Our NBA basketball picks look at the Western Conference game between the Denver Nuggets and Phoenix Suns.
The Suns are surprising home underdogs against the defending NBA champions in what should be an exciting contest on Friday.
Let’s take a closer look at some NBA lines worth considering!
Nuggets Righting the Ship
Most of the early money at the sportsbook has come for the Nuggets, who are small favorites.
They suffered defeats to the Magic and Rockets, which were well below par. However, they bounced back with three consecutive wins over the Spurs, Clippers, and Rockets.
Nikola Jokic is doing Nikola Jokic things. The former MVP averages 29 points, 13.2 rebounds, and 9.2 assists. He’s almost averaging a triple-double, and is the main reason why the Nuggets are 13-6.
However, they have been an expensive wager with sport betting markets. They are 7-12 against the spread and 2-8 ATS on the road.
It’s not a good record, so the sportsbook could be overinflating their line. This game is a classic example of that, as the Suns aren’t often underdogs at home.
Suns Seek Bounce Back Win
The Suns were no match for the Raptors on the road last time on court. However, that ended an impressive winning streak.
Returning home should help the Suns, who are 4-4 at Footprint Center, and Kevin Durant is playing well enough to lead from the front.
Despite having 30 points in the loss to the Raptors, he was harsh on himself.
“I don’t feel like I’m ever out of rhythm,” Durant told the media. “I just missed shots. I just think the lid was on the basket tonight.”
“I feel like we got good looks, we just didn’t finish.”
NBA future odds could firm for the Suns to win the NBA title should they beat the Nuggets, so it’s an important game.
The status of Devin Booker is still unknown, but the Suns should be respected regardless. They are a deep team, and there is a lack of respect with betting online markets for the home side.
Join us downtown tonight!
— Phoenix Suns (@Suns) December 1, 2023
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Nuggets vs Suns Game Information
- Game: Nuggets (13-6) vs Suns (11-7)
- Date/Time: Dec. 1, 10 p.m. ET
- Location: Footprint Center, Phoenix
- Nuggets vs Suns Live Stream: NBA Game Pass
Nuggets vs Suns Betting Lines
Nuggets vs Suns Game Prediction
Predicted Score: Phoenix Suns 121, Denver Nuggets 117
Worth Betting the Moneyline?
The Suns are only +2½, so bettors may as well take the points spread line.
For a little more value, take the Suns to win outright, but we’ll take the +2½ start just in case it’s a one- or two-point game.
Worth Betting ATS?
We think this game sets up well for the Suns. They return home, and the Nuggets have played a lot on the road lately.
They could be tired, so expect Durant to get off plenty of shots and put the Nuggets’ defense to the sword.
NBA Pick: Phoenix Suns +2½
Worth Betting on the Totals?
The current line is 225, so we’re comfortably locking in the over. We expect around 238 points, so this is a value bet.
We’re happy to include it in our NBA picks as the best value bet of the game, and a same-game parlay with the Suns +2½ pays handsomely.
NBA Pick: Nuggets, Suns Over 225
Questions Of The Day
Which player prop offers the best value in the Nuggets vs Suns game?
Kevin Durant to score over his player points total is our best player prop for the Nuggets vs Suns matchup.
Can the Suns’ defense stop the Nuggets’ offense?
The Suns’ defense is good enough to stop the Nuggets’ offense, especially with their height.