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Saturday, 11 January, 2025
4:30 PM

Matchups

Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans

Chargers vs Texans Predictions, Odds and Betting Trends Saturday 01-11-2025

Chargers vs Texans Predictions, Odds and Betting Trends Saturday 01-11-2025

The AFC Wild Card round of the NFL playoffs will see the Los Angeles Chargers (11-6) and Houston Texans (10-7) meeting at NRG Stadium on Saturday, January 11, 2025.

The Chargers are favored, but by less than a touchdown (-3), against the Texans. The over/under for this matchup is 41.5 points.

Click here to place your bets on this NFL matchup with BetUS!

Chargers vs. Texans Game Info

  • Game Date: Saturday, January 11, 2025
  • Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
  • Venue: NRG Stadium
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • TV: CBS

Chargers vs. Texans Picks & Trends

Score Prediction

Prediction: Chargers 23, Texans 20

Spread Pick & Trends

Pick ATS: Pick Em (model predicted spread is Chargers winning by 3 points)
  • The Chargers are 12-4-1 ATS this season.
  • Los Angeles is 8-1 ATS this season when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
  • So far this season, eight out of the Chargers' 17 games have gone over the point total.
  • Houston has compiled a 7-8-2 record against the spread this year.
  • Houston has been an underdog by 3 points or more four times this year, and covered the spread in two of those games.
  • In the Texans' 17 contests this year, the combined scoring has gone over the point total six times.

Total Pick & Trends

Pick OU: Over 41.5 (model projecting 42.6 points)

  • Just once last season did the Chargers and their opponent combine to score more than 41.5 points.
  • Houston games finished with over 41.5 points only two times last year.
  • The Chargers and Texans combined to average 42.6 points per contest last season, which is 1.1 more than the total for this game.
  • Last season, the opponents of these two teams posted a combined 44.2 points per game, 2.7 more than the point total in this matchup.
  • The over/under in this game is 41.5 points, 3.8 higher than the average total in Chargers games last season.
  • The average total points scored in Houston games last year (41.5) is 1.4 points higher than the total for this matchup.

Chargers vs. Texans Matchup Stats

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Chargers 23.6 17.7 24.1 22 23.2 13.9
Texans 21.9 21.9 20.1 21.8 23.4 22

Team Leaders

Chargers Team Leaders

  • Justin Herbert threw for 346 yards (77.8% completion rate) last week, with two touchdown passes and zero interceptions. His stats for the season are: 3,870 passing yards, 65.9%, 23 TDs and three picks. He also has 69 carries for 306 yards and two rushing TDs.
  • J.K. Dobbins' overall 2024 rushing numbers are 905 yards, 195 attempts, nine touchdowns. He had 18 carries for 63 yards and zero TDs a week ago.
  • The Chargers have gotten 365 rushing yards (on 101 carries) and four rushing touchdowns so far in 2024 from Gus Edwards.
  • Ladd McConkey had five receptions for 95 yards and zero touchdowns last week. His numbers on the season are 82 catches, 1,149 receiving yards and seven TDs.
  • A week ago, Quentin Johnston reeled in 13 balls for 186 yards and zero touchdowns. On the season, his stats are: 55 catches, 711 yards, eight TDs.
  • For the Chargers, Josh Palmer has 39 receptions for 584 yards (and one touchdown) in 2024.

Texans Team Leaders

  • In 15 games last season, C.J. Stroud passed for 4,108 yards (273.9 yards per game) while posting 23 touchdowns, five picks and a 63.9% completion percentage.
  • In addition to the numbers he posted through the air, Stroud chipped in 167 rushing yards and three touchdowns on the ground.
  • As a rusher, Joe Mixon accumulated 1,034 rushing yards with nine touchdowns for the Bengals last season.
  • Mixon amassed 52 catches (3.1 per game) for 376 yards (22.1 per game) and three TDs.
  • Nico Collins was an important part of the aerial attack last season, totaling 80 receptions for 1,297 yards and eight touchdowns.

Chargers vs Texans Betting Odds

Chargers vs Texans Player Props

Ladd McConkey Player Props: NFL AFC Wild Card Round vs. Texans

Ladd McConkey and the Los Angeles Chargers will play the Houston Texans in the AFC Wild Card Round, Saturday at 4:30 PM ET at NRG Stadium.

