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Texans Team Logo

-305
-7 (100)

vs

Team Logo Patriots

253
7 (-120)

Sunday, 13 October, 2024
1:00 PM

O/U:37.5
(-110 / -110)

NFL Matchups

Houston Texans vs New England Patriots

Texans vs Patriots Prediction, Preview, Stream, Odds & Picks

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The New England Patriots (1-4) host the Houston Texans (4-1) on Sunday, October 13, 2024 at Gillette Stadium and will aim to break a four-game losing streak.

The Texans are expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -7) versus the Patriots. The over/under for this matchup is 37.5 points.

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Texans vs. Patriots Game Info

  • Game Date: Sunday, October 13, 2024
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Gillette Stadium
  • Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts
  • TV: CBS

Texans vs. Patriots Picks & Insights

Score Prediction

Prediction: Texans 25, Patriots 13

Spread Pick & Insights

Pick ATS: Texans -7 (model predicted spread is Texans winning by 11.1 points)
  • The Texans have covered just once in five games with a spread this season.
  • Texans games have gone over the point total just once this season.
  • New England has covered just once in five matchups with a spread this season.
  • New England has covered the spread once this season (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 7-point underdogs.
  • So far this season, two Patriots games have gone over the point total.

Total Pick & Insights

Pick OU: Over 37.5 (model projecting 38.0 points)

  • New England and its opponents have combined to score more than 37.5 points twice this season.
  • These teams average 32.8 points per game combined, 4.7 less than this game's total.
  • The Texans have an average point total of 46.4 in their outings this year, 8.9 more points than this game's over/under.
  • New England's average game total this season has been 39.4, 1.9 more points than this matchup's over/under.
  • The Texans score the 18th-most points in the league this season, while the Patriots' offense racks up the 31st-most.
  • This contest features the league's 12th-ranked (New England) and 17th-ranked (Houston) scoring defenses.

Texans vs. Patriots Stat Matchup

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Texans 20.4 22.8 22.0 17.7 18.0 30.5
Patriots 12.4 20.4 15.0 19.0 10.7 21.3

Team Leaders

Texans

  • Last week C.J. Stroud threw for 331 yards (completing 73.7%), with one touchdown pass and one interception. On the season, his numbers are: 1,385 passing yards, 68.9%, seven TDs and three picks. He also has 68 rushing yards on 14 carries.
  • In 2024, Joe Mixon has 39 carries for 184 yards and one touchdown. (He also has six catches for 44 yards.)
  • One week ago Cam Akers had 42 rushing yards on nine attempts with one touchdown. For the season, his stats are: 38 carries, 148 yards, one TD.
  • Stefon Diggs had six receptions for 82 yards and zero touchdowns last week. His stats on the season are 31 catches, 315 receiving yards and two TDs.
  • A week ago, Dare Ogunbowale caught six balls for 57 yards and zero touchdowns. On the season, his numbers are: 15 catches, 155 yards, one TD.
  • The Texans' Tank Dell snatched four balls last week for 38 yards and zero touchdowns. His overall 2024 stats are: 13 catches, 137 yards and zero scores.

Patriots

  • Rhamondre Stevenson has rushed for 356 yards (71.2 per game) and three TDs in five games.
  • In five games played, Jacoby Brissett has thrown for 696 yards (139.2 per game), with two touchdowns and one interception, and a completion percentage of 58.5%.
  • Plus, Brissett has run for 51 yards and zero TDs.
  • On the ground, Antonio Gibson has scored zero touchdowns and amassed 207 yards (41.4 per game).
  • As a receiver, Gibson has scored zero touchdowns, with eight catches for 86 yards.

Texans vs Patriots Betting Odds

Texans vs Patriots Player Props

C.J. Stroud Player Props: NFL Week 6 vs. Patriots

In Week 6, C.J. Stroud and the Houston Texans meet the New England Patriots, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET. He passed for 331 yards and one touchdown in his previous game.

