Timberwolves vs Warriors NBA Semifinals Parlay Picks for Saturday, 5/10: Bet Under 200.5

With the NBA spread today favoring the Minnesota Timberwolves, we’re backing the home underdog Golden State Warriors to cover — and possibly win outright — as part of our parlay. The other leg leans on the low total, with both teams expected to struggle offensively in a grind-it-out battle. This parlay plays into momentum, defense and playoff desperation with Steph Curry out for the near future.

⏳ pic.twitter.com/zhoJPfA4X6

— Golden State Warriors Brasil (@brasilwarriors_) May 8, 2025

Timberwolves vs Warriors Free NBA Parlay Picks

• Leg 1: Golden State Warriors Under 200.5 Pts (-110)

The Warriors thrive in the underdog role and have covered when lined as a moderate underdog. That’s due to their defense. The real edge for the best NBA parlay bets today lies in combining a Golden State win with a low-scoring affair — think old-school playoff basketball.

Both teams are built to defend, and the tempo here should remain slow and physical. That’s why the total is barely set at 200, and we’re siding with the under. Minnesota has gone under in nine of its last 13 games, while Golden State has also hit the under in 60% of its games as a home underdog (4-6). If you’re hunting for NBA best bets, this parlay pick for the under offers value.

Bet on Golden State Warriors Under 200.5 Pts (-110)

• Leg 2: Golden State Warriors +5 ATS (-110)

Golden State continues to be a sharp play for NBA picks and parlays today, especially against the spread (ATS). The Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings with Minnesota and have covered in 64.2% of games (9-5) when listed as an underdog of three to seven points. Even without their all-time great guard, Golden State thrives in this role. The Warriors are also 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home playoff games.

Bet on Golden State Warriors +5 ATS (-110)

Draymond Green: “The agenda to keep trying to make me look like an angry black man is crazy. I’m sick of it. Its ridiculous “ 😂😂😂pic.twitter.com/sGuxJqXFGK https://t.co/UCqsibPslo

— Hater Report (@HaterReport_) May 9, 2025

• Leg 3: Draymond Green 11+ Reb+Ast (-186)

Draymond Green is our NBA expert prop pick to stuff the stat sheet again, especially with rebounding and playmaking duties falling heavily on him. Green has averaged 7.1 rebounds and 6.1 assists across his playoff career. He’s had 5+ assists in four straight games and 11+ combined rebounds and assists in his last five games where he’s played 30+ minutes. Parlay him to do it again.

Bet on Draymond Green 11+ Reb+Ast (-186)

• Leg 4: Largest Lead Under 17.5 Points (-143)

Our last NBA picks for today’s parlay are for the largest lead to stay under 17.5 points. This series has been tightly contested, and Game 3 should be no different, especially with both teams expected to lean on defense in a low-scoring grind. Golden State’s last six wins have all come by 14 points or fewer, and with the slow tempo and physical play on both sides, no team should pull away by 18+.

Bet on Largest Lead Under 17.5 Points (-143)

Timberwolves vs Warriors Game 3 How to Watch

• Game: Minnesota Timberwolves (54-35) vs Golden State Warriors (54-38)
• Date/Time: Saturday, May 10, 8:30 p.m. ET
• Location: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
• Timberwolves vs Warriors Live Stream: NBA League Pass

Check here for Timberwolves vs Warriors stats.

Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.

Question of the Day