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Sunday, 24 September, 2023
4:25 PM

NFL Matchups

Arizona Cardinals vs Dallas Cowboys

Cardinals vs Cowboys Prediction, Preview, Stream, Odds & Picks

Let’s check the latest news, stats, injury reports, and NFL Odds for Arizona Cardinals vs Dallas Cowboys. We’ve plenty of NFL predictions for you to consider.

Sunday the Dallas Cowboys (2-0) will battle the Arizona Cardinals (0-2). Oddsmakers peg the Cowboys as the huge favorite with an implied win probablity of 83%, leaving the Cardinals with a 17% chance to record a win. The current spread is the Cowboys -11.0 with a Game Total of 43.5.

Arizona's primary disadvantage has been their defense, which has allowed a monstrous 360 yards per game this year, sliding them into the #9 spot among the league's worst. They've struggled in large part because they've been unable to keep opposing offenses from moving the chains via their pass attack. Opposing QBs have thrown for the #6-most yards per game (237) against the Cardinals. That kind of ineffectiveness has also leached over to their run defense, which has landed them in the #25 spot in terms of yards per carry (4.87). Opposing running backs have given the Cardinals pass defense the most trouble, posting 41 yards per game against them (#2-worst in football). Arizona's coverage problems have been exacerbated by their cornerbacks, who rank just #31 in the league in locking down opposing pass-catchers. Arizona's defensive ends are perhaps most responsible for their paltry pass rush this year, given that they grade out as the #5-worst unit in the NFL. When it comes to their offense, the Cardinals check in at #24 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 226 yards per game (#20 in football). Their run game has ranked #22 with 4.11 yards per attempt on the ground.

Dallas's biggest strength has been their defense, ranking #10 in the league while allowing just 326 yards per game. Much of their success has been in locking down the pass game, holding opposing QBs to the #6-least yards per game: 205. That's not to take anything away from their run defense, though, which checks in at #7 in yards per carry (4.33). The Cowboys pass defense has done the best job shutting down opposing running backs, holding them to 25 yards per game (#4-best). Dallas's best position group in coverage has been their safeties, which rank #3 in the league in locking down route-runners. Dallas's pass rush has been strong this year, led by their defensive ends, which check in as the #2-best unit in terms of getting to the passer. This represents a particular advantage for Dallas given that the Cardinals have struggled so much with their pass game this year, managing just 5.94 yards per target (#1-worst in the league). In terms of their offense, the Cowboys have ranked #8 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 229 yards per game (#16 in football). On the ground they've ranked #17 with 4.36 yards per carry.

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Arizona Cardinals

Rondale Moore

Over / Under

0

Pass Attempts

0/0

THE BLITZ projects Rondale Moore to be a less important option in his offense's passing attack this week (13.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (20.0% in games he has played).

Joshua Dobbs

Over / Under

0

Pass Attempts

0/0

Joshua Dobbs's passing precision has gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% rising from 62.4% to 67.8%.

Arizona Cardinals

Over / Under

0

Pass Attempts

0/0

The Arizona Cardinals have ranked among the weakest offenses in the NFL since the start of last season (#32-24+1), averaging a paltry 304 yards per game.

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Dallas Cowboys

Dak Prescott

Over / Under

0

Pass Attempts

0/0

The Dallas Cowboys boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.7% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).

Dak Prescott

Over / Under

0

Pass Attempts

0/0

The Arizona Cardinals linebackers grade out as the 7th-best unit in the league since the start of last season with their pass rush.

CeeDee Lamb

Over / Under

0

Pass Attempts

0/0

The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has struggled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.90 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 4th-most in the NFL.

ROI - Cowboys

ROI - Cardinals

Cowboys Stats

Cardinals Stats

Betting Trends

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Arizona Cardinals

The Arizona Cardinals have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 11 games at home (+0.45 Units / 4% ROI)

Units

+0.45

ROI

3.72%

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The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 22 games (+1.00 Units / 4% ROI)

Units

+1

ROI

4.13%

James Conner

James Conner has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 85% ROI)

Units

+7

ROI

85.37%

* Stats and rankings in this article have been adjusted for context (i.e. weather, game state, field position, down, distance, etc). These are more predictive than raw stats and put players/teams on a more even playing field for the purpose of comparison. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry.

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