Timberwolves vs Warriors Prediction, Picks and Odds for NBA Semifinals Game 3: Back Golden State (+180)

We’re not saying the Golden State Warriors will beat the Minnesota Timberwolves in the series. But based on the NBA spread today, our money is on the home underdog in Saturday’s Game 3.

Golden State’s title hopes may have taken a hit without its best player. But let’s not forget how many sly stars are on the team. On top of that, the Timberwolves are still tough to back as a growing yet inconsistent team.

WOLVES DOMINATE GAME 2 VS. WARRIORS AND EVEN THE SERIES 1-1 🍿 pic.twitter.com/DnyX0MArcm

— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) May 9, 2025

Timberwolves vs Warriors Semifinals Prediction

We’re confident Golden State can pull off this upset and go up 2-1 in the series. But we’re more sure the scoring will be low, like early 2000s basketball low, hence why the total is barely at 200. The NBA’s best bets are for this one to go under the total in what should be a nail-biting victory for the Warriors.

Warriors 100, Timberwolves 96

Timberwolves vs Warriors Best NBA Player Props Today

• Timberwolves G Anthony Edwards Under 39.5 Pts+Reb+Ast (-124)

Anthony Edwards remains as inconsistent as he is electric, so we’ll have to go under his NBA prop picks today. Getting 40+ combined points, rebounds and assists is a tad too much. He’s averaged around that but has also been held to 19.3 points on a 39.8% effective field goal rate in his last three games.

• Warriors F Jonathan Kuminga Over 14.5 Points (-112)

The Warriors need someone to step up. They say it will be Jimmy Butler. But we say it will be Jonathan Kuminga. The forward went from being out of the rotation to putting up 18 points in the last game. Without Curry and with Butler hobbled, Kuminga will flourish. Bet over his points prop.

Despite the Game 2 loss on the road, Jonathan Kuminga provided a spark off the bench, contributing 18 points for the GS Warriors.#NBAAfrica#NBAPlayoffs pic.twitter.com/Rz89Q25DOZ

— NBA Africa (@NBA_Africa) May 9, 2025

• Warriors F/C Draymond Green 5+ Assists (-193)

Draymond Green is in the NBA news today because he’ll need to be one of the best players without Curry. We believe he will be and expect him to shoulder Golden State’s playmaking. Green averages 6.1 assists in his playoff career. He’s had 5+ in his last four, so bet on him to continue.

Bet These Timberwolves vs Warriors Player Prop Picks Here

Timberwolves vs Warriors Total Pick

We usually like to go over the total when it’s set this low. But defense will dominate this matchup as we don’t expect both teams to hit the 100-point mark. The total has also gone under in nine of Minnesota’s last 13 games and 60% of Golden State’s home games as an underdog (4-6). Go under.

Bet on Timberwolves vs Warriors Under 200.5

Timberwolves vs Warriors ATS Pick

The Warriors are our NBA picks against the spread (ATS). They are not only 4-1 ATS in their last five games against Minnesota but have also covered 64.2% (9-5) of games as an underdog of three to seven points. Even shorthanded, we’ll have faith in Golden State beating the number.

Bet On Golden State Warriors +5

Timberwolves vs Warriors ML Pick

We’re not sure about the Warriors as NBA Finals bets. But we’ll take them to win this game outright. Minnesota is only 10-13 when facing top-10 defensively rated teams this season, including 1-3 against Golden State. The Wolves can struggle when the opponent stands up to them. And with the Warriors’ backs against the wall, they’ll do more than that.

Bet On Golden State Warriors (+180)

Timberwolves vs Warriors Game 3 How to Watch

• Game: Minnesota Timberwolves (54-35) vs Golden State Warriors (54-38)
• Date/Time: Saturday, May 10, 8:30 p.m. ET
• Location: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
• Timberwolves vs Warriors Live Stream: NBA League Pass

Check here for Timberwolves vs Warriors stats.

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Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.

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