, has solidified himself as one of the league’s most exciting talents, and his continued development makes the Spurs a dangerous opponent even on the road.

Victor Wembanyama is the youngest player to score 50-points in a game since Devin Booker in 2017.

He’s 1 of 5 players with a 50-point game before turning 21. pic.twitter.com/xf8vwkB9M3

— Keerthika Uthayakumar (@keerthikau) November 14, 2024

Wembanyama has emerged as the cornerstone of the Spurs’ success, with his ability to dominate inside and beyond the arc. His 50-point outburst against the Wizards, including eight made 3-pointers, showcased his versatility and dominated the NBA news.

The Mavericks will struggle to find a suitable defensive matchup for him, as his combination of size, skill, and mobility creates mismatches across the board.

On the other hand, Doncic will look to exploit the Spurs’ relatively young roster, particularly in one-on-one matchups against Chris Paul. While Paul’s veteran presence has been invaluable to San Antonio, his age makes it difficult to keep up with a player of Luka’s caliber for extended stretches.

However, the Mavericks’ reliance on Doncic’s playmaking could be an issue if their supporting cast continues to shoot poorly from 3-point range, a glaring weakness so far this season. Dallas’ chances of living up to the NBA picks of being a title contender are going to rest on the improvement of its outside shooting.

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2. Spurs A Team On The Rise

The Spurs have been overachieving relative to preseason expectations and have covered the spread in four consecutive games. Their offense has clicked recently, with Wembanyama leading the way, while their defense has done just enough to keep games competitive.

Despite their strong record, the Mavericks have shown vulnerabilities, particularly in their inability to convert from beyond the arc consistently.

Comparing the Spurs vs Mavericks records, you might think San Antonio could be favored in this one, considering Dallas has a worse record at 5-7. But the Mavericks are favored by 10½ points in this one despite four straight losses.

Given the recent form of both teams, the Spurs appear well-positioned to cover the 10½-point spread the Mavericks are favored by, especially with Wembanyama on a hot streak.

While the Mavericks might ultimately edge out a win at home, this game feels destined to stay close, with San Antonio’s high-energy play and improved shooting making it a tough out.

San Antonio’s recent momentum and Wembanyama’s continued rise make it a solid choice to cover the spread. Although Dallas can pull out the win at home, don’t be surprised if the Spurs keep it tight and even threaten an upset late in the game.

Make the underdog Spurs one of your NBA bets against the spread.

Bet On Spurs +10 ½ vs Mavericks (-110)

Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets

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