Commanders vs Giants NFL Betting Analysis
Are These Playoff Teams?
When the season started, neither the New York Giants nor the Washington Commanders were expected to be in the playoff race heading into Week 13.
However, Washington is 7-5, and New York is 7-4 going into Sunday’s showdown at the Meadowlands.
Neither will be confused with the ones that represented the NFC in the Super Bowl four times over a six-year span in the 1980s. Regardless, the Giants and Commanders currently hold down the No. 6 and 7 spots in a topsy-turvy conference race.
The Giants are 8-3 against the NFL betting odds. That’s tied with Cincinnati and Tennessee as the best spread record in the league. Washington isn’t too far behind at 7-4-1 ATS.
Washington is looking to beat the Giants a third consecutive time. That hasn’t happened since the 1999 and 2000 seasons.
Per the NFL playoff odds, the Commanders (+3300) are seventh, and the Giants (+5000) are eighth in the odds to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl.
Commanders vs Giants Betting Lines
Robinson After an Encore
It has been quite the rookie season for Brian Robinson.
The former Alabama star was a victim of an attempted robbery and was shot twice. He was able to work his way back to the field and now comes off his first career 100-yard rushing game. Before the last game with the Falcons, he was averaging 3.35 yards per carry. Then, he a career-best 5.8 yards per attempt, plus his first career receiving touchdown.
Hell of an effort by @BrianR_4 👏👏👏
— Washington Commanders (@Commanders) November 27, 2022
With Antonio Gibson limited at practice, could Robinson have an even bigger workload against the Giants?
One concern regarding the running game is that both guard Trai Turner and center Tyler Larsen are questionable. Linemen Chase Roulier and Wes Schweitzer are already sidelined, so this is a hurting line.
Robinson (+4000) is well back in the odds to win the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award, according to the Las Vegas odds.
Scoop on Free Play from the Locker Room
Now. Never. Big. Blue.
Philosophy on offense has been pretty clear since Brian Daboll took over as coach. He wasn’t going to ask quarterback Daniel Jones to win games, just don’t lose them.
That was fine during the first portion of the season. However, with injuries at the receiver position, and the opposition having no concerns about Jones making plays down the field, thus defenses have been creeping toward the line of scrimmage to slow down running back Saquon Barkley.
Barkley had eclipsed 100 yards in five of the first seven games. He has found the running room harder to come by recently (38 rushing yards in the three losses during a recent 1-3 run). In the seven wins, Barkley averaged 134.3 yards/scrimmage, 68.8 in the four losses, however.
At some point, the Giants are going to need to expand the playbook, and that time could be this Sunday, considering that Washington is in the top 10 in rushing defense. On the other side of the ball, New York has some injury concerns, with defensive linemen Leonard Williams and Nick Williams, linebacker Azeez Ojulari, as well as defensive backs Dane Belton, Cor’Dale Flott, Adoree Jackson, Tony Jefferson and Fabian Moreau all questionable.
Commanders vs Giants Game Injuries
Commanders vs Giants Head-to-Head
Washington swept the season series in 2021, winning, 30-29, at home as one-point favorites, and 22-7 on the road when favored by six, according to the sportsbook. Terry McLaurin had 15 receptions (200 yards) in the two games.
The Giants had won the previous five games, the last three decided by a total of 10 points.
Four of the last 11 meetings have gone over the total.
Commanders vs Giants Game Information
- Game: Commanders vs Giants
- Date/Time: Sunday, Dec. 4, 1 p.m. ET
- Location: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
- Commanders vs Giants Live stream: NFL Game Pass
Commanders vs Giants Game Weather Conditions
While playing early December games in the northeast can often provide challenging conditions, temperatures are expected to be in the high 40s with mostly sunny conditions at kickoff.
Commanders vs Giants Picks & Prediction
Predicted Score: Giants 24, Commanders 20
- Worth Betting on the Moneyline?
There won’t be much of a reward even by going with the home underdogs in this one with the Giants priced at +115. It could be a good game to include in a parlay.
The Giants are 4-2 at home with Washington 4-2 on the road so this game figures to come right down to the bitter end. One costly mistake might be the difference between success and failure for those who bet online.
- Worth Betting ATS?
The Commanders are listed as the road favorites a third time this season. Washington not only won both games but covered as well (one-point fave against Chicago, three-point fave against Houston). It could be a more challenging endeavor to face a division rival as the road favorite.
The Giants have definitely hit a rough patch, dropping three of four games but it still seems strange that they would be the underdog in this match so this would be a good game to go with the home underdogs.
- Worth Betting on the Totals?
The Commanders and Giants are hardly offensive juggernauts so it is no surprise to see this game with a 40-point total, the second lowest among the Week 13 games. Ironically, after a three-game stretch when the Giants’ contests had exactly 40 points scored, 49 and 48 points were scored in the last two. Do not expect a 38-35 thriller, but a late score pushing the game over the 40½-point mark seems likely.
The Washington Commanders are listed at -135 in our Vegas lines. This means that if you wager $100 on the Washington Commanders, you have a chance to win $74,07. The New York Giants are +115, offering a chance to win $115 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives the Washington Commanders a 57.45% chance to win, with the New York Giants at 46.51%.
The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.