Bills Looking to Blow Off Steam
The Buffalo Bills hope to find their footing on Sunday when they play host to the Cleveland Browns in a game that will be played at Detroit’s Ford Field. The Bills (6-3) have hit a season low, losing back-to-back games and going 0-3 against the spread (ATS) in the last three games. After their 39-17 loss to the Miami Dolphins, the Browns (3-6) will need to rebound quickly as they visit one of the NFL’s best teams.
The game was moved to Detroit on Thursday due to a winter storm that is expected to dump multiple feet of snow on the Buffalo area over the weekend. It will mark the first of two games in five days at Ford Field for the Bills, who visit the Lions on Thanksgiving Day.
Let’s check the latest NFL odds, stats, injury reports, and NFL lines for Browns vs Bills. We’ve plenty of Vegas NFL odds and NFL week 11 picks for you to consider.
Browns Will Run the Rock
Since Week 3, the Cleveland Browns have struggled. They lost four in a row before Week 8’s convincing 32-13 win over the Cincinnati Bengals. Cleveland covered back-to-back games before playing the Miami Dolphins. The Browns are back to square one after the embarrassing 39-17 loss in Miami.
To keep its playoff hopes alive, Cleveland has to win the next two games before quarterback Deshaun Watson’s return in Week 13. At 3-6, appearing in the postseason looks quite unlikely, especially with the Buffalo Bills and Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the next two opponents. Per NFL lines, Cleveland has +650 odds to make the playoffs.
The Browns must ride the run this week. In Week 10, Cleveland was forced to air it out with a large deficit in the first half. The Bills have allowed over 140 rushing yards and five yards per carry in back-to-back weeks. Cleveland wants to control the time of possession battle and keep the Bills’ dangerous offense on the sidelines. Look for running back Nick Chubb, who ranks third with 904 rushing yards, to get plenty of work. Rolling with Chubb in this week’s prop offers seems like a safe option.
Too Many Turnovers in Buffalo
Through seven games, the Buffalo Bills looked nearly invincible, beating four teams by double digits, paired with wins over the Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs. After losing back-to-back games, Buffalo has issues that must be addressed.
First, quarterback Josh Allen must tighten up his play. In the last three games, he has totaled seven turnovers with a 67.2 passer rating. After leading the MVP race for most of the season, Allen has dropped to the sportsbook’s fourth choice at +550.
JOSH ALLEN INT. VIKINGS WIN 😱🤯
GAME OF THE YEAR.
(via @NFL)pic.twitter.com/W2Mlq0w3Zw
— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) November 13, 2022
Buffalo is now last in the NFL with two giveaways per game. Despite the defense ranking third in turnovers per game, the Bills have a -1 turnover differential. Buffalo has its sights set on winning the Super Bowl with +400 odds; consistently losing the turnover battle will not cut it.
Furthermore, the Bills’ secondary has too many injuries right now. All-Pro cornerback Tre’Davious White (knee), rookie starting cornerback Kaiir Elam (ankle), safety Micah Hyde (neck) and safety Jordan Poyer (elbow) have battled injuries. With time, Buffalo’s secondary will be fine, as Hyde is the only player with a season-ending injury. Last week, the Minnesota Vikings carved up Buffalo for over 300 passing yards.
Browns vs Bills Game Injuries
Browns vs Bills Head-to-Head
The Browns won their last matchup against the Bills 19-16. However, Cleveland lost its last two trips to Buffalo.
Browns vs Bills Game Information
- Game: Browns vs Bills
- Date: Sunday, Nov. 20
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Location: Ford Field, Detroit, MI
- How to watch Browns vs Bills? ESPN
Browns vs Bills Live Stream: NFL Game Pass
Browns vs Bills Betting Lines
Browns vs Bills Picks & Prediction
With the game being moved to a neutral site, Buffalo’s home advantage has been erased. Browns fans will show up as Cleveland is only about two hours away from Ford Field. This has completely changed the outlook of Sunday’s matchup.
The Browns may have avoided one of the NFL’s loudest atmospheres, but this move may favor the Bills. Cleveland can no longer hope to stay in this one by running the rock in ugly weather. Instead, the Browns, who rank 25th in allowed passing yards per attempt, get to deal with Allen and Co. through the air. Last week, Cleveland allowed over 450 yards and 39 points against the Dolphins.
Give me the over and Buffalo covering. Also, take the Bills to score first at -180. Buffalo is known to start fast, as it scored first in three of the last four games.
The Buffalo Bills are listed at -350 in our Vegas NFL lines. This means that if you wager $100 on the Bills, you have a chance to win $29. The Cleveland Browns are +280, offering a chance to win $280 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives the Buffalo Bills a 77.78% chance to win, with the Cleveland Browns at 26.32%.
The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.
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