Chargers vs. Texans Game Details

  • Day: Saturday, January 11, 2025
  • Time: 4:30 PM ET
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Venue: NRG Stadium
  • TV Channel: CBS

Ladd McConkey Props and Betting Odds

  • Receiving yards prop: Over 79.5 (-114 for the over, -114 for the under)
  • Receptions prop: Over 6.5 (+100 for the over, -130 for the under)

Click here to place your bets on Ladd McConkey's props in this game with BetUS.

Ladd McConkey Game Log

Week Opponent Targets Receptions Yards TDs
Week 1 @Raiders 7 5 39 1
Week 2 @Panthers 4 2 26 0
Week 3 @Steelers 6 3 44 0
Week 4 @Chiefs 7 5 67 1
Week 6 @Broncos 8 4 43 0
Week 7 @Cardinals 7 5 46 0
Week 8 @Saints 6 6 111 2
Week 9 @Browns 7 5 64 0
Week 10 @Titans 2 2 52 0
Week 11 @Bengals 9 6 123 0
Week 12 @Ravens 6 6 83 0
Week 13 @Falcons 12 9 117 0
Week 15 @Buccaneers 7 5 58 1
Week 16 @Broncos 6 6 87 0
Week 17 @Patriots 10 8 94 2
Week 18 @Raiders 8 5 95 0

Texans Defensive Stats

  • The Texans' pass defense is the NFL's sixth-ranked squad this year after allowing passing 201 yards per game.
  • Houston has conceded 31 passing touchdowns on the season (1.8 per game), which ranks 30th among NFL defenses.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have thrown 19 interceptions against the Texans this year (1.1 per game). The Texans' defense ranks second in that category.
  • Against the run, the defense for Houston ranks 11th in the NFL after giving up 114 yards per game.
  • McConkey and the Chargers will face off against the NFL's fourth-ranked defense in terms of rushing touchdowns allowed (11).

C.J. Stroud Player Props: NFL AFC Wild Card Round vs. Chargers

C.J. Stroud and the Houston Texans will meet the Los Angeles Chargers in the AFC Wild Card Round, Saturday at 4:30 PM ET at NRG Stadium.

Texans vs. Chargers Game Details

  • Day: Saturday, January 11, 2025
  • Time: 4:30 PM ET
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Venue: NRG Stadium
  • TV Channel: CBS

C.J. Stroud Props and Betting Odds

  • Passing completions prop: Over 21.5 (-106 for the over, -122 for the under)
  • Passing TDs prop: Over 1.5 (+140 for the over, -185 for the under)
  • Passing interceptions prop: Over 0.5 (-135 for the over, +105 for the under)
  • Passing yards prop: Over 232.5 (-114 for the over, -114 for the under)
  • Rushing yards prop: Over 15.5 (-114 for the over, -114 for the under)
  • Rushing attempts prop: Over 3.5 (+110 for the over, -143 for the under)

Click here to place your bets on C.J. Stroud's props in this game with BetUS.

C.J. Stroud Game Log

Week Opponent Pass Comp. Pass Att. Pass Yards Pass TDs INTs Rush Att. Rush Yards Rush TDs
Week 1 @Colts 24 32 234 2 0 4 13 0
Week 2 @Bears 23 36 260 1 0 1 -1 0
Week 3 @Vikings 20 31 215 1 2 3 12 0
Week 4 @Jaguars 27 40 345 2 0 3 17 0
Week 5 @Bills 28 38 331 1 1 3 27 0
Week 6 @Patriots 20 31 192 3 1 3 7 0
Week 7 @Packers 10 21 86 0 0 5 19 0
Week 8 @Colts 25 37 285 1 0 1 -10 0
Week 9 @Jets 11 30 191 0 0 8 59 0
Week 10 @Lions 19 33 232 1 2 1 5 0
Week 11 @Cowboys 23 34 257 0 1 3 26 0
Week 12 @Titans 20 33 247 2 2 3 18 0
Week 13 @Jaguars 22 34 242 1 0 5 7 0
Week 15 @Dolphins 18 26 131 2 0 6 4 0
Week 16 @Chiefs 23 39 244 2 2 2 23 0
Week 17 @Ravens 17 31 185 0 1 1 7 0
Week 18 @Titans 6 6 50 1 0 0 0 0

