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Sunday, 12 January, 2025
1:00 PM

Matchups

Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills

Broncos vs Bills Predictions, Odds and Betting Trends Sunday 01-12-2025

Broncos vs Bills Predictions, Odds and Betting Trends Sunday 01-12-2025

The Buffalo Bills (13-4) will square off against the Denver Broncos (10-7) in the AFC Wild Card round at Highmark Stadium on Sunday, January 12, 2025.

The Bills are expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -8) versus the Broncos. The over/under for this game is 48.5 points.

Click here to place your bets on this NFL matchup with BetUS!

Bills vs. Broncos Game Info

  • Game Date: Sunday, January 12, 2025
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Highmark Stadium
  • Location: Orchard Park, New York
  • TV: CBS

Bills vs. Broncos Picks & Trends

Score Prediction

Prediction: Bills 27, Broncos 21

Spread Pick & Trends

Pick ATS: Broncos +8 (model predicted spread is Bills winning by 5.3 points)
  • The Bills won three games against the spread last season, failing to cover once.
  • Buffalo did not cover the spread last season (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 8-point favorites.
  • Last season, just one Bills game hit the over.
  • The Broncos covered once in three matchups with a spread last season.
  • Broncos games went over the point total twice last year.

Total Pick & Trends

Pick OU: Under 48.5 (model projecting 47.9 points)

  • Denver has played five games this season that finished with a combined score over 48.5 points.
  • These two teams score 55.9 points per game combined, 7.4 more than this game's point total.
  • Bills games this season have had an average of 46.1 points, 2.4 fewer than this matchup's over/under.
  • Denver's games this season have had an average of 41.2 points, 7.3 fewer points than this game's total.
  • The Broncos are the NFL's 10th-highest scoring team this season compared to the second-ranked Bills.
  • Denver has allowed the third-fewest points in NFL play this season, while Buffalo has given up the 11th-fewest.

Bills vs. Broncos Matchup Stats

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Bills 30.9 21.6 34.3 17.6 27.9 25.2
Broncos 25 18.3 29 14.9 21.4 21.3

Team Leaders

Bills Team Leaders

  • So far this season, Josh Allen has thrown for 3,731 yards, completing 63.6%, with 28 touchdown passes and six interceptions. (He also has 531 rushing yards on 102 carries and 12 rushing touchdowns.)
  • In 2024, James Cook has 207 carries for 1,009 yards and 16 touchdowns. (He also has 32 catches for 258 yards and two scores.) A week ago, he rushed for 28 yards on 10 carries with one TD.
  • The Bills have gotten 531 rushing yards (on 102 carries) and 12 rushing touchdowns so far in 2024 from Allen.
  • For the season, Khalil Shakir has 76 receptions for 821 yards and four touchdowns.
  • Keon Coleman caught two passes for 31 yards and zero touchdowns last week. His stats for the season are 29 receptions, 556 yards and four TDs.
  • Amari Cooper's overall stats for the Bills in 2024: 44 receptions, 547 yards and four TDs.

Broncos Team Leaders

  • Last year, Javonte Williams ran for 774 yards (48.4 yards per carry) and three rushing scores.
  • As a receiver, Williams chipped in 228 yards and two touchdowns on 47 catches.
  • On 90 targets, Courtland Sutton compiled 59 receptions (3.7 per game) for 772 yards and 10 TDs in 16 games.
  • In 12 games for the Jets last season, Zach Wilson recorded 2,271 yards (189.3 yards per game) with eight touchdowns, seven interceptions and a 60.1% completion percentage.
  • With his legs, Wilson added 211 rushing yards and zero touchdowns.

Broncos vs Bills Betting Odds

Broncos vs Bills Player Props

Ray Davis Player Props: NFL AFC Wild Card Round vs. Broncos

Ray Davis and the Buffalo Bills face the Denver Broncos in the AFC Wild Card Round, on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET. His stats from his most recent game: 15 carries, 64 yards; 2 receptions, 1 yard, 1 TD.

