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NBA Same-Game Parlay: Take Mavs Early, Timberwolves Late

Our NBA predictions have been consistently successful, delivering wins as we closed the regular season. On Tuesday night, we missed cashing our massive NBA parlay bet because the Boston Celtics crumbled in the second half. It’s an agonizing setback, but we’re determined to bounce back tonight. We’re still making top-notch predictions every day of the playoffs, and this string of successes has given us significant momentum. We’re heading into the remaining high-stakes Western Conference finals with optimism and confidence!

The second round produced multiple upsets and Game 7s, which will be challenging to top from an entertainment standpoint, but the four remaining teams will surely deliver. The Celtics and Pacers gave us an early overtime thriller in Game 1, and I expect Minnesota and Dallas to produce an equally entertaining series.

NBA Same-Game Parlay: Take Mavs Early, Timberwolves Late
Kyrie Irving of the Dallas Mavericks - Sam Hodde/Getty Images

The Western Conference Finals tip off tonight at 8:30 p.m. ET on TNT with a clash between Anthony Edwards’ Minnesota Timberwolves and Luka Doncic‘s Dallas Mavericks. These two teams faced each other four times during the regular season, with Minnesota winning three.

I’ve secured the top spots for our NBA same-game parlay bet. The playoff atmosphere is ignited with the Western Conference finals set to tip, and there’s a plethora of bets to explore.

I will stick to our winning strategy, which has been consistently successful all season, and construct our best NBA parlay today using a combo of NBA game picks and player props. I’ve meticulously reviewed all the odds and have assembled a three-leg parlay. Let’s dive into the top NBA picks for tonight.



Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Odds and Spreads


Best Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game 1 Bets


Timberwolves Moneyline (-180) vs Mavericks

History tells us to back the home team in Game 1. We just watched the Celtics win but not cover at home in the opening game of the series, so I’m playing it somewhat cautiously with our first leg. Since 2015, home teams have gone 11-6 in Game 1 of the conference finals. Over the previous 17 instances, we have seen conference finals favorites of 4½ points or fewer finish just 9-8 ATS (52.9%). That’s too close for my liking to lay the points.

The Wolves are coming off a Game 7 victory, which is a classic fade spot for me, but they should protect their home court tonight. Minnesota had the fifth-best home record during the regular season at 30-11. Dallas is the 5-seed and Minnesota is the 3-seed in this matchup. Historically, teams seeded No. 3 or 4 in the conference finals have gone 11-4 straight up and ATS when favored by 3½ points or more. I’m howling with the Wolves and expect them to take a 1-0 series lead.


Mavericks 1st Quarter (+1) vs Timberwolves

Our next leg may throw you off a bit after reading why we’re on the Timberwolves to win Game 1 tonight. We’re rolling with the Mavericks to keep the first quarter within a bucket. Minnesota was shockingly the worst first-quarter team ATS at home this season. Including the playoffs, the Wolves were just 16-30 ATS in the first quarter in their own building! Minnesota went 2-5 ATS in the first quarter of the series with the Nuggets.

Meanwhile, the Mavs have gone 24-23 ATS in the first quarter this season. Dallas was 5-1 ATS in the first quarter against the Thunder and 3-0 ATS on the road in the second round. The Mavericks have gone an NBA-best 31-16 ATS on the road! I’d love to back them here tonight, but it’s become so rare to see a road team steal game 1 in the conference finals. Therefore, I trust Dallas to keep things competitive early and will back them in the first quarter.


Timberwolves C Rudy Gobert to Record a Double-Double (-189)

I like several player props ahead of tonight’s Game 1 matchup. I couldn’t talk you off backing Karl Anthony Towns to go over his 19½ points betting line, and I could say the same about Naz Reid’s 9½ points. Instead, I’m opting to play things a tiny bit safer here and roll with the big Frenchman, Rudy Gobert, to finish with a double-double in Game 1.

Gobert has just four double-doubles in 10 playoff games thus far. However, I like his chances of stuffing the stat sheet against the Mavs. Minnesota is +111, with Gobert on the floor in the playoffs! The only player higher has been Boston’s Jayson Tatum!

Gobert averaged 13.3 rebounds and 14.6 points at home this season. Both are more than on the road. Since being traded to the Wolves, Gobert has a double-double in two of two home matchups with Dallas when he played at least 30 minutes. The Mavericks had a clear need for some size, and they addressed it at the trade deadline when they acquired Daniel Gafford from the Washington Wizards.

Gobert has a double-double in seven of eight appearances against Gafford. Dallas allowed the third-most rebounds per game during the regular season despite adding Gafford and PJ Washington to the rotation. I’m trusting Gobert to get the job done in Game 1.



Questions Of The Day

Which NBA playoff team is the least profitable to bet on in road games?

The least profitable playoff team to bet on in the NBA in road games is the Boston Celtics, who have gone 22-20-3 ATS.

Which NBA playoff team is the most profitable to bet on regarding the total to go under?

The Dallas Maverick are the most profitable playoff team to bet their game total under, having gone to the under 52-41-1.

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