After an amazing Week 3, which included the longest successful field goal in NFL history, everything’s ready for Week 4. Expect another huge record to be broken on Sunday Night. We already have the Week 4 odds fully loaded. Be sure to check ‘em and pick your favorites!
NFL Week 4 Preview
Tom Brady is heading back to New England for the first time since leaving and winning another Super Bowl with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The GOAT only needs 68 passing yards to become the passing yards leader of all-time. Can you believe it? Brady breaking the record at Foxborough, that’s a script only the NFL could have written.
Before that, the action will begin on Thursday Night with the Jacksonville Jaguars visiting the Cincinnati Bengals. Also, two unbeaten teams will face off on Sunday afternoon, while an AFC West matchup is scheduled for Monday Night.
The NFL Week 4 odds are ready and waiting as we look through each game.
NFL Games of the Week
Cincinnati Bengals (-7½ )September 30, 8:20 p.m. ET
The Jacksonville Jaguars (0-3) will try to get their first victory when visiting the Cincinnati Bengals (2-1) on Thursday Night. The Bengals deserve to be the favorites, but the Jags might have found a new leader to their offense.
Rookie quarterback Trevor Lawrence is averaging 223 passing yards per game, but he’s also averaging 2.3 interceptions per game. Last week, against a very good Arizona Cardinals defense, running back James Robinson finished with 134 total yards and one rushing touchdown. He might be the key for Lawrence to get his first victory as a pro.
Regarding the Bengals, QB Joe Burrow and rookie receiver Ja’Maar Chase have become one of the best duos. They already combined for four touchdowns and they’ve no intentions to stop. Beating the Pittsburgh Steelers on the road in Week 3 boosted their confidence up to the roof.
The Bengals won five of their last seven meetings with the Jaguars. Also, the total has gone over in 12 of Cincinnati’s last 17 games against an opponent from the AFC. Look to the Bengals to smack around the Jaguars at Paul Brown stadium.
Washington Football Team (-1)
Atlanta FalconsOctober 3, 1:00 p.m.
Matt Ryan and the Atlanta Falcons (1-2) haven’t been so good. They don’t even deserve to be home favorites against a team that just allowed 43 points. I guess the picture of defensive end Chase Young chasing Matt Ryan is enough to justify it.
Atlanta barely beat the winless New York Giants in Week 3. Receiver Calvin Ridley and tight end Kyle Pitts haven’t been a factor at all. It makes no sense drafting a TE fourth overall to throw him the ball only three times. That happened last week. On the bright side, Atlanta’s defense improved and should keep improving against the Washington Football Team (1-2).
QB Taylor Heinicke isn’t bad, but he needs more help. Washington’s backfield has been a joke. Regarding their receiving corps, only Terry McLaurin and Logan Thomas have responded as expected.
Young and the defense need to step up and carry the load, at least while the offense figures things out.
Washington is 4-1 SU in their last five road games, while Atlanta is 2-7 in their last nine home games. Expect a close with plenty of points.
Chicago Bears (-3)
The winless Detroit Lions (0-3) almost beat the Baltimore Ravens in Week. However, kicker Justin Tucker decided to make history with a 66-yard winning field goal. Detroit’s defense improved a lot, containing Lamar Jackson to 58 rushing yards isn’t easy.
Offensively, QB Jared Goff remains inconsistent. Luckily for them, RB D’Andre Swift responded like they have been waiting for since they drafted him. He finished the game with 107 total yards and one touchdown. They should give him the ball a lot more from now on.
The Chicago Bears will visit Detroit with more doubts than answers, especially under center. Rookie QB Justin Field had a terrible game against the Cleveland Browns in Week 3. He was sacked nine times and threw for only 68 yards.
Fields, Andy Dalton, and Nick Foles will keep battling for the starting job until further notice. That was confirmed by head coach Matt Nagy, who’s not happy at all. If Khalil Mack and the defense don’t step up, the Bears are set for another loss.
The Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games. Expect plenty of points, the total went over in four of their last six meetings.
