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Wednesday’s Best NBA Player Props: Porter, Trent Top Picks

We are approaching March and this is my favorite time of the season to make NBA predictions. We finally have a better feel for the contenders and pretenders. This makes it much easier to identify motivational spots on a nightly basis, which is extremely important in the NBA.

I’m back breaking down Wednesday’s terrific six-game slate and looking to cash a sweep with my best NBA player prop bets. Before I get into that, here’s what you might have missed after the NBA provided us with another entertaining night on Tuesday.

Wednesday’s Best NBA Player Props: Porter, Trent Top Picks
Wednesday’s Best NBA Player Props: Porter, Trent Top Picks


Tuesday NBA Recap

The Boston Celtics defeated the Philadelphia 76ers to improve their NBA-best record. The Cleveland Cavaliers hit a buzzer-beater from beyond half-court to squeak by the Dallas Mavericks.

The Thunder took down the Rockets behind another 30-point game from Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who continues to improve his NBA MVP odds. Unsurprisingly, the Timberwolves defeated the Spurs to keep pace with OKC at the top of the Western Conference standings.

Wednesday night’s schedule features just six matchups, but some high-profile head-to-heads exist. The ESPN doubleheader kicks things off with the Pacers hosting the Pelicans. The Mavs will look to bounce back when they take on the Raptors. Out West, the Denver Nuggets welcome the Sacramento Kings as they look to continue their surge toward the top seed in the West.

The matchup that will likely have the most eyes on it is the battle of Los Angeles when the Clippers and Lakers meet.

On Tuesday night, we split our NBA props 2-2, and tonight, I’m looking to cash a sweep. There are plenty of NBA betting lines to sift through for Wednesday’s games, and I’ve done the research, so you don’t have to. Let’s get to the best NBA expert picks for Wednesday.


Best NBA Player Props Today

1. Nuggets SF Michael Porter Jr. Over 16½ Points (-115)

I think this is an interesting spot to trust the Nuggets with your NBA picks ATS today. They host the Kings, and Sacramento is 3-0 versus Denver this season. This is a triple-revenge spot for the defending champs.

Michael Porter Jr. has a strong history against the Kings, going over this line in six of eight healthy regular-season games. The former first-round pick has gone over this line in three of his last four games. He is shooting it slightly better at home with a 49.3% field goal percentage versus 45.4% on the road. Since the start of January, he’s over this line in eight of 11 home games. The Kings are allowing the seventh-most points per game to opposing small forwards and the second-most threes per game to the position. Porter Jr. should pour it in tonight.


2. Cavaliers PF Evan Mobley Over 13½ Points (-102)

Mobley failed to come through for us on Tuesday night at his number of 14 ½ points, but I’m trusting him to bounce back and buy low at this number. The Cavaliers have been playing great basketball, winning nine of their last 12 games, and are getting healthy at the right time.

Mobley’s minutes restriction was lifted, and he is averaging 28.9 minutes per game over his last six. In the last 20 games, he has been on the floor for at least 27 minutes; he has scored at least 14 points in 18 of them.


Mobley has scored at least 14 points in eight of 11 games in February. He has scored 13 points in 25 of 33 healthy games this season. That’s a 75% hit rate. The Cavs battle the Bulls, who are middle of the pack defending opposing power forwards (23.9 ppg). Mobley has scored at least 14 points in six of seven career games against the Bulls.


3. Raptors SG Gary Trent Jr. Over 2½ Made Threes (+110)

These plus-money 3-point props have been cashing in for us time and time again, so I’m locking in another one for Wednesday. The Raptors host the Mavericks, who are playing on the second night of a back-to-back and just lost in heartbreaking fashion. Toronto appears to be rejuvenated and this is a solid spot for Trent Jr.

In the first matchup with Dallas this season, Trent Jr. knocked down 4 of 8 3-pointers. The Raptors lineup looks a lot different today than it did back in November, but Trent Jr. has started 18 consecutive games. He’s no longer coming off of the bench with OG Anunoby gone. He’s only gone over this line in eight of his last 18 games, but the matchup with the Mavs is tasty.

Dallas is allowing the third-most threes per game to opposing shooting guards (3.74). We’ve recently seen Max Strus (7), Donovan Mitchell (7), Benedict Mathurin (3), Ben Sheppard (5), Eric Gordon (4) and Malaki Branham (4) all knock down at least three shots from beyond the arc against Dallas. Trent could light it up tonight.


4. Timberwolves C Karl-Anthony Towns Over 20½ Points (-118)

I’m rolling with four props again and our final one is on Karl-Anthony Towns. KAT did not play in Tuesday’s win over the Spurs, but he is expected to return to the floor against Memphis. I think there is a chance we see Rudy Gobert or Anthony Edwards sit tonight. Gobert had been nursing an ankle injury, and Edwards injured his ankle during Tuesday’s win.

KAT has struggled against Jaren Jackson Jr. over the last few seasons but has gone over this line in 12 of his last 15 games against Memphis. He has exceeded this line in five of his last seven games and in 35 of 56 this season (62.5%). It’s impossible to predict an NBA injury report, but on the second night of a back-to-back, I wouldn’t be shocked to see Edwards or Gobert sit, which will open the door for KAT.


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Questions Of The Day

Who is the most profitable ATS NBA team this season?

The Oklahoma City Thunder are the most profitable team against the spread this season, going 37-20-1 and hitting 64.9% of the time. They are just ahead of the Magic at 64.4%.

Who is projected to lead the NBA in scoring tonight?

Mavericks point guard Luka Doncic is projected to lead the NBA in scoring tonight.


The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.

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