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Sunday, 24 September, 2023
1:00 PM

NFL Matchups

Miami Dolphins vs Denver Broncos

Dolphins vs Broncos Prediction, Preview, Stream, Odds & Picks

Let’s check the latest news, stats, injury reports, and NFL Odds for Miami Dolphins vs Denver Broncos. We’ve plenty of NFL predictions for you to consider.

The last time these two teams played each other was Week 11 in 2020. That game resulted in a road win for the Broncos with a final score of 20-13.

Miami's primary advantage has been their offense, which ranks #5 in the NFL at 367 yards per game. The quality of their passing attack has led to much of their success. The Dolphins 278 yards per game through the air ranks #5-best in football this year. They haven’t made things easy for opposing defense given they they've also positioned themselves in the top 10 on the ground as well, rushing for 4.54 yards per carry. When it comes to their defense, the Dolphins check in at #19 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 237 yards per game against Miami this year (#27 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #18 against them with 4.55 yards per ground attempt. This Dolphins defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, keeping them in check at just 7.43 yards per target (#3-best in the league). Miami's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing tight ends, who have caught 82.2% of their passes (#1-highest in the league).

Denver's biggest weakness has been their rushing offense, checking in at #26 in the league with a mere 3.99 yards per carry. In failing to successfully establish the run, Denver has also had trouble moving the ball through the air, averaging a paltry 6.67 yards per target, which ranks them #24 in football. In terms of their defense, the Broncos have ranked #7 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 211 yards per game through the air against them (#11 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #13 with 4.5 yards per carry. Denver has been most effective in shutting down opposing wide receivers, holding them to 122 yards per game (#2-best). Denver has been least effective in shutting down opposing tight ends, giving up 52 yards per game (#8-worst).

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Miami Dolphins

Durham Smythe

Over / Under

0

Pass Attempts

0/0

THE BLITZ projects Durham Smythe to be a more important option in his team's passing game this week (12.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (4.9% in games he has played).

Tua Tagovailoa

Over / Under

0

Pass Attempts

0/0

Tua Tagovailoa's pass-game efficiency has gotten a boost this season, notching 9.87 yards-per-target compared to a measly 8.22 rate last season.

Miami Dolphins

Over / Under

0

Pass Attempts

0/0

The Miami Dolphins have ranked among the best passing teams in the league since the start of last season (#5), averaging an impressive 278 yards per game through the air.

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Denver Broncos

Denver Broncos

Over / Under

0

Pass Attempts

0/0

The Broncos have been the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) since the start of last season with a 63.7% red zone pass rate.

Russell Wilson

Over / Under

0

Pass Attempts

0/0

The Miami Dolphins safeties rank as the 4th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Jerry Jeudy

Over / Under

0

Pass Attempts

0/0

The Miami Dolphins pass defense has performed very well when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.50 yards-after-the-catch this year: the least in the NFL.

ROI - Broncos

ROI - Dolphins

Broncos Stats

Dolphins Stats

Betting Trends

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Miami Dolphins

The Miami Dolphins have scored first in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.65 Units / 25% ROI)

Units

+2.65

ROI

24.65%

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The Denver Broncos have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.60 Units / 15% ROI)

Units

+1.6

ROI

14.55%

Jerry Jeudy

Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 56% ROI)

Units

+7.7

ROI

56.00%

* Stats and rankings in this article have been adjusted for context (i.e. weather, game state, field position, down, distance, etc). These are more predictive than raw stats and put players/teams on a more even playing field for the purpose of comparison. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry.

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