Tennessee Titans (-9)
New York JetsOctober 3, 1:00 p.m. ET
Second biggest spread in Week 4. After a rocky start, the Tennessee Titans (2-1) have turned things around and deserve to be huge favorites here. With Derrick Henry leading the charge they shouldn’t have too much trouble against the winless New York Jets.
Henry (144 total yards) comes from another monster game, while QB Ryan Tannehill threw for three touchdowns. Tennessee’s offensive unit is kind of unfair as it also includes Julio Jones and A.J. Brown. As their opponent, you just have to pick your preferred poison.
Rookie QB Zach Wilson is becoming a bust. The No. 2 pick in the 2021 Draft has thrown seven interceptions and only two touchdowns. The Jets simply cannot win games if he keeps giving the ball like its candy during Halloween.
The Jets need to run the ball a lot more, and they also need WR Jamison Crowder back as soon as possible. Defensively, nothing has changed despite having Robert Saleh in charge. The former San Francisco 49ers defensive coordinator hasn’t been able to establish a new attitude and approach to the game.
Only 2% of the betting market believes New York has a chance to pull off the upset. That’s even though Tennessee is 2-6 SU in their last eight road games against the Jets.
Cleveland Browns (-1)
Minnesota VikingsOctober 3, 1:00 p.m. ET
Expect fireworks when the Cleveland Browns visit the Minnesota Vikings. The Browns average 28.6 points per game, while the Vikings average 29. If you like when teams run the football, this game is going to be perfect for you.
The Browns have possibly the best RB’s duo in the league thanks to Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. Chubb is an old school back, while Hunt is also very skilled in passing plays. That takes a lot of pressure from QB Baker Mayfield shoulders.
WR Odell Beckham Jr. is back, and Cleveland’s defense has been really good. Last week, DE Myles Garrett finished the game with 4.5 sacks. He’s an early candidate for Defensive Player of the Year.
The Vikings are hoping for RB Dalvin Cook to be back. Backup Alexander Mattison had a great game against the Seattle Seahawks in Week 3. However, Cleveland’s defense will be a much tougher challenge.
Kirk Cousins hasn’t thrown an interception yet. Also, WR Tyler Conklin has become a reliable third option behind Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen.
As I mentioned before, expect fireworks. The total has gone over in eight of Minnesota’s last 10 games against a team from the AFC.
Miami Dolphins (-1)October 3, 1:00 p.m. ET
The Carson Wentz experiment in Indianapolis didn’t have a good start. The Colts (0-3) will visit Miami to face a Dolphins (1-2) team that surprised everybody in Week 3.
Wentz threw for 194 yards and no touchdowns against one of the worst defenses in the league (Tennessee). However, not everything is his fault. It seems like RB Jonathan Taylor forgot how to run properly, and the receiver corps is very limited.
Despite not having QB Tua Tagovailoa due to injury, the Dolphins almost beat the Las Vegas Raiders on the road. QB Jacoby Brissett threw for 215 yards and scored one rushing touchdown. The most important thing was that he didn’t make mistakes.
Brissett is a very capable QB, and he has plenty of options to throw to. Expect TE Mike Gesicki and WR Will Fuller to see plenty of action.
The Colts are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games. On the other hand, the Dolphins are 10-5 SU in their last 15 games.
Dallas Cowboys (-4½)October 3, 1:00 p.m. ET
I think after three games it’s safe to say that Dak Prescott is back. The Dallas Cowboys lead the NFC East with a 2-1 record and Prescott has a lot to do with that. Could have been 3-0 but you know, Tom Brady got in the way.
Prescott threw for 238 yards, three touchdowns and zero interceptions against the Philadelphia Eagles last Monday Night. This was the first game without an interception for him, allowing him to regain even more confidence.
RB Ezekiel Elliott came back from the dead with a very good performance (95 yards, two touchdowns). With all the pieces healthy, Dallas’ offense has the potential to be one of the best in the league.
Believe it or not, the Carolina Panthers lead the NFC South with an unbeaten record (3-0). QB Sam Darnold has responded above expectations. With RB Christian McCaffrey questionable, they need him to be at his best more than ever. If McCaffrey can’t play, expect Chuba Hubbard to have a big role.
