Oklahoma City Thunder Betting

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting

Some NBA teams you bet for. Some, you bet against. The Oklahoma City Thunder will be among the most popular teams to bet against on the BetUS sportsbook. This team is expected to be horrible per their NBA conference odds and NBA Championship odds. But while their basketball futures already look like a lost cause, they may still be worth following throughout the season.

The Thunder’s NBA odds, be it their live betting or NBA game props, could still hold weight as the public will be quick to fade them. Their online betting value may not be as bad as the team is supposed to be.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Outlook

  • Championship Odds: +40000
  • Conference Odds: +20000
  • Division Odds: +17500

The Thunder are widely expected to be one of the two worst teams this season. It enters the 2021-22 season tied for the longest odds to win the NBA championship while its 23.5 regular-season wins projection is the second-fewest. This team finished a hair below their 22.5 expected wins last season (22-50).

But Oklahoma City is content to keep “tanking”. The team traded away veteran big man Al Horford and will roll out the youngest team with an average age of 22.9 and 2.4 years of experience. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will return as the team’s star player while the Thunder will debut a slew of rookies from this year’s draft.
As far as betting goes, the Thunder will be a popular team to fade. Expect them to constantly be a sizable underdog, especially when going against teams above .500. If you’ve also got $10,000 lying around, you can make an easy $100 by betting on the team to miss the playoffs.

Thunder 2021-22 Predictions

  • Regular Season Record: 21-61
  • Conference Standing: 15th
  • Division Standing: 5th

Oklahoma City Thunder Team Leaders

Gilgeous-Alexander or “SGA” is just 23 but will already be tasked with leading the Thunder. There shouldn’t be too much pressure on him as the team is expected to once again be abysmal. SGA increased his scoring output to 23.5 points a game last season with a .571 effective field goal rate. He’s got a decent value of leading the league in scoring at +10000 or to win the Most Improved Player award at +1200.

Of course, Gilgeous-Alexander will have to play more than the 35 games he played in 2020-21. This may be a tough ask considering the Thunder may elect to keep him off the court the moment he hurts himself.

Other than Gilgeous-Alexander, we can expect rookie Josh Giddey to get plenty of playing time. The Australian has already started to “wow” both fans and scouts with his brilliant playmaking. If you’re playing fantasy, he can be a mid-to-late round target that can pay dividends.

And speaking of young players who could put up stats, the likes of guard Luguentz Dort and forward-center Aleksej Pokusevski could have mini-breakouts this season.

Last Season

The Thunder put on quite possibly the most blatant display of tanking last season. The team won just two of its final 25 games, getting outscored by nearly 20 points every game on average. Oklahoma City finished as the worst offensive team in the NBA and was a complete mess. The Thunder would probably have lost against some G-League teams.

OKC finished with a 31-40-1 record against the spread (ATS), making them a profitable team to fade. This was especially true when they played at home as they finished with a 12-23-1 spread record (34.3%), the second-worst winning rate among home teams.

However, despite the team’s poor offense, the Thunder’s home games went over 60% of the time (21-14-1). This would be because OKC’s defense would be even worse at home and their offense would be better.

Offseason Changes

Key Additions

Derrick Favors, forward/center, Utah Jazz

D.J. Wilson, forward, Houston Rockets

Key Subtractions

Al Horford, center, Boston Celtics

Tony Bradley, center, Chicago Bulls

Sviatoslav Mykhailiuk, guard, Toronto Raptors

Draft Picks

Josh Giddey, guard, Adelaide 36ers

Tre Mann, guard, Florida

Rokas Jokubaitis, guard, FC Barcelona

Aaron Wiggins, guard, Maryland

Head Coach

Mark Daigneault returns as the team’s coach for the second year. He was an assistant under Billy Donovan for the 2019-20 season and was promoted last year. At this juncture, he is more of a glorified babysitter than a coach. If he can help the team’s prospects show improvements, he would have done his job.

However, as far as coaching this team to winning games, it will get ugly. Oklahoma City lost 36 games by 10 or more points last season. If Daigneault is here to tank, then you can consider his job as safe as the Pentagon.

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