Texans vs. Patriots Game Details

  • Day: Sunday, October 13, 2024
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts
  • Venue: Gillette Stadium
  • TV Channel: CBS

C.J. Stroud Props and Betting Odds

  • Passing completions prop: Over 21.5 (-130 for the over, +101 for the under)
  • Passing TDs prop: Over 1.5 (+104 for the over, -135 for the under)
  • Passing interceptions prop: Over 0.5 (+109 for the over, -141 for the under)
  • Passing yards prop: Over 237.5 (-120 for the over, -108 for the under)
  • Rushing yards prop: Over 8.5 (-118 for the over, -110 for the under)

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C.J. Stroud Game Log

Week Opponent Pass Comp. Pass Att. Pass Yards Pass TDs INTs Rush Att. Rush Yards Rush TDs
Week 1 @Colts 24 32 234 2 0 4 13 0
Week 2 @Bears 23 36 260 1 0 1 -1 0
Week 3 @Vikings 20 31 215 1 2 3 12 0
Week 4 @Jaguars 27 40 345 2 0 3 17 0
Week 5 @Bills 28 38 331 1 1 3 27 0

Patriots Defensive Stats

  • The 239 passing yards per game the Patriots' defense is giving up makes the squad the 25th-ranked pass defense in the NFL.
  • New England has conceded four passing touchdowns on the season (0.8 per game), which ranks seventh among NFL defenses.
  • The Patriots have collected two interceptions this year to rank 21st in the league.
  • Stroud will go up against a defense from New England that gives up 118 rushing yards per game to be the NFL's 13th-ranked rush defense.
  • The Texans are up against the 16th-ranked D in NFL play when it comes to rushing TDs conceded (five this year).

Stefon Diggs Player Props: NFL Week 6 vs. Patriots

Stefon Diggs and the Houston Texans will play the New England Patriots in Week 6, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET at Gillette Stadium.

Texans vs. Patriots Game Details

  • Day: Sunday, October 13, 2024
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts
  • Venue: Gillette Stadium
  • TV Channel: CBS

Stefon Diggs Props and Betting Odds

  • Receiving yards prop: Over 63.5 (-114 for the over, -114 for the under)
  • Receptions prop: Over 5.5 (-123 for the over, -104 for the under)

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Stefon Diggs Game Log

Week Opponent Targets Receptions Yards TDs
Week 1 @Colts 6 6 33 2
Week 2 @Bears 6 4 37 0
Week 3 @Vikings 12 10 94 0
Week 4 @Jaguars 9 5 69 0
Week 5 @Bills 8 6 82 0

Patriots Defensive Stats

  • The 239 passing yards the Patriots' defense gives up per game makes them the NFL's 25th-ranked pass defense this year.
  • New England has allowed four touchdowns through the air on the season (0.8 per game). It is seventh in the league in that category.
  • The Patriots rank 21st in the league in interceptions, with two so far this year.
  • The defense for New England is the NFL's 13th-ranked run defense against the run, surrendering 118 yards per game.
  • This year the Patriots have conceded five total rushing TDs, which ranks 16th in league play.

Joe Mixon Player Props: NFL Week 6 vs. Patriots

Joe Mixon -- last in action in Week 2 -- and the Houston Texans play the New England Patriots in Week 6, on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET. His stats from his previous game: 9 carries, 25 yards; 3 receptions, 25 yards.

Texans vs. Patriots Game Details

  • Day: Sunday, October 13, 2024
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts
  • Venue: Gillette Stadium
  • TV Channel: CBS

Joe Mixon Props and Betting Odds

  • Rushing yards prop: Over 49.5 (-119 for the over, -109 for the under)

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Joe Mixon Game Log

Week Opponent Carries Rush Yards Rush TDs Receptions Rec Yards Rec TDs
Week 1 @Colts 30 159 1 3 19 0
Week 2 @Bears 9 25 0 3 25 0

Patriots Defensive Stats

  • The 239 passing yards the Patriots' defense gives up per game makes them the NFL's 25th-ranked pass defense this year.
  • New England has surrendered four touchdowns through the air on the season (0.8 per game). It is seventh in the NFL in that category.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have thrown two interceptions against the Patriots this year (0.4 per game). The Patriots' defense ranks 21st in that category.
  • Mixon will go up against a defense from New England that is giving up 118 rushing yards per game to be the NFL's 13th-ranked rush defense.
  • Mixon and the Texans will face off against the NFL's 16th-ranked defense in terms of rushing touchdowns conceded (five).

Texans vs Patriots Records

Texans vs Patriots Injuries

Texans ROI

Patriots ROI

Texans Stats

Patriots Stats

Patriots vs Texans Win Probability

* Stats and rankings in this article have been adjusted for context (i.e. weather, game state, field position, down, distance, etc). These are more predictive than raw stats and put players/teams on a more even playing field for the purpose of comparison. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry.

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