You can also expect the game to be a back-and-forth battle. The total has gone over in seven of Dallas’ last 10 games.
New York Giants
New Orleans Saints (-7½)October 3, 1:00 p.m. ET
The New York Giants will visit New Orleans looking to get their first victory of the season. However, their chances are not looking good, especially if receivers Darius Slayton and Sterling Shepard can’t play. Both left their last game with an injury and remain questionable.
Daniel Jones isn’t a bad QB, but he can carry the load, at least not yet. The Giants need RB Saquon Barkley to return to his best form ASAP. The good news is he made really good progress over the last two weeks.
The New Orleans Saints (2-1) have the potential to become a really good team. They just need QB Jameis Winston to be more consistent. I also think RB Alvin Kamara should get the ball even more.
Currently, their defense is No. 1 in the league. They shouldn’t have too much trouble against the Giants. The Giants are 1-12 SU in their last 13 games played in October. New Orleans is 7-2 SU in their last nine games.
Kansas City Chiefs (-6)
Philadelphia EaglesOctober 3, 1:00 p.m. ET
As Aaron Rodgers once said, R-E-L-A-X. The Kansas City Chiefs are better than their 1-2 record. That being said, their defense needs to improve right away, because scoring 28 points per game isn’t enough anymore.
Patrick Mahomes remains an elite QB. He has two of the best receivers in the league in Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill. If that wasn’t enough, the Chiefs are signing free agent Josh Gordon. RB Clyde Edwards Helaire fumbled in their last two games. The coaching staff also needs to focus on that.
The Philadelphia Eagles (1-2) will be a tough test for the Chiefs. QB Jalen Hurts has been playing pretty well, and now he has TE Zach Ertz back. He’s still developing, but Hurts can do a lot of the things that have made Mahomes great.
Their defense also needs an overhaul, which is why you can expect fireworks. The total has gone over in five of Philadelphia’s last seven games against Kansas City.
Buffalo Bills (-17)October 3, 1:00 p.m. ET
The Houston Texans (1-2) started the season on the right foot, but then came the injury bug. QB Tyrod Taylor was regaining confidence but couldn’t play last week against the Carolina Panthers. Davis Mills took over and played well, but he’s not ready to carry the load.
Prior to the start of the season, Texans’ fans were excited about their backfield, but the unit hasn’t met expectations. With Mark Ingram, David Johnson, and Phillip Lindsay they should run the ball more and better.
Brandin Cooks remains their best receiver, but they also need to mix things up a little in that department.
The Buffalo Bills (2-1) deserve to be huge favorites against the Texans. Each week QB Josh Allen regains more confidence and doesn’t depend on Stefon Diggs anymore. Now, he also has Emmanuel Sanders, Dawson Knox, Cole Beasley, and Zack Moss, who has been a nice surprise.
After a very poor performance in Week 1, the Bills have scored 35+ points in their last two games. Expect that trend to continue this Sunday. The defense got better over the las two weeks as well.
Curiously enough, Houston is 5-1 SU in their last six games against Buffalo. However, the Bills are 8-1 SU in their last nine home games.
Los Angeles Rams (-6)October 3, 4:05 p.m. ET
Kyler Murray and the Arizona Cardinals (3-0) suffered more than expected against the Jacksonville Jaguars but managed to win. Now, they’ll face another unbeaten team in Los Angeles Rams (3-0). That’s right, the NFC West top spot will be on the line.
Offensively, they can’t ask for more, Murray, DeAndre Hopkins, Christian Kirk, A.J. Green, and James Conner. Defensively, they can’t ask for more either, Jordan Hicks, Budda Baker, Chandler Jones, J.J. Watt, they’re set on both fronts.
The Rams have nothing to envy. Matt Stafford has done a great job developing chemistry with the receiver cops, especially Cooper Kupp. RB Darrell Henderson remains questionable, but they didn’t miss him a lot in Week 3.
Defensively, the Rams are also set with Aaron Donald and Jalen Ramsey leading the way. I’m telling you; this could end up being the game of the week.