Chargers Defensive Stats

  • The Chargers' pass defense is conceding 206.9 yards per game this year, the seventh-ranked pass defense in the NFL.
  • At 1.4 passing touchdowns conceded per game on the season, Los Angeles' defense ranks 12th in the NFL.
  • The Chargers' defense has picked off opposing QBs 15 times so far this year (0.9 per game) to rankeighth in the NFL.
  • Stroud will go up against a defense from Los Angeles that allows 117.5 rushing yards per game to be the NFL's 14th-ranked rush defense.
  • Stroud and the Texans will square off against the NFL's top defense in terms of rushing touchdowns allowed (seven).

Nico Collins Player Props: NFL AFC Wild Card Round vs. Chargers

On Saturday at 4:30 PM ET, Nico Collins and the Houston Texans play the Los Angeles Chargers in the AFC Wild Card Round.

Texans vs. Chargers Game Details

  • Day: Saturday, January 11, 2025
  • Time: 4:30 PM ET
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Venue: NRG Stadium
  • TV Channel: CBS

Nico Collins Props and Betting Odds

  • Receiving yards prop: Over 88.5 (-114 for the over, -114 for the under)
  • Receptions prop: Over 6.5 (+110 for the over, -143 for the under)

Click here to place your bets on Nico Collins' props in this game with BetUS.

Nico Collins Game Log

Week Opponent Targets Receptions Yards TDs
Week 1 @Colts 8 6 117 0
Week 2 @Bears 10 8 135 1
Week 3 @Vikings 10 4 86 0
Week 4 @Jaguars 15 12 151 1
Week 5 @Bills 2 2 78 1
Week 11 @Cowboys 7 4 54 0
Week 12 @Titans 9 5 92 1
Week 13 @Jaguars 11 8 119 0
Week 15 @Dolphins 6 4 17 2
Week 16 @Chiefs 10 7 60 0
Week 17 @Ravens 6 3 59 0
Week 18 @Titans 5 5 38 1

Chargers Defensive Stats

  • The 206.9 passing yards per game the Chargers' defense is giving up makes the squad the seventh-ranked pass defense in the NFL.
  • With 24 passing TDs allowed on the season, Los Angeles' defense ranks 12th in NFL play.
  • The Chargers' defense has picked off opposing QBs 15 times so far this year (0.9 per game) to rankeighth in the NFL.
  • Allowing 117.5 rushing yards per game, the defense of Los Angeles is the 14th-ranked run defense in the NFL.
  • The Chargers have given up seven rushing touchdowns to rank first in NFL play.

Justin Herbert Player Props: NFL AFC Wild Card Round vs. Texans

Coming off a two-touchdown, 346-yard passing game, Justin Herbert and the Los Angeles Chargers will face the Houston Texans in the AFC Wild Card Round, on Saturday at 4:30 PM ET.

Chargers vs. Texans Game Details

  • Day: Saturday, January 11, 2025
  • Time: 4:30 PM ET
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Venue: NRG Stadium
  • TV Channel: CBS

Justin Herbert Props and Betting Odds

  • Passing completions prop: Over 20.5 (-123 for the over, -105 for the under)
  • Passing TDs prop: Over 1.5 (-120 for the over, -108 for the under)
  • Passing interceptions prop: Over 0.5 (+130 for the over, -169 for the under)
  • Passing yards prop: Over 235.5 (-123 for the over, -105 for the under)
  • Rushing yards prop: Over 21.5 (-114 for the over, -114 for the under)
  • Rushing attempts prop: Over 4.5 (-114 for the over, -114 for the under)

Click here to place your bets on Justin Herbert's props in this game with BetUS.

