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Timberwolves vs Nuggets NBA Same Game Parlay Picks: Bet Nikola Jokic Over 9.5 Assists on March 12
- Go with Denver -4 in your Timberwolves vs Nuggets parlay picks.
- Bet on Nikola Jokic to go over 9.5 assists.
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NBA Same Game Parlay Picks Today
The Denver Nuggets and Minnesota Timberwolves meet in a crucial Western Conference showdown, with both teams looking to gain momentum down the stretch. Denver has been dominant at home, led by Nikola Jokic’s MVP-caliber play, while Minnesota’s defense has kept them in the hunt for a top seed.
Nikola Jokić is the GOAT & also this years MVP again 🐐🃏 pic.twitter.com/urCH6nOMZ4
— Tatiana (@Tatianaclinares) March 11, 2025
NBA matchups like this present solid betting value with elite scorers on both sides and recent trends favoring high-scoring affairs. Our NBA same-game parlay targets the Nuggets against the spread, the Over, a Nikola Jokic prop, and Denver to win the race to 20 points. Let’s break down the best NBA free picks for this showdown.
Timberwolves vs Nuggets How to Watch
- Game: Minnesota Timberwolves (37-29) vs Denver Nuggets (42-23)
- Location: Ball Arena, Denver, CO
- Date/Time: Wednesday, March 12, 10:00 p.m. ET
- Timberwolves vs Nuggets Live Stream: NBA League Pass
Find updated Timberwolves vs Nuggets injuries here.
Timberwolves vs Nuggets Free NBA Parlay Picks
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Leg 1: Denver Nuggets ATS -4 (-115)
Denver owns Ball Arena. The Nuggets are 10-1 in their last 11 home games, and the Timberwolves are about to find out why. Minnesota’s offense has been solid, but they’ve benefited from a soft schedule lately, facing teams like the Hornets and Spurs. Meanwhile, Denver is coming off a 140-point explosion against the Thunder’s top-ranked defense, and Jokic is in MVP form. Check his NBA futures odds, as they are worth betting on.
The Timberwolves have an elite defense, but the Nuggets are first in the league in field goal percentage (50.7%), and their ball movement (31.2 assists per game) will carve up Minnesota’s half-court defense. Denver covers at home.
Bet This Pick: Nuggets -4 (-115)
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Leg 2: Timberwolves vs Nuggets Over 235
Considering both teams’ pace and offensive efficiency, this NBA betting line for the total looks low. The Nuggets are averaging 121.5 points per game at home this season, and the Timberwolves just dropped 141 on the Spurs while shooting nearly 56% from the floor. Even against more formidable defenses, both squads have been hitting the Over, with Minnesota cashing in 7 of their last 10 games.
Denver’s defense has slipped a bit lately, allowing 116.6 points per game (24th in the league). This should be a competitive game with high-level shot-making, easily pushing the total past 226.5.
Bet This Pick: Timberwolves vs Nuggets Over 235
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Leg 3: Nikola Jokic Over 9.5 Assists (-124)
Jokic is on another planet right now. He’s coming off a 22-assist game against Phoenix, averaging 11.7 dimes over his last 10 outings. Minnesota’s defense is elite, but they force Jokic to be a passer rather than a scorer, which plays right into this prop. The Wolves also allow the sixth-most assists per game in the NBA, meaning Denver’s off-ball movement will generate plenty of open looks.
“[Nikola Jokić] is the best player in basketball.”@shannonsharpe reacted to how “effortlessly” Nikola Jokić shredded the Thunder’s No. 1 defense in the NBA 😤 pic.twitter.com/wqpXNQVrd5
— First Take (@FirstTake) March 11, 2025
When these teams met earlier in the season, The Joker racked up 13 assists, and with the way he’s playing right now, he should cruise past this number again.
Bet This Pick: Nikola Jokic Over 9.5 Assists (-124)
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Leg 4: Race to 20 Points – Nuggets (-140)
The critical part of this bet is to know that the Nuggets are a first-quarter machine, leading the NBA in 1Q scoring with an average of 31.5 PPG. Meanwhile, Minnesota ranks 19 with a far less impressive 27.9 1Q PPG.
While Denver also allows the most 1Q points to opponents (30.6 PPG), the T-Wolves offense will be outmatched and lose this race to 20. Based on the stats, this game’s NBA 1st quarter lines are very beatable.
Bet This Pick: First Team to Score 20 Points – Nuggets (-140)
Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets
More Timberwolves vs Nuggets NBA Picks and Best Bets Today
Question of the Day
What is Minnesota’s record away from home?
The Timberwolves are 19-15 when playing on the road.
