The Baltimore Ravens, who sit atop the AFC North, visit Steel City to take on divisional rival Pittsburgh Steelers. Baltimore (8-4) could be without its starting quarterback, while Pittsburgh (5-7) is enjoying its best QB play of the season.
Don’t sleep on the Steelers, who have won back-to-back games and are 3-1 against the spread (ATS) over the last four games. Meanwhile, the Ravens are 0-3 ATS in the last three.
Ravens’ Aerial Attack Deciding Factor
Like last season, the Baltimore Ravens cannot avoid injuries. In last week’s 10-9 win over the Denver Broncos, quarterback Lamar Jackson left the game with a knee injury. Fortunately, he avoided major trauma and is listed as “week-to-week.” So far, Jackson has not practiced this week, which means backup QB Tyler Huntley will likely start on Sunday.
Huntley did enough in the previous game with 187 passing yards and 41 rushing yards. However, the offense totaled only 285 yards. Baltimore has scored fewer than 14 points in two of the last three games. The Ravens failed to cover the spread in both games and hit the under.
As usual, Baltimore heavily relies on the run game, with 30.6 carries per game (eighth). The Steelers rank seventh in run defense and sixth in allowed yards per carry. Plus, the Ravens’ top running back, J.K. Dobbins, is questionable (knee). Even if he plays, Dobbins will not be 100% healthy. Baltimore could struggle to run the ball, meaning Huntley must have success through the air. He could have improved pass protection with left tackle Ronnie Stanley probable to return from a knee injury.
Scoop on Free Play from the Locker Room
Pittsburgh’s Offense Making Strides
Sunday is a fantastic opportunity for the Pittsburgh Steelers. They have won three of the last four games, thanks to the offense’s improvement. Over the last three weeks, the Steelers had two of their highest scoring totals of the season at 24 and 30 points. For comparison, Pittsburgh averages 17.8 points (28th).
The Steelers’ last three wins came against the Atlanta Falcons (19-16), Indianapolis Colts (24-17), and New Orleans Saints (20-10), who are struggling squads. Many are hesitant to take Pittsburgh seriously with a weak schedule. However, defeating the Ravens would certainly earn respect.
The offense’s progress is no fluke. Rookie quarterback Kenny Pickett has zero turnovers over the last four games and recorded career-high passer ratings in the last two. Plus, run-blocking has improved, and running back Najee Harris has recorded at least 85 rushing yards in three of the last four.
Unfortunately, injuries look like a major problem this week. On offense, running back Harris (oblique), wide receiver Diontae Johnson (hip), and right tackle Chukwuma Okorafor (shoulder) are questionable. On defense, edge rusher T.J. Watt (ribs) and defensive tackle Larry Ogunjobi (toe) are questionable.
Ravens vs Steelers Game Injuries
Ravens vs Steelers Head-to-Head
Over the last four matchups, the Steelers are 4-0 and 3-1 ATS. Pittsburgh has also gone 2-1 ATS in its last three home games against the Ravens.
Last season, Baltimore was held to fewer than 20 points in both meetings, and the under was 2-0.
Ravens vs Steelers Game Information
- Game: Ravens vs Steelers
- Date/Time: Sunday, Dec. 11, 1 p.m. ET
- Location: Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA
- How to watch Ravens vs Steelers?: CBS
Ravens vs Steelers Live stream: NFL Game Pass
Ravens vs Steelers Game Weather Conditions
The forecast calls for a high of 44°F with a 55% chance of rain and low winds. The weather should not be a major factor in this one.
Ravens vs Steelers Picks & Prediction
Predicted Score: Steelers 17, Ravens 13
- Worth Betting on the Moneyline?
With the Steelers at -130 and the Ravens at +110, both teams offer a decent potential profit. Due to the injury of Baltimore’s quarterback Jackson, I like Pittsburgh to win outright. The Steelers have a stingy run defense, and the Ravens’ weak passing game (26th) cannot carry the load. Also, Pittsburgh’s QB Pickett is playing well enough to attack the Ravens’ secondary, which ranks 25th in allowed passing yards per game.
- Worth Betting ATS?
As the 1-point spread suggests, this could be a coin flip. Ultimately, Huntley, who has a 77.3 career passer rating, is not good enough to hurt the Steelers’ weak passing defense (28th). With Huntley’s inaccuracies, a weakened pass rush without Watt and Ogunjobi would not be too detrimental for Pittsburgh. At five yards per carry, Steelers’ backup running back Jaylen Warren can do enough if Harris is out.
- Worth Betting on the Totals?
The projected total is 36½, which is the lowest of any NFL game in Week 14. Avoid the over/under for this matchup. While the Steeler’s offense has improved, the Ravens rank ninth in allowed points per game and have held three of their last four opponents to fewer than 14 points. Also, Baltimore’s offense has hit a slump. Hitting the under is possible, but it is a risky bet.
The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.