Bills vs. Broncos Game Details

  • Day: Sunday, January 12, 2025
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Location: Orchard Park, New York
  • Venue: Highmark Stadium
  • TV Channel: CBS

Ray Davis Props and Betting Odds

  • Rushing yards prop: Over 18.5 (-114 for the over, -114 for the under)
  • Rushing attempts prop: Over 5.5 (+110 for the over, -143 for the under)
  • Receiving yards prop: Over 2.5 (-115 for the over, -112 for the under)
  • Receptions prop: Over 0.5 (-164 for the over, +125 for the under)

Click here to place your bets on Ray Davis' props in this game with BetUS.

Ray Davis Game Log

Week Opponent Carries Rush Yards Rush TDs Receptions Rec Yards Rec TDs
Week 1 @Cardinals 3 13 0 1 14 0
Week 2 @Dolphins 9 29 0 1 -1 0
Week 3 @Jaguars 7 22 1 1 1 0
Week 4 @Ravens 7 11 0 0 0 0
Week 5 @Texans 0 0 0 1 4 0
Week 6 @Jets 20 97 0 3 55 0
Week 7 @Titans 5 41 1 1 6 0
Week 8 @Seahawks 6 29 0 0 0 0
Week 9 @Dolphins 4 20 0 2 70 1
Week 10 @Colts 3 6 0 0 0 0
Week 11 @Chiefs 5 11 0 0 0 0
Week 13 @49ers 11 63 1 1 4 0
Week 15 @Lions 7 15 0 2 14 1
Week 16 @Patriots 5 12 0 1 17 0
Week 17 @Jets 6 9 0 1 4 0
Week 18 @Patriots 15 64 0 2 1 1

Broncos Defensive Stats

  • The Broncos' pass defense is conceding 220.7 yards per game this year, the 19th-ranked pass defense in the NFL.
  • At 1.3 passing touchdowns given up per game on the season, Denver's defense ranks sixth in the league.
  • With 15 interceptions this year, the Broncos defense ranks eighth in the league.
  • The defense for Denver is the NFL's third-ranked run defense against the run, surrendering 96.4 yards per game.
  • This season, the Broncos rank third in league play in rushing touchdowns allowed (10).

James Cook Player Props: NFL AFC Wild Card Round vs. Broncos

James Cook -- on the back of a rushing touchdown in his last game -- and the Buffalo Bills meet the Denver Broncos in the AFC Wild Card Round, on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET. To be exact, he had 10 carries for 28 yards and one TD.

Bills vs. Broncos Game Details

  • Day: Sunday, January 12, 2025
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Location: Orchard Park, New York
  • Venue: Highmark Stadium
  • TV Channel: CBS

James Cook Props and Betting Odds

  • Rushing yards prop: Over 60.5 (-114 for the over, -114 for the under)
  • Rushing attempts prop: Over 13.5 (-143 for the over, +110 for the under)
  • Receiving yards prop: Over 16.5 (-114 for the over, -114 for the under)
  • Receptions prop: Over 1.5 (-149 for the over, +115 for the under)

Click here to place your bets on James Cook's props in this game with BetUS.

James Cook Game Log

Week Opponent Carries Rush Yards Rush TDs Receptions Rec Yards Rec TDs
Week 1 @Cardinals 19 71 0 3 32 0
Week 2 @Dolphins 11 78 2 1 17 1
Week 3 @Jaguars 11 39 1 4 48 0
Week 4 @Ravens 9 39 0 1 9 0
Week 5 @Texans 20 82 1 2 17 0
Week 7 @Titans 12 32 1 0 0 0
Week 8 @Seahawks 17 111 2 3 22 0
Week 9 @Dolphins 10 44 0 5 25 0
Week 10 @Colts 19 80 1 1 5 0
Week 11 @Chiefs 9 20 2 5 7 0
Week 13 @49ers 14 107 1 1 13 0
Week 14 @Rams 6 20 0 2 9 0
Week 15 @Lions 14 105 2 1 28 0
Week 16 @Patriots 11 100 1 3 26 1
Week 17 @Jets 15 53 1 0 0 0
Week 18 @Patriots 10 28 1 0 0 0

Broncos Defensive Stats

  • The Broncos' pass defense is the NFL's 19th-ranked squad this year after giving up passing 220.7 yards per game.
  • At 1.3 passing touchdowns conceded per game on the season, Denver's defense ranks sixth in the NFL.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have thrown 15 interceptions against the Broncos so far this year (0.9 per game). The Broncos' defense ranks eighth in that category.
  • Conceding 96.4 rushing yards per game, the defense of Denver is the third-ranked run defense in the league.
  • The Bills are up against the third-ranked defense in league play when it comes to rushing TDs conceded (10 this year).

