Commanders March into Philly
Monday night football odds will feature a heated NFC East collision. The Philadelphia Eagles will look to add to their undefeated win total against the Washington Commanders. On the surface, this could look like another underwhelming prime-time game.
Don’t sleep on the Commanders (4-5). Washington has hit its stride since Taylor Heinicke stepped into the starting quarterback role. The Commanders are 3-1 and 3-0-1 ATS in the last four games. The Eagles (8-0) will defend their 4-0 ATS record in home games.
Washington’s Defensive Line is the Key
The Washington Commanders have gone under the radar in recent weeks. At 4-5, Washington is only one game out of a Wild-Card spot. If the Commanders can compete with the Philadelphia Eagles, betting on Washington’s +650 odds to make the playoffs will be enticing.
To have a chance against the Eagles, the Commanders’ defensive line must dominate. Over the last two games, Washington has generated 19 combined QB hits. Defensive tackle Daron Payne has been a force and comes off one sack and four tackles for loss against the Minnesota Vikings (20-17 loss). The D-line could get a massive boost this week as defensive end Chase Young is nearing his return from an ACL tear.
Daron Payne just blew the tight end up and gets the safety. Poor buddy had no chance there pic.twitter.com/z44Oj3dk1p
— Bama NFL (@TheBamaNFL) September 25, 2022
On offense, Washington needs to get the run game going. Heinicke could have issues throwing against the Eagles’ talented secondary. Plus, Philadelphia allowed 168 rushing yards on 5.3 yards per carry against the Houston Texans in Week 9. Antonio Gibson (+240) or Brian Robinson (+330) scoring a touchdown is one of the game’s best prop bets.
The Eagles’ QB is on Fire
Over the last three games, the Philadelphia Eagles are averaging 30 points. With the offense red-hot, the Eagles have gone over in three consecutive games.
Quarterback Jalen Hurts, who holds +250 odds to win the MVP award, shows no signs of slowing. The third-year QB has played near-perfect football in the last two games with a 139.1 passer rating and 72.7% completion percentage. Plus, he has scored six touchdowns since Week 8.
Against the Washington Commanders’ defense that ranks 18th in allowed passing yards per game, Hurts scoring a touchdown seems like a no-brainer. According to NFL odds, he is -110 to score a touchdown and +450 to score two or more times. Hurts has scored two or more touchdowns in three consecutive games.
On defense, the Eagles are allowing 16.9 points per game (fourth) and 299 yards per game (third). The pass defense is elite led by cornerbacks Darius Slay and James Bradberry, and the defensive line is generating plenty of pressure. Philly’s only worry is the run defense, which ranks 29th in allowed yards per carry.
Commanders vs Eagles Game Injuries
Commanders vs Eagles Head-to-Head
Since 2017, the Eagles have won 9 of 11 matchups against the Commanders. This season, Philadelphia coasted on the road, defeating Washington 24-8.
Commanders vs Eagles Game Information
- Game: Commanders vs Eagles
- Date: Monday, Nov. 14
- Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Location: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
- How to watch Commanders vs Eagles? ESPN
Commanders vs Eagles Live stream: NFL Game Pass
Commanders vs Eagles Betting Lines
Commanders vs Eagles Picks & Prediction
The Commanders’ defense will do enough to frustrate the Eagles’ offense. Washington, which ranks 10th in allowed rushing yards per game, will limit Philadelphia’s run game. Plus, the defensive line will pressure Hurts. Washington has gone under in six of the last seven games. That trend will continue.
However, the Commanders’ offense is not good enough to win on the MNF odds. Heinicke has thrown an interception in three consecutive games, while the Eagles’ cornerbacks Bradberry (third) and Slay (ninth) are top 10 in PBUs. Philadelphia will win outright, but Washington’s defense will do enough to cover.
The Philadelphia Eagles are listed at -520 in our Vegas lines. This means that if you wager $100 on the Eagles, you have a chance to win $19. The Washington Commanders are +400, offering a chance to win $400 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives the Philadelphia Eagles an 83.87% chance to win, with the Washington Commanders at 20.00%.
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“The odds and predictions in the article are based on time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.”