Justin Herbert Game Log

Week Opponent Pass Comp. Pass Att. Pass Yards Pass TDs INTs Rush Att. Rush Yards Rush TDs
Week 1 @Raiders 17 26 144 1 0 4 6 0
Week 2 @Panthers 14 20 130 2 1 6 18 0
Week 3 @Steelers 12 18 125 1 0 1 0 0
Week 4 @Chiefs 16 27 179 1 0 3 0 0
Week 6 @Broncos 21 34 237 1 0 4 2 0
Week 7 @Cardinals 27 39 349 0 0 2 8 0
Week 8 @Saints 20 32 279 2 0 4 49 0
Week 9 @Browns 18 27 282 2 0 3 2 0
Week 10 @Titans 14 18 164 1 0 9 32 1
Week 11 @Bengals 17 36 297 2 0 5 65 0
Week 12 @Ravens 21 36 218 0 0 4 29 1
Week 13 @Falcons 16 23 147 0 0 5 1 0
Week 14 @Chiefs 21 30 213 1 0 4 12 0
Week 15 @Buccaneers 21 33 195 2 1 0 0 0
Week 16 @Broncos 23 31 284 2 1 8 28 0
Week 17 @Patriots 26 38 281 3 0 3 12 0
Week 18 @Raiders 28 36 346 2 0 4 42 0

Texans Defensive Stats

  • The Texans' have the NFL's sixth-ranked pass defense this year after allowing passing 201 yards per game.
  • Houston has given up 31 passing touchdowns on the season (1.8 per game), which ranks 30th among NFL defenses.
  • With 19 interceptions so far this year, the Texans defense ranks second in the NFL.
  • The defense of Houston gives up 114 rushing yards per game, the NFL's 11th-ranked rush defense.
  • The Texans have given up 11 rushing touchdowns to rank fourth in league play.

Joe Mixon Player Props: NFL AFC Wild Card Round vs. Chargers

In the AFC Wild Card Round, Joe Mixon and the Houston Texans will play the Los Angeles Chargers, on Saturday at 4:30 PM ET.

Texans vs. Chargers Game Details

  • Day: Saturday, January 11, 2025
  • Time: 4:30 PM ET
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Venue: NRG Stadium
  • TV Channel: CBS

Joe Mixon Props and Betting Odds

  • Rushing yards prop: Over 73.5 (-114 for the over, -114 for the under)
  • Rushing attempts prop: Over 18.5 (-105 for the over, -123 for the under)
  • Receiving yards prop: Over 21.5 (-122 for the over, -106 for the under)
  • Receptions prop: Over 3.5 (+110 for the over, -143 for the under)

Click here to place your bets on Joe Mixon's props in this game with BetUS.

Joe Mixon Game Log

Week Opponent Carries Rush Yards Rush TDs Receptions Rec Yards Rec TDs
Week 1 @Colts 30 159 1 3 19 0
Week 2 @Bears 9 25 0 3 25 0
Week 6 @Patriots 13 102 1 2 30 1
Week 7 @Packers 25 115 2 2 9 0
Week 8 @Colts 25 102 1 4 32 0
Week 9 @Jets 24 106 1 0 0 0
Week 10 @Lions 25 46 1 2 44 0
Week 11 @Cowboys 20 109 3 2 44 0
Week 12 @Titans 14 22 0 5 23 0
Week 13 @Jaguars 20 101 1 4 18 0
Week 15 @Dolphins 12 23 0 5 33 0
Week 16 @Chiefs 14 57 0 1 14 0
Week 17 @Ravens 9 26 0 2 13 0
Week 18 @Titans 5 23 0 1 5 0

Chargers Defensive Stats

  • The 206.9 passing yards the Chargers' defense allows per game makes them the NFL's seventh-ranked pass defense this year.
  • Los Angeles has given up 24 touchdowns through the air on the season (1.4 per game). It is 12th in the NFL in that category.
  • The Chargers have collected 15 interceptions so far this year to rank eighth in the NFL.
  • The defense of Los Angeles allows 117.5 rushing yards per game, the NFL's 14th-ranked rush defense.
  • This year, the Chargers rank first in NFL play in rushing touchdowns allowed (seven).

Quentin Johnston Player Props: NFL AFC Wild Card Round vs. Texans

Quentin Johnston and the Los Angeles Chargers will face the Houston Texans in the AFC Wild Card Round, Saturday at 4:30 PM ET at NRG Stadium.

Chargers vs. Texans Game Details

  • Day: Saturday, January 11, 2025
  • Time: 4:30 PM ET
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Venue: NRG Stadium
  • TV Channel: CBS

Quentin Johnston Props and Betting Odds

  • Receiving yards prop: Over 47.5 (-122 for the over, -106 for the under)
  • Receptions prop: Over 4.5 (+130 for the over, -169 for the under)

Click here to place your bets on Quentin Johnston's props in this game with BetUS.

