Commanders vs Bills Prediction, Preview, Stream, Odds & Picks

Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills faceoff against Sam Howell and the Washington Commanders. The Bills enter the game as a big favorite (-240) despite being on the road. Buffalo is currently favored by -5.0 points while the Game Total is currently sitting on 44.0.

Washington's primary disadvantage this season has been their rushing offense, which has ranked #29 in football with a low 3.78 yards per carry. The most important component of a strong ground game is a good offensive line. If the line isn't opening up holes and creating space, it doesn't matter how good a team's running backs are. Unfortunately for Washington, their line ranks #9-worst in the league in run blocking. Perhaps because they routinely failt to successfully establish the run, Washington has also lacked effectiveness through the air. They've scraped together a measly 6.69 yards per target, ranking the bottom 10 in football. When it comes to their defense, the Commanders check in at #4 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 205 yards per game against Washington this year (#6 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #11 against them with 4.42 yards per ground attempt. This Commanders defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing tight ends, keeping them in check at just 34 yards per game (#3-best in the league). Washington's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, who have scorched them for 9.27 yards per target (#3-worst in the league).

Buffalo's biggest strength has been their rushing offense, ranking #1 in the league with 5.1 yards per carry. With how successful they've been on the ground, this has opened up opportunities through the air as well; Buffalo has averaged 7.52 yards per target, which ranks them #4 in football. In terms of their defense, the Bills have ranked #1 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 203 yards per game through the air against them (#3 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #11 with 4.42 yards per carry. Buffalo has been most effective in shutting down opposing tight ends, holding them to 31 yards per game (#2-best). Buffalo has been least effective in shutting down opposing running backs, giving up a 82.7% completion rate (#9-highest).