Khalil Shakir Player Props: NFL AFC Wild Card Round vs. Broncos

On Sunday at 1:00 PM ET, Khalil Shakir and the Buffalo Bills face the Denver Broncos in the AFC Wild Card Round.

Bills vs. Broncos Game Details

  • Day: Sunday, January 12, 2025
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Location: Orchard Park, New York
  • Venue: Highmark Stadium
  • TV Channel: CBS

Khalil Shakir Props and Betting Odds

  • Receiving yards prop: Over 56.5 (-120 for the over, -108 for the under)
  • Receptions prop: Over 5.5 (+115 for the over, -149 for the under)

Click here to place your bets on Khalil Shakir's props in this game with BetUS.

Khalil Shakir Game Log

Week Opponent Targets Receptions Yards TDs
Week 1 @Cardinals 3 3 42 1
Week 2 @Dolphins 5 5 54 0
Week 3 @Jaguars 6 6 72 1
Week 4 @Ravens 5 4 62 0
Week 6 @Jets 2 2 19 0
Week 7 @Titans 7 7 65 0
Week 8 @Seahawks 10 9 107 0
Week 9 @Dolphins 7 6 50 0
Week 10 @Colts 9 6 58 0
Week 11 @Chiefs 12 8 70 0
Week 13 @49ers 7 4 30 0
Week 14 @Rams 8 5 106 1
Week 15 @Lions 7 6 39 1
Week 16 @Patriots 6 2 22 0
Week 17 @Jets 6 3 25 0

Broncos Defensive Stats

  • The 220.7 passing yards per game the Broncos' defense is giving up makes the squad the 19th-ranked pass defense in the NFL.
  • With 22 passing TDs given up on the season, Denver's defense ranks sixth in NFL play.
  • The Broncos have accumulated 15 interceptions so far this year to rank eighth in the NFL.
  • The defense of Denver gives up 96.4 rushing yards per game, the NFL's third-ranked rush defense.
  • Shakir and the Bills will face off against the NFL's third-ranked defense in terms of rushing touchdowns conceded (10).

Josh Allen Player Props: NFL AFC Wild Card Round vs. Broncos

Coming off a two-touchdown, 182-yard passing game, Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills will meet the Denver Broncos in the AFC Wild Card Round, on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

Bills vs. Broncos Game Details

  • Day: Sunday, January 12, 2025
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Location: Orchard Park, New York
  • Venue: Highmark Stadium
  • TV Channel: CBS

Josh Allen Props and Betting Odds

  • Passing completions prop: Over 21.5 (-125 for the over, -103 for the under)
  • Passing TDs prop: Over 1.5 (-143 for the over, +110 for the under)
  • Passing interceptions prop: Over 0.5 (+100 for the over, -130 for the under)
  • Passing yards prop: Over 242.5 (-123 for the over, -105 for the under)
  • Rushing yards prop: Over 46.5 (-122 for the over, -106 for the under)
  • Rushing attempts prop: Over 8.5 (-106 for the over, -122 for the under)

Click here to place your bets on Josh Allen's props in this game with BetUS.

Josh Allen Game Log

Week Opponent Pass Comp. Pass Att. Pass Yards Pass TDs INTs Rush Att. Rush Yards Rush TDs
Week 1 @Cardinals 18 23 232 2 0 9 39 2
Week 2 @Dolphins 13 19 139 1 0 2 2 0
Week 3 @Jaguars 23 30 263 4 0 6 44 0
Week 4 @Ravens 16 29 180 0 0 5 21 0
Week 5 @Texans 9 30 131 1 0 4 54 0
Week 6 @Jets 19 25 215 2 0 9 18 1
Week 7 @Titans 21 33 323 2 0 3 1 0
Week 8 @Seahawks 24 34 283 2 1 7 25 0
Week 9 @Dolphins 25 39 235 3 1 2 7 0
Week 10 @Colts 22 37 280 0 2 8 50 1
Week 11 @Chiefs 27 40 262 1 1 12 55 1
Week 13 @49ers 13 17 148 2 0 3 18 1
Week 14 @Rams 22 37 342 3 0 10 82 3
Week 15 @Lions 23 34 362 2 0 11 68 2
Week 16 @Patriots 16 29 154 1 1 6 30 0
Week 17 @Jets 16 27 182 2 0 5 17 1

