Warriors vs Rockets NBA Playoffs Parlay Picks for Wednesday, April 30: Bet on Curry Over 26.5 Points

The Warriors are up 3-1 and heading back to Houston with the Rockets’ season on the line. Stephen Curry’s going to take 25+ shots — the question is whether the rest of Golden State can hang. Let’s break down tonight’s best NBA parlay odds, including props, totals and a game script that screams tight and ugly.

Warriors vs Rockets Free Parlay Picks

• Leg 1: Warriors ATS +4

Golden State’s defense is still elite, ranking 7th in points allowed and holding Houston under 110 in three of four games. With Curry leading the charge and Jimmy Butler offering support, this feels like another tight finish. The Warriors have covered in two straight and match up well enough to make +4 feel generous. Underdog value like this stands out in today’s NBA betting picks market.

Bet on Warriors +4

• Leg 2: Warriors vs Rockets Under 204

This is a playoff slugfest. Both teams are top-10 in defensive efficiency, and the last three games have gone Under with ease. Houston’s lack of passing flow (29th in assists) and Golden State’s spotty shooting (25th in FG%) keep scoring suppressed. Add in playoff pressure, longer possessions and lower pace, and this Under becomes the sharp move. It’s one of the strongest totals on the board in tonight’s NBA odds for tonight.

Bet on Under 204

• Leg 3: Steph Curry Over 26.5 Points (-107)

The Warriors will live and die by Steph Curry tonight, and it’s hard to fade that volume, especially when Houston doesn’t have a guard who can track him for four quarters. With Golden State running a limited offense outside of Steph, this Over feels like a usage lock. It’s one of the more reliable legs to include in your NBA prop picks on Wednesday.

Most Playoff Clutch FGM since 2015:

64 –– Stephen Curry (54.1% eFG)
50 –– James Harden (55.4%)
50 –– LeBron James (38.5%)
48 –– Kawhi Leonard (53.9%)
43 –– Jimmy Butler (53.3%)

Must be a California thing. pic.twitter.com/4jn0J3apV9

— WarriorsMuse (@WarriorsMuse) April 29, 2025

Bet on Steph Curry Over 26.5 (-107)

• Leg 4: Largest Lead Under 17.5 (-150)

None of the four games in this series have featured a lead larger than 15 points. Even the blowouts are short-lived thanks to 3-point variance and defensive stretches. Add the playoff context, slower tempo, and Houston’s improved rebounding limiting runouts — and this feels like a solid situational edge. If you’re building NBA same game parlay picks, this market is perfect to close out your ticket with value.

Bet on Largest Lead Under 17.5 (-150)

Warriors vs Rockets How To Watch

• Game: Warriors (48-34) vs Rockets (52-30)
• Time/Date: 7:30 p.m. ET, Wednesday, April 30
• Location: Toyota Center, Houston, TX
• Warriors vs Rockets Live Stream: NBA League Pass

Check here for Warriors vs Rockets stats.

More Warriors vs Rockets NBA Picks and Best Bets Today

• Warriors vs Rockets Prediction, Picks and Odds for NBA Playoffs Game 5: Bet Sengun Over 10.5 Rebounds

Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.

Questions of the Day