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Thunder vs Kings Prediction, Picks and NBA Prop Bets: Back OKC (-10) on March 25
- Include Oklahoma City (-10) in your Thunder vs Kings picks today.
- Bet on Domantas Sabonis’ rebound prop of over 11.5
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The Oklahoma City Thunder are storming toward the playoffs, and they’ll look to keep rolling when they visit the Sacramento Kings on Tuesday. With the latest NBA game odds favoring Oklahoma City on the road, this matchup offers plenty of angles for bettors.
This guide breaks down the best betting plays for Tuesday night, backed by trends, defensive rankings and red-hot performances. Whether you’re riding OKC or looking for some player props against the Thunder’s wall of defense, we’ve got every leg of your parlay covered.
Here are my NBA game predictions for Tuesday.
Thunder vs Kings Prediction
Oklahoma City’s elite defense, ranking first in opponent field goal percentage, is set to stifle Sacramento’s offense. Coupled with the Thunder’s efficient scoring and the Kings’ struggles against top-tier defenses, OKC is poised to secure a decisive victory in this anticipated NBA showdown.
Final Score Prediction: Thunder 124, Kings 115
Thunder vs Kings How to Watch
- Game: Oklahoma City Thunder (59-12) vs Sacramento Kings (35-35)
- Location: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA
- Date/Time: Tuesday, March 25, 10:00 p.m. ET
- Thunder vs Kings Live Stream: NBA League Pass
Get the latest Thunder vs Kings stats here.
Top 3 Thunder vs Kings Best NBA Player Props Today
1. DeMar DeRozan Over 5.5 Assists (+117)
DeMar DeRozan’s playmaking has quietly been solid, and this matchup sets up well for him to rack up dimes. He’s hit at least 4 assists in five straight games, including 10 in his most recent outing in Monday’s loss to Boston. Now, per NBA betting trends, he faces an OKC defense that allows the fourth-fewest points in the league but gives up 28 assists per game. With the Kings struggling from deep, expect DeRozan to facilitate more mid-range and interior action.
2. Jalen Williams Over 1.5 Threes Made (+100)
Williams dropped 28 points in his last outing vs. the Kings and now faces a defense ranked dead last in 3PT% allowed. He’s shooting over 40% from deep this month and should get clean looks off Shai Gilgeous-Alexander kick-outs.
According to the NBA latest news, the Kings’ rotations remain in flux, giving shooters like Williams even more upside. Williams missed the Kings’ game on Saturday but should be good to go against the Kings. While SGA’s dominance keeps him at the top of the NBA MVP odds, I like the value in this play on Williams instead.
3. Domantas Sabonis Over 11.5 Rebounds (-112)
Domantas Sabonis leads the league with 19.2 rebounds per game this season. Against the Thunder, he’s been dominant on the boards, averaging 12.7 rebounds across 18 career matchups. Given OKC’s 19th-ranked total rebounds allowed, expect Sabonis to control the glass and exceed 11.5 rebounds. This is one of the more physical NBA matchups of the week — and Sabonis is built for it.
Bet On Domantas Sabonis Over 11.5 Rebounds (-112)
Thunder vs Kings Moneyline Pick
OKC has won nine of its last 10 and already boasts a 57-12 record as a favorite. The Thunder match up perfectly against Sacramento: elite perimeter defense (1st in 3PT% allowed) vs. a Kings squad that relies on the three. The Thunder also own the glass and force turnovers, giving them extra possessions against a middling Sacramento defense.
Backing the better, deeper, more disciplined team to close the deal — even on the road. The NBA betting news cycle continues to buzz about OKC’s elite defense and postseason potential, and that will only continue after Tuesday’s win.
Thunder vs Kings Spread Pick
OKC is 46-25-1 ATS and 28-7 on the road while Sacramento is just 14-21 ATS at home. The Thunder are No. 2 in defensive rating and lead the league in FG% and 3PT% defense — a nightmare for the Kings’ top-10 shooting offense. With OKC also ranking third in first-quarter scoring, expect them to start hot and never look back. This is a statement game for a team hunting the 1-seed. This line reflects their momentum, and it’s another example of how much NBA game odds have shifted in their favor lately.
Bet This Pick: Thunder -10 ATS
Thunder vs Kings Over/Under Pick
Don’t let the flashy offenses fool you — OKC ranks second in points allowed and first in opponent FG% and 3PT%. The Kings struggle to score against elite defenses, and OKC plays elite fourth-quarter D (3rd in points allowed). Plus, this series has gone Under in 3 straight meetings.
Expect fewer clean possessions with both teams in the top 10 in turnover rate. This total’s too high for a matchup featuring one elite defense and playoff pacing. One of the sharper totals on the board for our NBA picks tonight.
Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.
More Thunder vs Kings NBA Picks and Best Bets Today
Question of the Day
Who leads the Kings in scoring?
DeMar DeRozan leads the Kings with 22.2 points per game.
