Thunder vs Grizzlies Prediction, Picks and 2025 NBA Playoff Odds: Back OKC (-14) April 26

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The Oklahoma City Thunder visit the Memphis Grizzlies in Game 4 of their NBA playoff series, looking to complete the sweep as 14-point favorites. The NBA playoff betting odds Everything has been shifting in OKC’s favor all week, with NBA odds for tonight showing heavy support for another blowout.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander continues to lead the charge. Let’s break down the best NBA playoff betting odds for Saturday, including props, spreads, totals and moneyline leans.

Thunder vs Grizzlies Score Prediction

Oklahoma City has outscored Memphis by 76 points over three games, including a 51-point rout in Game 1. With the NBA betting news focused on OKC’s dominant defense and explosive starts, it’s hard to envision a different result in Game 4.

So, as part of my NBA picks for today, I’m betting on a 122-102 Thunder win, comfortably covering the spread once again.

H2: Thunder vs Grizzlies Best NBA Player Props Today

• Jalen Williams Over 22.5 Points (-107)

Jalen Williams is quietly thriving alongside Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, hitting this mark in three of his last five games. Memphis has no perimeter defense to slow him down, especially as the Grizzlies collapse on SGA. J-Dub has also been efficient, shooting 54% from the floor in this series. As far as NBA picks today go, this prop is a sneaky good value in what could be a blowout that still allows Williams 30+ minutes of action.

Bet on Jalen Williams Over 22.5 Points (-107)

• Jaren Jackson Over 23.5 Points (-113)

If the Grizzlies are going to make this competitive, it’ll start with Jaren Jackson. He’s averaging just under this number for the postseason but continues to lead Memphis in usage. OKC has locked down the paint, but Jackson is stretching the floor more and knocking down threes. With Ja Morant likely out, expect him to take 20+ shots again. It’s risky, but worth the sprinkle in NBA prop picks today.

Bet on Jaren Jackson Over 23.5 Points (-113)

• Chet Holmgren Over 17.5 Points (-110)

Chet Holmgren’s coming off a 26-point performance in Game 3 and has quietly become a matchup nightmare for Memphis. The Grizzlies lack rim protection with their depleted frontcourt, and Holmgren is shooting 54% in this series while also spacing the floor from beyond the three-point line. He’s cleared 17.5 in two of three games and is seeing consistent usage in pick-and-pop sets. For NBA player prop bets, this line still feels a bucket too low.

Chet Holmgren in the playoffs:

21.0 PPG
9.7 RPG
2.3 BPG
3.7 3PM
65.6% TS pic.twitter.com/KfYh784HxY

— Real Sports (@realapp_) April 25, 2025

Bet on Chet Holmgren Over 17.5 Points (-106)

Thunder vs Grizzlies Moneyline Pick

OKC is priced at -950 on the moneyline, and while there’s no value in betting it straight, it’s a rock-solid leg for parlays. The Thunder are 71-14 overall and 32-8 on the road this season. They’ve won seven straight and have destroyed Memphis in two of three games in this series. The Grizzlies are running out of gas and talent. With NBA odds today reflecting a huge edge, OKC should cruise again.

Bet on Thunder (-950)

Thunder vs Grizzlies Spread Pick

This number continues to rise for a reason. The Thunder have covered in the first games this series with ease and erased a 26-point halftime deficit in Game 3. They rank top-3 in both offensive and defensive rating, and their depth has overwhelmed a shorthanded Grizzlies team.

OKC is also 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games. Even at -14, this is the safer play when Memphis has shown zero fight. The NBA odds suggest another double-digit rout.

Bet on Thunder (-14)

Thunder vs Grizzlies Over/under Pick

All three games have gone under, and the pace supports it. Memphis is averaging just 95.6 PPG this series and turns the ball over at one of the highest rates in the league. The Thunder don’t need to chase points, and their defense holds opponents to just 107.1 PPG. With both teams ranked bottom 10 in pace since the playoffs started, another under feels like the right read. Trust the NBA betting trend here.

Bet on Under 223.5

Thunder vs Grizzlies How to Watch

• Game: Oklahoma City Thunder (3-0) vs Memphis Grizzlies (0-3)
• Location: FedExForum, Memphis, TN
• Date/Time: Saturday, April 26, 3:30 p.m. ET
• Thunder vs Grizzlies Live Stream: NBA League Pass

See the latest Thunder vs Grizzlies stats here.

Questions Of The Day

Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets