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Sunday, 24 November, 2024
1:00 PM

NFL Matchups

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins

Patriots vs Dolphins Week 8 Lines, Spreads, and Betting Trends

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Something has to give when the New England Patriots (1-3) bring a three-game losing streak into a meeting October 6, 2024 against the Miami Dolphins (1-3), who are on their own three-game losing streak.

The Patriots-Dolphins game is a pick 'em and the over/under is 36 points. In terms of the moneyline, the Patriots are and the Dolphins are .

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Patriots vs. Dolphins Game Info

  • Game Date: Sunday, October 6, 2024
  • Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Gillette Stadium
  • Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts
  • TV: FOX

Patriots vs. Dolphins Picks & Insights

Score Prediction

Prediction: Patriots 28, Dolphins 8

Spread Pick & Insights

Pick ATS: Patriots -0 (model predicted spread is Patriots winning by 19.6 points)
  • The Patriots have won one game against the spread this season.
  • This season, games featuring the Patriots have hit the over twice.
  • Miami has compiled a 0-4-0 record against the spread this year.
  • Miami has been an underdog by 0 points or more this year once, and failed to cover the spread.
  • Dolphins games have gone over the point total just once this year.

Total Pick & Insights

Pick OU: Under 36 (model projecting 35.9 points)

  • Miami has combined with its opponents to score more than 36 points in three of four games this season.
  • These teams rack up a combined 24.3 points per game, 11.7 fewer points than this matchup's total.
  • The average total in Patriots outings this year is 40.3, 4.3 more than this matchup's over/under.
  • Miami has a 44.1-point average over/under in their outings this season, 8.1 more points than this game's point total.
  • The Patriots are the 31st-highest scoring team in the NFL this year. The Dolphins have scored the 32nd-most points.
  • This game features the NFL's 24th-ranked (Miami) and 15th-ranked (New England) scoring defenses.

Patriots vs. Dolphins Stat Matchup

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Patriots 13.0 21.8 20.0 23.0 10.7 21.3
Dolphins 11.3 25.8 14.0 26.3 3.0 24.0

Team Leaders

Patriots

  • Jacoby Brissett threw for 168 yards (59.4% completion rate) last week, with one touchdown pass and one interception. His numbers on the season are: 536 passing yards, 60.4%, two TDs and one pick. He also has 11 carries for 41 yards.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson's overall 2024 rushing stats are 267 yards, 65 attempts, two touchdowns. He had 13 carries for 43 yards and zero TDs a week ago.
  • One week ago Antonio Gibson had 12 rushing yards on six attempts with zero touchdowns. For the season, his numbers are: 29 carries, 155 yards, zero TDs.
  • Hunter Henry's stats on the season are 14 catches, 148 receiving yards and zero touchdowns. He had two receptions for 12 yards and zero TDs last week.
  • Demario Douglas snatched three passes for 13 yards and zero touchdowns last week. His numbers on the season are 12 receptions, 94 yards and zero TDs.
  • Gibson's overall numbers for the Patriots in 2024: seven receptions, 82 yards and zero TDs.

Dolphins

  • In four games, Devon Achane has run for 165 yards (41.3 per game) and one TD.
  • In addition, Achane has caught 20 balls for 187 yards and one touchdown.
  • In four games, Tyreek Hill has tallied 17 receptions for 217 yards (54.3 per game) and one touchdown.
  • In four games, Jaylen Waddle has totaled 17 receptions for 212 yards (53.0 per game) and zero touchdowns.

Patriots vs Dolphins Betting Odds

Patriots vs Dolphins Player Props

Antonio Gibson Player Props: NFL Week 5 vs. Dolphins

Antonio Gibson and the New England Patriots meet the Miami Dolphins in Week 5, on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET. His numbers from his most recent game: 6 carries, 12 yards; 3 receptions, 67 yards.

Patriots vs. Dolphins Game Details

  • Day: Sunday, October 6, 2024
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts
  • Venue: Gillette Stadium
  • TV Channel: FOX

Antonio Gibson Props and Betting Odds

  • Rushing yards prop: Over 46.5 (-112 for the over, -115 for the under)
  • Rushing attempts prop: Over 11.5 (+104 for the over, -135 for the under)
  • Receiving yards prop: Over 12.5 (-118 for the over, -110 for the under)
  • Receptions prop: Over 1.5 (-192 for the over, +145 for the under)

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Antonio Gibson Game Log

Week Opponent Carries Rush Yards Rush TDs Receptions Rec Yards Rec TDs
Week 1 @Bengals 7 18 0 0 0 0
Week 2 @Seahawks 11 96 0 1 7 0
Week 3 @Jets 5 29 0 3 8 0
Week 4 @49ers 6 12 0 3 67 0

Dolphins Defensive Stats

  • The Dolphins' pass defense is the NFL's fifth-ranked squad this year after giving up passing 162.5 yards per game.
  • Miami has surrendered three touchdowns through the air on the season (0.8 per game). It is fourth in the league in that category.
  • The Dolphins' defense has picked off opposing QBs three times this year (0.8 per game) to rank10th in the NFL.
  • The defense of Miami allows 119.5 rushing yards per game, the NFL's 16th-ranked rush defense.
  • The Patriots are up against the 29th-ranked D in league play when it comes to rushing TDs conceded (seven this year).

Raheem Mostert Player Props: NFL Week 5 vs. Patriots

Raheem Mostert -- last in action in Week 1 -- and the Miami Dolphins meet the New England Patriots in Week 5, on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET. His numbers from his previous game: 6 carries, 9 yards.

Dolphins vs. Patriots Game Details

  • Day: Sunday, October 6, 2024
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts
  • Venue: Gillette Stadium
  • TV Channel: FOX

Raheem Mostert Props and Betting Odds

  • Rushing yards prop: Over 27.5 (-116 for the over, -111 for the under)

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Raheem Mostert Game Log (Last Season)

Week Opponent Carries Rush Yards Rush TDs Receptions Rec Yards Rec TDs
Week 1 @Chargers 10 37 1 2 13 0
Week 2 @Patriots 18 121 2 1 6 0
Week 3 @Broncos 13 82 3 7 60 1
Week 4 @Bills 7 9 0 3 36 0
Week 5 @Giants 10 65 1 2 13 0
Week 6 @Panthers 17 115 2 3 17 1
Week 7 @Eagles 9 45 0 1 6 0
Week 8 @Patriots 13 46 1 0 0 0
Week 9 @Chiefs 12 85 1 0 0 0
Week 11 @Raiders 22 86 0 1 7 0
Week 12 @Jets 20 94 2 0 0 0
Week 13 @Commanders 11 43 1 1 8 0
Week 14 @Titans 21 96 2 1 4 0
Week 15 @Jets 15 42 2 2 1 0
Week 16 @Cowboys 11 46 0 1 4 1
Wild Card @Chiefs 8 33 0 1 -3 0

Patriots Defensive Stats (Last Season)

  • The Patriots were the NFL's 11th-ranked defense against the pass last year, yielding 208.4 passing yards per game.
  • New England gave up 19 passing touchdowns (1.1 per game) last year, which ranked its defense fourth in the league.
  • Opposing QBs tossed 10 picks against the Patriots a season ago (0.6 per game). The Patriots' pass D ranked 23rd in interceptions.
  • By surrendering 93.2 yards per game on the ground last year, New England was the NFL's fourth-ranked run defense.
  • A year ago, the Patriots conceded 14 rushing scores, which ranked 11th in the league.

Jacoby Brissett Player Props: NFL Week 5 vs. Dolphins

Jacoby Brissett and the New England Patriots play the Miami Dolphins in Week 5, on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET. His numbers from his most recent game: 19-of-32 (59.4%), 168 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT.

Patriots vs. Dolphins Game Details

  • Day: Sunday, October 6, 2024
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts
  • Venue: Gillette Stadium
  • TV Channel: FOX

Jacoby Brissett Props and Betting Odds

  • Passing completions prop: Over 16.5 (-112 for the over, -115 for the under)
  • Passing TDs prop: Over 0.5 (-169 for the over, +130 for the under)
  • Passing interceptions prop: Over 0.5 (-102 for the over, -127 for the under)
  • Passing yards prop: Over 160.5 (-112 for the over, -115 for the under)
  • Rushing yards prop: Over 9.5 (-110 for the over, -118 for the under)
  • Rushing attempts prop: Over 2.5 (-169 for the over, +130 for the under)

Click here to place your bets on Jacoby Brissett's props in this game with BetUS.

Jacoby Brissett Game Log

Week Opponent Pass Comp. Pass Att. Pass Yards Pass TDs INTs Rush Att. Rush Yards Rush TDs
Week 1 @Bengals 15 24 121 0 0 7 32 0
Week 2 @Seahawks 15 27 149 1 0 2 6 0
Week 3 @Jets 12 18 98 0 0 0 0 0
Week 4 @49ers 19 32 168 1 1 2 3 0

Dolphins Defensive Stats

  • The Dolphins' have the NFL's fifth-ranked pass defense this year after allowing passing 162.5 yards per game.
  • Miami is fourth in the league after conceding 0.8 passing touchdowns per game on the season.
  • The Dolphins' defense has picked off opposing QBs three times so far this year (0.8 per game) to rank10th in the NFL.
  • The defense for Miami is the NFL's 17th-ranked run defense against the run, giving up 119.5 yards per game.
  • The Patriots are up against the 29th-ranked D in league play when it comes to rushing TDs allowed (seven this year).

Tyreek Hill Player Props: NFL Week 5 vs. Patriots

In Week 5, Tyreek Hill and the Miami Dolphins will face the New England Patriots, on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

Dolphins vs. Patriots Game Details

  • Day: Sunday, October 6, 2024
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts
  • Venue: Gillette Stadium
  • TV Channel: FOX

Tyreek Hill Props and Betting Odds

  • Receiving yards prop: Over 48.5 (-114 for the over, -114 for the under)
  • Receptions prop: Over 4.5 (+113 for the over, -147 for the under)

Click here to place your bets on Tyreek Hill's props in this game with BetUS.

Tyreek Hill Game Log

Week Opponent Targets Receptions Yards TDs
Week 1 @Jaguars 12 7 130 1
Week 2 @Bills 6 3 24 0
Week 3 @Seahawks 5 3 40 0
Week 4 @Titans 7 4 23 0

Patriots Defensive Stats

  • The 254 passing yards per game the Patriots' defense is giving up makes the squad the 27th-ranked pass defense in the NFL.
  • New England has allowed four touchdowns through the air on the season (one per game). It is ninth in the NFL in that category.
  • The Patriots' defense has intercepted opposing QBs one time this year (0.3 per game) to rank25th in the NFL.
  • Against the run, the defense for New England is ninth in the league after conceding 99.3 yards per game.
  • The Patriots have given up four rushing touchdowns to rank 17th in NFL play.

Rhamondre Stevenson Player Props: NFL Week 5 vs. Dolphins

Rhamondre Stevenson and the New England Patriots play the Miami Dolphins in Week 5, on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET. His stats from his previous game: 13 carries, 43 yards.

Patriots vs. Dolphins Game Details

  • Day: Sunday, October 6, 2024
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts
  • Venue: Gillette Stadium
  • TV Channel: FOX

Rhamondre Stevenson Props and Betting Odds

  • Rushing yards prop: Over 43.5 (-114 for the over, -114 for the under)
  • Rushing attempts prop: Over 12.5 (-122 for the over, -106 for the under)
  • Receiving yards prop: Over 10.5 (-111 for the over, -116 for the under)
  • Receptions prop: Over 1.5 (-143 for the over, +110 for the under)

Click here to place your bets on Rhamondre Stevenson's props in this game with BetUS.

Rhamondre Stevenson Game Log

Week Opponent Carries Rush Yards Rush TDs Receptions Rec Yards Rec TDs
Week 1 @Bengals 25 120 1 3 6 0
Week 2 @Seahawks 21 81 1 2 9 0
Week 3 @Jets 6 23 0 0 0 0
Week 4 @49ers 13 43 0 4 19 0

Dolphins Defensive Stats

  • The 162.5 passing yards per game the Dolphins' defense is allowing makes the squad the fifth-ranked pass defense in the NFL.
  • Miami has surrendered three touchdowns through the air on the season (0.8 per game). It is fourth in the league in that category.
  • The Dolphins rank 10th in the NFL in interceptions, with three so far this year.
  • Conceding 119.5 rushing yards per game, the defense of Miami is the 17th-ranked run defense in the NFL.
  • Stevenson and the Patriots will face off against the NFL's 29th-ranked defense in terms of rushing touchdowns allowed (seven).

Devon Achane Player Props: NFL Week 5 vs. Patriots

Devon Achane and the Miami Dolphins play the New England Patriots in Week 5, on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET. His stats from his previous game: 10 carries, 15 yards.

Dolphins vs. Patriots Game Details

  • Day: Sunday, October 6, 2024
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts
  • Venue: Gillette Stadium
  • TV Channel: FOX

Devon Achane Props and Betting Odds

  • Rushing yards prop: Over 45.5 (-108 for the over, -120 for the under)
  • Rushing attempts prop: Over 11.5 (-116 for the over, -111 for the under)
  • Receiving yards prop: Over 20.5 (-114 for the over, -114 for the under)
  • Receptions prop: Over 2.5 (-169 for the over, +130 for the under)

Click here to place your bets on Devon Achane's props in this game with BetUS.

Devon Achane Game Log

Week Opponent Carries Rush Yards Rush TDs Receptions Rec Yards Rec TDs
Week 1 @Jaguars 10 24 1 7 76 0
Week 2 @Bills 22 96 0 7 69 1
Week 3 @Seahawks 11 30 0 3 28 0
Week 4 @Titans 10 15 0 3 14 0

Patriots Defensive Stats

  • The 254.0 passing yards per game the Patriots' defense is allowing makes the squad the 27th-ranked pass defense in the NFL.
  • At 1.0 passing touchdowns allowed per game on the season, New England's defense ranks ninth in the league.
  • The Patriots have accumulated one interception this year to rank 25th in the league.
  • Allowing 99.3 rushing yards per game, the defense of New England is the ninth-ranked run defense in the league.
  • The Patriots have allowed four rushing touchdowns to rank 17th in league play.

Patriots vs Dolphins Records

Patriots vs Dolphins Injuries

Patriots ROI

Dolphins ROI

Patriots Stats

Dolphins Stats

Dolphins vs Patriots Win Probability

* Stats and rankings in this article have been adjusted for context (i.e. weather, game state, field position, down, distance, etc). These are more predictive than raw stats and put players/teams on a more even playing field for the purpose of comparison. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry.

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