When the Buffalo Bills visit the Cincinnati Bengals this Monday Night Football, it will be Josh Allen and Joe Burrow’s first matchup. And the stakes are high as both are on winning streaks with a shot at the top spot in the conference, and a playoff bye, on the line. The Bills are favored by a point on the NFL betting odds despite Cincinnati’s red-hot roll on the spreads.
Players who have been named AFC Offensive Player of the Week three times this season:
— BUF QB Josh Allen (Weeks 5, 6, 15)
— CIN QB Joe Burrow (Weeks 7, 13, 16)
They play against each other on Week 17 on Monday Night Football.
— Ben Baby (@Ben_Baby) December 28, 2022
Bills vs Bengals Betting Lines
Bills Can Make Statement on ‘MNF’
Buffalo’s run on the online gambling lines has been about as rocky as Josh Allen’s season. The Bills are 7-7-1 as an NFL pick against the spread (ATS). They are just 3-6 ATS in their last nine and it coincides with Allen’s turnover-proneness: he’s coughed the ball up 12 times in his last nine games.
Maybe it’s his elbow since Allen’s chaotic play has coincidentally become worse after this injury was first reported. Still, bum elbow or not, Allen is just that type of quarterback. And even with all his and Buffalo’s turnovers, the Bills have found ways to win games.
The Bills have been terrible on the spread lately. But fortunately for them, they only need to beat the Bengals. Buffalo is 9-4 as a road favorite since last season. And most importantly, Allen takes it up a notch on Monday Night Football: he has a 113.9 passer rating and 18 touchdowns to just two picks.
Bengals Running the Spread, But…
While the Bills struggle on the spread, the Bengals have eaten off of it. Cincinnati is an NFL-best 12-3-0 ATS. The Bengals have covered seven straight games. However, that one time they failed to cover also proved to be one of their worst games: their last Monday Night Football game.
Cincinnati got blown out by Cleveland 32-13 despite being favored by a field goal. Burrow committed a pair of costly turnovers while the defense allowed 440 yards and made Jacoby Brissett look like an elite quarterback.
That is likely an aberration and lit a fire in Cincinnati, as it has been unstoppable since. Still, folks betting online have cause for concern, especially when the team is facing its toughest test.
Bills vs Bengals Game Injuries
Bills vs Bengals Head-to-Head
The Bills are 1-2 ATS in their last three visits to Cincinnati. These were all different teams and only one featured Sean McDermott as coach: a 20-16 win for Cincinnati in 2017.
Bills vs Bengals Game Information
- Game: Bills vs Bengals
- Date/Time: Monday, Jan. 2, 8:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati, OH
- How to watch Bills vs Bengals?: ESPN
Bills vs Bengals Live stream: NFL Game Pass
Bills vs Bengals Game Weather Conditions
It will be around 55 degrees Fahrenheit in Cincinnati on Monday night. There will be slight rain with 54 percent of precipitation. The wind is at six miles per hour.
Bills vs Bengals Game Picks & Prediction
Predicted Score: Bills 31, Bengals 26
- Worth Betting on the Moneyline?
Go in on Buffalo here. While Cincinnati has been better on the books and has more consistency, the Bills are the ones that will shine in Prime Time. Allen will have one of his best outings and will shred Cincy’s defense, which occasionally lays an egg, as we’ve seen against Cleveland.
- Worth Betting ATS?
Buffalo wins, most likely by more than a point. So betting on the spread is a better alternative at -110 over -120 on the moneyline. On paper, Cincinnati is more talented and has a better defense. But this team can also be turnover prone and it is due for a bad one.
- Worth Betting on the Totals?
If you can’t pick a side, go against the grain and bet the over on the total. The 49½ total is lofty and the second-highest of Week 17, but the defenses could get lit up here. Sure, over 64 percent of these teams’ games go under. But this high-profile matchup will feature plenty of scoring.
The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.