Quentin Johnston Game Log

Week Opponent Targets Receptions Yards TDs
Week 1 @Raiders 5 3 38 0
Week 2 @Panthers 6 5 51 2
Week 3 @Steelers 2 2 44 1
Week 4 @Chiefs 5 1 9 0
Week 6 @Broncos 4 3 22 0
Week 9 @Browns 5 4 118 1
Week 10 @Titans 2 2 24 1
Week 11 @Bengals 8 2 48 1
Week 12 @Ravens 5 0 0 0
Week 13 @Falcons 4 2 12 0
Week 14 @Chiefs 7 5 48 1
Week 15 @Buccaneers 10 5 45 1
Week 16 @Broncos 6 3 18 0
Week 17 @Patriots 8 5 48 0
Week 18 @Raiders 14 13 186 0

Texans Defensive Stats

  • The Texans' pass defense is the NFL's sixth-ranked squad this year after giving up passing 201 yards per game.
  • Houston has allowed 31 touchdowns through the air on the season (1.8 per game). It is 30th in the NFL in that category.
  • With 19 interceptions this year, the Texans defense ranks second in the league.
  • Johnston will go up against a defense from Houston that gives up 114 rushing yards per game to be the NFL's 11th-ranked rush defense.
  • This season the Texans have allowed 11 total rushing TDs, which ranks fourth in league play.

J.K. Dobbins Player Props: NFL AFC Wild Card Round vs. Texans

The Los Angeles Chargers, with running back J.K. Dobbins, will take on the Houston Texans on Saturday at 4:30 PM ET, in the AFC Wild Card Round. Here are his numbers -- 18 carries, 63 yards -- from his previous game.

Chargers vs. Texans Game Details

  • Day: Saturday, January 11, 2025
  • Time: 4:30 PM ET
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Venue: NRG Stadium
  • TV Channel: CBS

J.K. Dobbins Props and Betting Odds

  • Rushing yards prop: Over 59.5 (-114 for the over, -114 for the under)
  • Rushing attempts prop: Over 14.5 (-135 for the over, +105 for the under)
  • Receiving yards prop: Over 12.5 (-114 for the over, -114 for the under)
  • Receptions prop: Over 2.5 (+134 for the over, -175 for the under)

Click here to place your bets on J.K. Dobbins' props in this game with BetUS.

J.K. Dobbins Game Log

Week Opponent Carries Rush Yards Rush TDs Receptions Rec Yards Rec TDs
Week 1 @Raiders 10 135 1 3 4 0
Week 2 @Panthers 17 131 1 1 0 0
Week 3 @Steelers 15 44 0 3 10 0
Week 4 @Chiefs 14 32 0 3 30 0
Week 6 @Broncos 25 96 1 2 6 0
Week 7 @Cardinals 14 40 0 3 26 0
Week 8 @Saints 17 57 1 4 11 0
Week 9 @Browns 14 85 2 2 20 0
Week 10 @Titans 15 50 0 3 5 0
Week 11 @Bengals 11 56 2 1 3 0
Week 12 @Ravens 6 40 0 3 19 0
Week 17 @Patriots 19 76 1 1 7 0
Week 18 @Raiders 18 63 0 3 12 0

Texans Defensive Stats

  • The 201 passing yards per game the Texans' defense is allowing makes the squad the sixth-ranked pass defense in the NFL.
  • With 31 passing TDs conceded on the season, Houston's defense ranks 30th in NFL play.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have thrown 19 interceptions against the Texans this year (1.1 per game). The Texans' defense ranks second in that category.
  • The defense of Houston allows 114 rushing yards per game, the NFL's 11th-ranked rush defense.
  • This year, the Texans rank fourth in league play in rushing touchdowns allowed (11).

Chargers vs Texans Records

Chargers vs Texans Injuries

Chargers ROI

Texans ROI

Chargers Stats

Texans Stats

Texans vs Chargers Win Probability

* Stats and rankings in this article have been adjusted for context (i.e. weather, game state, field position, down, distance, etc). These are more predictive than raw stats and put players/teams on a more even playing field for the purpose of comparison. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry.