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Hot Picks Return! T’Wolves and Rudy Gobert Lead Today’s NBA Parlay Bet

Our NBA predictions have been consistently successful, delivering wins as we closed the regular season. On Thursday night, we nearly cashed a massive three-leg parlay, with the Boston Celtics covering the first half and the full game at home! Jayson Tatum came out short on a double-double for the first time in four games. Still, it is a testament to our accurate analysis throughout this postseason, as we predicted the Celtics would run Indiana out of the gym like Mike Tyson is about to do to Jake Paul next month.

I’ve secured the top spots in this Game 2 battle for our NBA same-game parlay bet. The playoff atmosphere is ignited with this conference finals matchup set to tip, and there are many bets to explore.

Hot Picks Return! T’Wolves and Rudy Gobert Lead Today’s NBA Parlay Bet
Rudy Gobert #27 of the Minnesota Timberwolves | Matthew Stockman/Getty Images/AFP

I’ve meticulously reviewed all the odds and assembled a three-leg parlay. Armed with this comprehensive analysis, let’s delve into the best bets for the Timberwolves vs. Mavericks.


Best Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game 2 Bets

Timberwolves 1st Half Moneyline (-195)

With our first leg, we’re rolling with the Timberwolves to win the first half. I’m opting for the moneyline instead of laying the points here. This is a first-quarter smash spot, but Minnesota was shockingly the worst first-quarter team ATS at home this season. Including the playoffs, the Wolves were just 16-31 ATS in the first quarter in their building! Minnesota went 2-5 ATS in the first quarter of the series with the Nuggets.

Meanwhile, the Mavs have gone 25-23 ATS in the first quarter this season. Dallas was 5-1 ATS in the first quarter against the Thunder and 3-0 on the road in the second round. I can envision the Mavs competing early, but the Timberwolves are desperate to avoid going down 0-2 and head out on the road for Games 3 and 4. I trust Minnesota to jump out to a first-half lead and never look back tonight.


Timberwolves -5½

I should have stuck with my gut in Game 1 when the Wolves were coming off a Game 7 victory, which is a classic fade spot for me, but I expected them to protect their home court. It was obvious Minnesota had tired legs in the second half of Game 1. Minnesota had the fifth-best home record during the regular season at 30-11. Dallas is the 5-seed, and Minnesota is the 3-seed in this matchup. Historically, teams seeded No. 3 or 4 in the conference finals have gone 11-5 straight up, and ATS when favored by 3½ points or more. I’m howling with the Wolves and expect them to bounce back tonight and even the series 1-1.

Surprisingly, I’m seeing more money coming in on the Mavs side tonight. This is interesting because a team coming off a loss in the conference finals has been profitable over the previous three seasons, going 25-13-1 ATS. More specifically, in the last 27 instances, a No. 3 or 4 seed coming off a loss has gone 18-8-1 ATS the following game. To make things even more interesting in favor of the Wolves, teams seeded No. 5 or lower have gone 8-17-1 ATS following a win in the conference finals! The Wolves were 16-10 ATS during the regular season following a loss. I’m riding with a Minnesota bounce-back!



Timberwolves C Rudy Gobert to Record a Double-Double (-159)

I like several player props ahead of tonight’s Game 2 matchup. I couldn’t talk you off backing Anthony Edwards to go over his 27½ points betting line, and I could say the same about Naz Reid’s 10½ points. Instead, I’m opting to play things safer here and roll with the big Frenchman, Rudy Gobert, to finish with a double-double in Game 2. I went to Rudy in Game 1, but things went differently than expected. He finished with 12 points and 7 rebounds.

Gobert has just four double-doubles in 11 playoff games thus far. However, I like his chances of stuffing the stat sheet against the Mavs. Gobert has an 11.0 +/- on the floor in the playoffs! Which is the highest of any player in the NBA. Boston’s Jayson Tatum is the nearest at 10.5 +/-.

Gobert averaged 13.3 rebounds and 14.6 points at home this season. Both are more than on the road. Since being traded to the Wolves, Gobert had a double-double in two home matchups with Dallas when he played at least 30 minutes in the regular season. The Mavericks had a clear need for some size, and they addressed it at the trade deadline when they acquired Daniel Gafford from the Washington Wizards. Gobert has a double-double in seven of eight appearances against Gafford.

Dallas allowed the third-most rebounds per game during the regular season despite adding Gafford and PJ Washington to the rotation. Gobert had a game-high 25-rebound chances in Game 1. I trust Gobert to get the job done in Game 2 and be the anchor we’ve grown accustomed to watching.


Timberwolves SG Nickeil Alexander-Walker Over 5½ Points (-118)

As I mentioned, Minnesota is desperate to avoid going down 0-2 on the Mavericks. Nickeil Alexander-Walker is a crucial player off the bench for the Wolves. He played just 16 minutes in Game 1 and finished with 2 points on 1-of-6 from the field and 0-4 from three-point land.

I expect the Wolves to come out with more intensity tonight, and they will need NAW’s scoring off the bench. The Mavericks have a significant weakness in defending corner threes. They allowed the fourth-most corner threes made per game. NAW buried the most corner threes this season for the T-Wolves and shot a good percentage of 44.5%! In Game 1, Jaden McDaniels was hot from the corner which led to him pouring in 24 points. NAW can replicate this. He was over this line in 53 of 82 games during the regular season (64.6%) and has exceeded this number in 7 of 12 playoff games thus far. I’m expecting Alexander-Walker to have a bounce-back showing. Take NAW on the sportsbook to pour it in tonight.



Questions Of The Day

Which team in the NBA playoffs is the most profitable to bet on the road?

The most profitable playoff team to bet on the road in the NBA is the Dallas Mavericks, who have gone 32-16 ATS in away games.

Which team in the NBA playoffs is the most profitable to bet on at home?

The most profitable playoff team to bet on at home in the NBA is the Indiana Pacers, who have gone 26-19-2 ATS in home games.

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