Broncos Defensive Stats

  • The Broncos' have the NFL's 19th-ranked pass defense this year after giving up passing 220.7 yards per game.
  • Denver has given up 22 touchdowns through the air on the season (1.3 per game). It is sixth in the league in that category.
  • With 15 interceptions so far this year, the Broncos defense ranks eighth in the NFL.
  • The defense for Denver is the NFL's third-ranked run defense against the run, giving up 96.4 yards per game.
  • Allen and the Bills will square off against the NFL's third-ranked defense in terms of rushing touchdowns conceded (10).

Courtland Sutton Player Props: NFL AFC Wild Card Round vs. Bills

On Sunday at 1:00 PM ET, Courtland Sutton and the Denver Broncos play the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Wild Card Round.

Broncos vs. Bills Game Details

  • Day: Sunday, January 12, 2025
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Location: Orchard Park, New York
  • Venue: Highmark Stadium
  • TV Channel: CBS

Courtland Sutton Props and Betting Odds

  • Receiving yards prop: Over 66.5 (-114 for the over, -114 for the under)
  • Receptions prop: Over 5.5 (+117 for the over, -152 for the under)

Click here to place your bets on Courtland Sutton's props in this game with BetUS.

Courtland Sutton Game Log

Week Opponent Targets Receptions Yards TDs
Week 1 @Seahawks 12 4 38 0
Week 2 @Steelers 4 1 26 0
Week 3 @Buccaneers 11 7 68 0
Week 4 @Jets 9 3 60 1
Week 5 @Raiders 5 2 32 0
Week 6 @Chargers 6 4 53 1
Week 8 @Panthers 11 8 100 0
Week 9 @Ravens 10 7 122 0
Week 10 @Chiefs 9 6 70 1
Week 11 @Falcons 8 7 78 0
Week 12 @Raiders 10 8 97 2
Week 13 @Browns 9 6 102 0
Week 15 @Colts 9 3 32 1
Week 16 @Chargers 6 5 50 0
Week 17 @Bengals 9 5 55 1
Week 18 @Chiefs 7 5 98 1

Bills Defensive Stats

  • The Bills' pass defense is giving up 226.1 yards per game this year, the 24th-ranked pass defense in the NFL.
  • With 28 passing TDs allowed on the season, Buffalo's defense ranks 24th in NFL play.
  • The Bills rank fifth in the league in interceptions, with 16 this year.
  • The defense for Buffalo is the NFL's 12th-ranked run defense against the run, allowing 115.5 yards per game.
  • Sutton and the Broncos will square off against the NFL's 10th-ranked defense in terms of rushing touchdowns conceded (13).

Javonte Williams Player Props: NFL AFC Wild Card Round vs. Bills

Javonte Williams and the Denver Broncos will face the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Wild Card Round, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET at Highmark Stadium.

Broncos vs. Bills Game Details

  • Day: Sunday, January 12, 2025
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Location: Orchard Park, New York
  • Venue: Highmark Stadium
  • TV Channel: CBS

Javonte Williams Props and Betting Odds

  • Rushing yards prop: Over 13.5 (-114 for the over, -114 for the under)
  • Receiving yards prop: Over 18.5 (-114 for the over, -114 for the under)
  • Receptions prop: Over 3.5 (+130 for the over, -169 for the under)

Click here to place your bets on Javonte Williams' props in this game with BetUS.

Javonte Williams Game Log

Week Opponent Carries Rush Yards Rush TDs Receptions Rec Yards Rec TDs
Week 1 @Seahawks 8 23 0 1 0 0
Week 2 @Steelers 11 17 0 5 48 0
Week 3 @Buccaneers 5 12 0 4 29 0
Week 4 @Jets 16 77 0 2 3 0
Week 5 @Raiders 13 61 0 5 50 0
Week 6 @Chargers 6 23 0 3 13 0
Week 7 @Saints 14 88 2 3 23 0
Week 8 @Panthers 17 44 0 4 8 0
Week 9 @Ravens 12 42 0 2 42 0
Week 10 @Chiefs 1 1 0 2 6 0
Week 11 @Falcons 9 59 1 4 28 0
Week 12 @Raiders 8 -2 0 2 6 0
Week 13 @Browns 4 1 1 1 3 0
Week 15 @Colts 6 15 0 2 8 0
Week 16 @Chargers 4 24 0 7 29 0
Week 17 @Bengals 0 0 0 2 0 0
Week 18 @Chiefs 5 28 0 3 50 0

