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Sunday, 31 December, 2023
4:25 PM

NFL Matchups

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

Broncos vs Chargers Week 17 Odds, Betting Analysis, Betting Trends and Stats

In a highly anticipated AFC West showdown, the Los Angeles Chargers will face off against the Denver Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High. This divisional matchup carries added significance as both teams will be motivated to secure a victory. Kickoff is scheduled for Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

The Chargers will enter the game with an extra day of rest, allowing them more time to prepare and recover. On the other hand, the Broncos will be playing on normal rest, which may give the Chargers a slight advantage.

With a disappointing 5-10 record this season, the Chargers have struggled to meet their preseason expectations. They have also endured a three-game losing streak. In their last game, they fell short against the Buffalo Bills with a close score of 24-22.

The Broncos, with a 7-8 record, have also faced challenges this season and are coming off a two-game losing streak. Their most recent game resulted in a 26-23 loss against the New England Patriots.

When these two teams faced off earlier in the season in Week 14, the Broncos emerged victorious with a convincing 24-7 road win. It was considered an upset as they were three-point underdogs with only a 40% chance of winning the game. Their ability to overcome the odds demonstrated their resilience.

The oddsmakers have labeled the Broncos as slight favorites at home, with a 62% chance of winning the game. The spread originally opened at Broncos -5.5 but has since moved to Broncos -3.5. This significant shift suggests that sharp bettors may be backing the Chargers, putting pressure on the sportsbooks.

As the Chargers look for redemption, and the Broncos aim to continue their home success, this game promises to be an intense battle within the AFC West. Football fans and sports bettors alike will be watching closely to see which team comes out on top.

Chargers vs Broncos Betting Odds

Chargers vs Broncos Records

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Denver Broncos

Jarrett Stidham

over / under

26.5

Pass Attempts

-145/114

The Denver Broncos will be forced to use backup QB Jarrett Stidham in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

Jerry Jeudy

over / under

43.5

Receiving Yards

-140/-102

After accumulating 89.0 air yards per game last year, Jerry Jeudy has seen a big downtick this year, currently boasting 70.0 per game.

Denver Broncos

over / under

39

Game Total

-110/-110

In putting up a paltry rate of 208.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year, the 8th-worst passing attack in the NFL has been the Denver Broncos.

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Los Angeles Chargers

Easton Stick

over / under

31.5

Pass Attempts

-113/-125

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Chargers are predicted by the projection model to call only 63.1 total plays in this game: the 3rd-fewest among all teams this week.

Austin Ekeler

over / under

30.5

Receiving Yards

-125/-115

Austin Ekeler has notched significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (33.0) this year than he did last year (43.0).

Easton Stick

over / under

206.5

Passing Yards

103/-145

The Broncos defense has been vulnerable when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 5.62 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the most in the league.

Chargers vs Broncos Injuries

Chargers ROI

Broncos ROI

Chargers Stats

Broncos Stats

Betting Trends

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Denver Broncos

The Denver Broncos have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.45 Units / 25% ROI)

Units

+5.45

ROI

24.77%

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Los Angeles Chargers

The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 21 games (+1.70 Units / 7% ROI)

Units

+1.7

ROI

7.19%

Jerry Jeudy

Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 56% ROI)

Units

+7.7

ROI

56.00%

Broncos vs Chargers Win Probability

* Stats and rankings in this article have been adjusted for context (i.e. weather, game state, field position, down, distance, etc). These are more predictive than raw stats and put players/teams on a more even playing field for the purpose of comparison. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry.

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