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Sunday, 24 September, 2023
4:25 PM

NFL Matchups

Kansas City Chiefs vs Chicago Bears

Chiefs vs Bears Prediction, Preview, Stream, Odds & Picks

Let’s check the latest news, stats, injury reports, and NFL Odds for Kansas City Chiefs vs Chicago Bears. We’ve plenty of NFL predictions for you to consider.

Justin Fields and the Chicago Bears faceoff against Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs. The Chiefs enter the game as a huge favorite (-710) as the home team. Kansas City is currently favored by -12.0 points while the Game Total is currently sitting on 48.5.

Kansas City's primary advantage has been their offense, which ranks #1 in the NFL at 405 yards per game. The quality of their passing attack has led to much of their success. The Chiefs 318 yards per game through the air ranks #1-best in football this year. It's easy to see why they've done so well through the air when you notice the quality of their offensive line, which ranks #7 in the league in pass protection. When it comes to their defense, the Chiefs check in at #17 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 237 yards per game against Kansas City this year (#27 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #10 against them with 4.4 yards per ground attempt. This Chiefs defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, keeping them in check at just 7.9 yards per target (#10-best in the league). Kansas City's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing running backs, who have caught 90.9% of their passes (#1-highest in the league).

Chicago's biggest weakness has been their offense, ranking #32 in the league with a mere 252 yards per game. They've failed so much on offense in large part because of their passing attack, which checks in at #1-worst in football with 163 yards per game. In terms of their defense, the Bears have ranked #28 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 216 yards per game through the air against them (#15 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #28 with 5.03 yards per carry. Chicago has been most effective in shutting down opposing tight ends, holding them to 37 yards per game (#5-best). Chicago has been least effective in shutting down opposing wide receivers, giving up 9.92 yards per target (#1-worst).

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Kansas City Chiefs

Skyy Moore

Over / Under

0

Pass Attempts

0/0

THE BLITZ projects Skyy Moore to be a more important option in his offense's passing game this week (12.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (6.0% in games he has played).

Travis Kelce

Over / Under

0

Pass Attempts

0/0

Travis Kelce has notched a monstrous 66.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 98th percentile among TEs.

Skyy Moore

Over / Under

0

Pass Attempts

0/0

The Chicago Bears pass defense has performed very well when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.73 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 2nd-least in the league.

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Chicago Bears

Khalil Herbert

Over / Under

0

Pass Attempts

0/0

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the 6th-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 46.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Cole Kmet

Over / Under

0

Pass Attempts

0/0

Cole Kmet's pass-catching effectiveness has tailed off this year, compiling just 6.84 yards-per-target vs a 8.00 mark last year.

Cole Kmet

Over / Under

0

Pass Attempts

0/0

THE BLITZ projects Cole Kmet to total 0.24 receiving touchdowns this week, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among tight ends.

ROI - Bears

ROI - Chiefs

Bears Stats

Chiefs Stats

Betting Trends

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The Chicago Bears have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 43% ROI)

Units

+9.5

ROI

43.18%

Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes has hit the Passing Yards Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 38% ROI)

Units

+6.5

ROI

37.79%

* Stats and rankings in this article have been adjusted for context (i.e. weather, game state, field position, down, distance, etc). These are more predictive than raw stats and put players/teams on a more even playing field for the purpose of comparison. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry.

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