Bills Defensive Stats

  • The 226.1 passing yards the Bills' defense gives up per game makes them the NFL's 24th-ranked pass defense this year.
  • At 1.6 passing touchdowns conceded per game on the season, Buffalo's defense ranks 24th in the league.
  • The Bills have accumulated 16 interceptions so far this year to rank fifth in the NFL.
  • Williams will go up against a defense from Buffalo that gives up 115.5 rushing yards per game to be the NFL's 12th-ranked rush defense.
  • The Bills have given up 13 rushing touchdowns to rank 10th in NFL play.

Bo Nix Player Props: NFL AFC Wild Card Round vs. Bills

Coming off a 321-yard passing game with four touchdowns, Bo Nix and the Denver Broncos will meet the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Wild Card Round, on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

Broncos vs. Bills Game Details

  • Day: Sunday, January 12, 2025
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Location: Orchard Park, New York
  • Venue: Highmark Stadium
  • TV Channel: CBS

Bo Nix Props and Betting Odds

  • Passing completions prop: Over 23.5 (-122 for the over, -106 for the under)
  • Passing TDs prop: Over 1.5 (+100 for the over, -130 for the under)
  • Passing interceptions prop: Over 0.5 (-175 for the over, +135 for the under)
  • Passing yards prop: Over 230.5 (-114 for the over, -114 for the under)
  • Rushing yards prop: Over 31.5 (-114 for the over, -114 for the under)
  • Rushing attempts prop: Over 5.5 (-130 for the over, +100 for the under)

Click here to place your bets on Bo Nix's props in this game with BetUS.

Bo Nix Game Log

Week Opponent Pass Comp. Pass Att. Pass Yards Pass TDs INTs Rush Att. Rush Yards Rush TDs
Week 1 @Seahawks 26 42 138 0 2 5 35 1
Week 2 @Steelers 20 35 246 0 2 4 25 0
Week 3 @Buccaneers 25 36 216 0 0 9 47 1
Week 4 @Jets 12 25 60 1 0 5 3 0
Week 5 @Raiders 19 27 206 2 0 8 9 1
Week 6 @Chargers 19 33 216 2 1 6 61 0
Week 7 @Saints 16 26 164 0 0 10 75 0
Week 8 @Panthers 28 37 284 3 0 5 4 1
Week 9 @Ravens 19 33 223 0 1 6 36 0
Week 10 @Chiefs 22 30 215 2 0 3 -5 0
Week 11 @Falcons 28 33 307 4 0 2 5 0
Week 12 @Raiders 25 42 273 2 0 1 5 0
Week 13 @Browns 18 35 294 1 2 3 4 0
Week 15 @Colts 20 33 130 3 3 8 23 0
Week 16 @Chargers 29 40 263 2 0 3 25 0
Week 17 @Bengals 24 31 219 3 1 7 31 0
Week 18 @Chiefs 26 29 321 4 0 7 47 0

Bills Defensive Stats

  • The 226.1 passing yards per game the Bills' defense is allowing makes the squad the 24th-ranked pass defense in the NFL.
  • Buffalo has allowed 28 passing touchdowns on the season (1.6 per game), which ranks 24th among NFL defenses.
  • The Bills have collected 16 interceptions this year to rank fifth in the NFL.
  • Nix will go up against a defense from Buffalo that is giving up 115.5 rushing yards per game to be the NFL's 12th-ranked rush defense.
  • This season the Bills have conceded 13 total rushing TDs, which ranks 10th in NFL play.

Broncos vs Bills Records

Broncos vs Bills Injuries

Broncos ROI

Bills ROI

Broncos Stats

Bills Stats

Bills vs Broncos Win Probability

* Stats and rankings in this article have been adjusted for context (i.e. weather, game state, field position, down, distance, etc). These are more predictive than raw stats and put players/teams on a more even playing field for the purpose of comparison. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry.