In Week 9, the Buffalo Bills were double-digit favorites against their AFC East rival, the New York Jets. At the time, New York seemed improved but outside of the playoff conversation. The Jets pulled off the massive upset with a 20-16 win, which vaulted them into the playoff race.
Buffalo (9-3) will play host to New York (7-5) in Week 14. Bills Mafia will have one thing on their mind: Revenge. The Bills struggled for a while after the loss to the Jets but looked back to normal in last week’s 24-10 win over the New England Patriots. New York has stumbled in the last three games, going 1-2 against the spread (ATS).
Let’s check the latest NFL odds, stats, injury reports, and NFL lines for the Jets vs Bills. We’ve plenty of Vegas NFL odds and NFL week 14 picks for you to consider.
Jets vs Bills NFL Betting Analysis Preview
QB Change Aides Jets’ Chances
Like in Week 9, a win over the Bills would be huge for the Jets’ playoff hopes. At 7-5, New York is holding the seventh seed with the New England Patriots (6-6) and Los Angeles Chargers (6-6) closely behind. A Jets playoff appearance is listed at -105, per NFL odds.
Since naming Mike White as starting quarterback in Week 12, the offense is averaging 26.5 points, with the Jets hitting the over in the last two games. He has recorded over 300 passing yards in back-to-back games, while the previous starter, Zach Wilson, reached 300 yards once in seven starts.
This QB change comes at the perfect time, as Buffalo ranks 17th in allowed passing yards per game. The Jets cannot win by just running the ball, with the Bills ranking fifth in run defense. White gives New York a better chance of sweeping the season series.
Running back Michael Carter (ankle) is questionable for Sunday. The Jets should be fine, though, with the recent emergence of rookie Zonovan Knight, who comes off a 90-yard performance.
Zonovan Knight’s 65.2% carry share from Week 13 would rank 7th among regular RBs over the full seasonpic.twitter.com/Hpk2SWR2qb
— Scott Spratt (@Scott_Spratt) December 5, 2022
Scoop on Free Play from the Locker Room
Buffalo Fighting for AFC’s Top Spot
After the Kansas City Chiefs’ loss last week, the Buffalo Bills are the AFC’s top seed once again. Holding home advantage through the playoffs would be a big boost to Buffalo’s +400 Super Bowl odds. The Bills hope to win out in the final five weeks of the regular season.
The defense had one of its best performances heading into Week 14. In the win over the Patriots on Thursday, the unit surrendered only 242 yards and held New England to 3 of 12 on third downs. However, following the news of Von Miller’s season-ending ACL injury, Buffalo needs other pass rushers to step up.
Furthermore, quarterback Josh Allen must avoid turnovers on Sunday. He had two interceptions in the last matchup and has seven turnovers in the last five games. The Jets also force 1.3 turnovers per game (12th).
Jets vs Bills Game Injuries
Jets vs Bills Head-to-Head
The Jets’ win in Week 9 snapped a four-game losing streak against the Bills. New York forced turnovers and held Buffalo to 4.7 yards per pass attempt.
The Jets will be looking to replicate the same formula, but the Bills have won and covered their last two home games against New York.
Jets vs Bills Game Information
- Game: Jets vs Bills
- Date: Sunday, Dec. 11
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Location: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
- Jets vs Bills Live Stream: NFL Game Pass
Jets vs Bills Game Weather Conditions
The weather could be a factor in this matchup. The forecast calls for a temperature high of 41°F with a 65% chance of rain and snow showers. Plus, there will be 16 mph winds with gusts going over 20 mph.
Jets vs Bills Game Picks & Prediction
Predicted Score: Bills 20, Jets 16
- Worth Betting on the Moneyline?
With the Bills being heavy 10-point favorites, they are priced at -430 to win outright. Surely, other bets, like ATS and totals, would be better options.
The Jets at +335 is intriguing, especially with New York winning the last matchup. However, Buffalo averaged 6.1 yards per carry in Week 9, which will be an advantage in ugly weather. Plus, the Bills have held three consecutive opponents to under 100 rushing yards.
- Worth Betting ATS?
I went with the Jets to cover in the last matchup. I’m sticking to my guns in this one. Give me New York to cover once again. Buffalo has not covered at home since Week 5, partly due to the large spreads. The Bills as 10-point favorites feels like too much.
One of Buffalo’s biggest weaknesses is its pass defense, which the Jets could not attack with Wilson starting in Week 9. This time, New York is capable of throwing with White at the helm.
- Worth Betting on the Totals?
The Bills have gone under in back-to-back games, and the Jets went under in five of the last seven. Plus, windy weather could be a factor. Take the under.
The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.
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