The Chicago Bears and Atlanta Falcons are both going in the wrong direction. The Bears’ offense has delivered 29 points or more in three straight, yet the team still has a three-game losing streak.
As for the Falcons, those who bet online briefly saw them atop the NFC South, but they have since lost two straight and three of four overall.
Which of these two squads is the best bet versus the NFL odds?
The Bears clearly have problems in many different places on their roster. Justin Fields is improving but still makes a few crucial mistakes in most games.
He is less of a problem than nearly everything else about this team. The other thing which isn’t a big problem is the Bears’ rushing offense.
They lead the NFL with an average of 201.7 rushing yards per game. That has to make sportsbook oddsmakers stop and take notice: a team that averages more than 200 rushing yards per game and is multiple games under .500?
That seems impossible, but the Bears have pulled it off. They are that bad and that unreliable elsewhere on the roster.
The Bears gained a touchdown lead over the Detroit Lions this past weekend but could not hold it. They lost 31-30 in yet another home game in which they allowed at least 30 points.
Two weeks ago, they lost another home game, 35-32, to the Miami Dolphins. The Bears’ defense simply isn’t giving the offense any help. The margins for error are small.
If the Bears averaging 201 rushing yards per game and still being multiple games under .500 seems crazy, the Falcons are almost as bad.
They average 160.4 rushing yards per game, fourth in the NFL, yet they are under .500 and failing to take advantage of a very weak NFC South Division.
Why did the Falcons lose their most recent game to the Carolina Panthers, 25-15? The offensive line couldn’t protect the passer.
Quarterback Marcus Mariota went 19-for-30 passing for 186 yards with two touchdowns and an interception, but he was sacked five times.
The Falcons collected 138 rushing yards on 25 carries, an average of more than five yards per rush, which is really good, but they couldn’t make big plays whenever they got into necessary passing situations.
The Falcons have had persistent problems on their offensive line over the past several years. They have to address their offensive line in the draft and free agency, but it’s an issue for now.
The good news is that the Bears have just 15 sacks on the year, which is the fifth-fewest. That should give Mariota more time to get comfortable.
Bears vs Falcons Game Injuries
Bears vs Falcons Head-to-Head
These teams last met in 2020. The Bears won 30-26 after trailing earlier in the game by double digits.
Bears vs Falcons Game Information
- Game: Bears vs Falcons
- Date: Sunday, November 20, 2022
- Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
- How to watch Bears vs Falcons? FOX
Bears vs Falcons Live stream: NFL Game Pass
Bears vs Falcons Betting Lines
Bears vs Falcons Picks & Prediction
The Bears don’t have the defense that can exploit Atlanta’s weak offensive line. At the same time, it’s not as if the Falcons have an elite stopping unit themselves.
The Bears can’t pressure the quarterback while the Falcons are right there with them (second-fewest sacks in the NFL). The Bears (most run TD’s allowed) can’t stop the run, and neither can the Falcons (fifth-most).
Add it up, and the over seems like the best choice for your NFL picks.
The Atlanta Falcons are listed at -165 in our Vegas lines. This means that if you wager $100 on the Atlanta Falcons, you have a chance to win $61. The Chicago Bears are +145, offering a chance to win $145 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives the Atlanta Falcons a 62.26% chance to win, with the Chicago Bears at 40.82%.
“The odds and predictions in the article are based on time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.”