X
Skip to content
Commanders Team Logo

vs

Team Logo Bills

Sunday, 24 September, 2023
1:00 PM

NFL Matchups

Washington Commanders vs Buffalo Bills

Commanders vs Bills Prediction, Preview, Stream, Odds & Picks

Let’s check the latest news, stats, injury reports, and NFL Odds for Washington Commanders vs Buffalo Bills. We’ve plenty of NFL predictions for you to consider.

Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills faceoff against Sam Howell and the Washington Commanders. The Bills enter the game as a big favorite (-240) despite being on the road. Buffalo is currently favored by -5.0 points while the Game Total is currently sitting on 44.0.

Washington's primary disadvantage this season has been their rushing offense, which has ranked #29 in football with a low 3.78 yards per carry. The most important component of a strong ground game is a good offensive line. If the line isn't opening up holes and creating space, it doesn't matter how good a team's running backs are. Unfortunately for Washington, their line ranks #9-worst in the league in run blocking. Perhaps because they routinely failt to successfully establish the run, Washington has also lacked effectiveness through the air. They've scraped together a measly 6.69 yards per target, ranking the bottom 10 in football. When it comes to their defense, the Commanders check in at #4 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 205 yards per game against Washington this year (#6 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #11 against them with 4.42 yards per ground attempt. This Commanders defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing tight ends, keeping them in check at just 34 yards per game (#3-best in the league). Washington's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, who have scorched them for 9.27 yards per target (#3-worst in the league).

Buffalo's biggest strength has been their rushing offense, ranking #1 in the league with 5.1 yards per carry. With how successful they've been on the ground, this has opened up opportunities through the air as well; Buffalo has averaged 7.52 yards per target, which ranks them #4 in football. In terms of their defense, the Bills have ranked #1 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 203 yards per game through the air against them (#3 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #11 with 4.42 yards per carry. Buffalo has been most effective in shutting down opposing tight ends, holding them to 31 yards per game (#2-best). Buffalo has been least effective in shutting down opposing running backs, giving up a 82.7% completion rate (#9-highest).

team icon

Washington Commanders

Antonio Gibson

Over / Under

0

Pass Attempts

0/0

THE BLITZ projects Antonio Gibson to be a much smaller piece of his team's run game this week (9.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (30.3% in games he has played).

Antonio Gibson

Over / Under

0

Pass Attempts

0/0

Antonio Gibson's pass-catching efficiency has gotten better this year, compiling 9.15 yards-per-target vs just 6.18 mark last year.

Washington Commanders

Over / Under

0

Pass Attempts

0/0

The Washington Commanders have ranked among the bottom passing attacks in the NFL since the start of last season (#32-24+1), averaging a miserable 220 yards per game through the air.

team icon

Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen

Over / Under

0

Pass Attempts

0/0

The Buffalo Bills O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

Josh Allen

Over / Under

0

Pass Attempts

0/0

The Washington Commanders linebackers rank as the best unit in football since the start of last season in regard to rushing the passer.

Stefon Diggs

Over / Under

0

Pass Attempts

0/0

The Washington Commanders pass defense has been quite strong when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.85 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 6th-least in the NFL.

ROI - Bills

ROI - Commanders

Bills Stats

Commanders Stats

Betting Trends

team icon

Washington Commanders

The Washington Commanders have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+3.80 Units / 18% ROI)

Units

+3.8

ROI

17.51%

team icon

The Buffalo Bills have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.55 Units / 14% ROI)

Units

+1.55

ROI

13.84%

Josh Allen

Josh Allen has hit the Passing Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.20 Units / 36% ROI)

Units

+6.2

ROI

36.36%

* Stats and rankings in this article have been adjusted for context (i.e. weather, game state, field position, down, distance, etc). These are more predictive than raw stats and put players/teams on a more even playing field for the purpose of comparison. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry.

BetUS Sportsbook & Casino
Average rating:  
 0 reviews