The Cardinals are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played in October. The Rams are 10-2 SU in their last 12 home games.
San Francisco 49ers (-2½)October 3, 4:05 p.m. ET
Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks (1-2) are already in a must win situation. Otherwise, all division rivals could have a two-game advantage over them. That’s why they need to do whatever it takes to beat the San Francisco 49ers (2-1).
Wilson remains an elite QB, but he must do a better job distributing the ball. If Tyler Lockett or D.K. Metcalf doesn’t have a good day, their offense is very limited. RB Chris Carson is regaining confidence each week, that’s very good news for them.
On the other hand, the Niners come from a tough loss against the Green Bay Packers. QB Jimmy Garoppolo has done enough to remain as the starter, but he can’t get too comfortable. TE George Kittle needs to be more involved, otherwise they’ll suffer to move the chains.
They’ve had a lot of injuries in the backfield, so you can expect them to focus on the passing game. The Seahawks will too, that’s why you can expect a back-and-forth battle as well.
Seattle won eight of their last 10 meetings, and the total went over in five of their last six meetings.
Denver Broncos (-1)October 3, 4:25 p.m. ET
The Denver Broncos remain undefeated with a 3-0 record, but they beat three very bad teams. Facing the Baltimore Ravens (2-1) will be their first real test, especially for QB Teddy Bridgewater and the offense.
They’ll be without Jerry Jeudy and K.J. Hamler due to injury. That’s why Tim Patrick and Courtland Sutton should have a busy day. Defensively, they’ve been doing pretty well without Bradley Chubb, but Lamar Jackson isn’t Zach Wilson. Playing at Mile High increases their value for sure.
Jackson and the Ravens suffered more than expected against the Detroit Lions, but Justin Tucket came to the rescue. Jackson has developed good chemistry with Marquise Brown, Mark Andrews, and Sammy Watkins. However, he’s more dangerous when running the ball by himself.
Defensively, the Ravens have suffered a lot of injuries too, but their energy and confidence are still there. The total has gone under in five of their last seven games.
The Broncos are 4-1 SU in their last five home games against Baltimore. Expect a close one.
Green Bay Packers (-7)October 3, 4:25 p.m. ET
The Pittsburgh Steelers (1-2) are a complete disaster. They lost their last two games at home; Ben Roethlisberger looks old and somehow slower. Also, the receiver corps cannot stay healthy, and the defense don’t scare anyone.
Rookie RB Najee Harris has been the only good news so far. He’s very agile, he’s also good on passing plays. Overall, he seems capable of carrying the load, but head coach Mike Tomlin isn’t ready to make the change.
On the other hand, the Green Bay Packers will play host to the Steelers with a renewed confidence. They lead the NFC North with a 2-1 record. If Aaron Rodgers, Aaron Jones, and Davante Adams keep playing at a high level, they’ll be very difficult to beat.
Defensively, they Packers have a lot to improve, but the Steelers are the perfect opponent to do it.
The total has gone under in 12 of the Steelers’ last 17 road games. Green Bay is 15-2 SU in their last 17 games at Lambeau Field.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-7)
New England PatriotsOctober 3, 8:20 p.m. ET
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers should beat the New England Patriots easily. The focus will be on Tom Brady. He will become the passing yards leader of all time. He only needs 68 yards and he’s going to throw for a lot more.
Tampa Bay is 2-1 after losing to the Los Angeles Rams. Besides the fact that they’re the better team, Brady is not used to losing two games in a row. Antonio Brown is expected to be back, giving him even more weapons to break the record.
Everybody knows that the Patriots are starting a rebuilding process. However, everybody also expected rookie QB Mac Jones to be more confident. Don’t get me wrong, he’s not bad, but he wasn’t quite ready to lead the team to success.
To be fair, the Pats receiver corps isn’t the best, and their backfield is very inconsistent. Their defense should carry the load once Stephon Gilmore is back from injury. That’s if he doesn’t get traded.
After beating New England, Brady will have beaten every team in the NFL. The Bucs are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games.
Las Vegas Raiders
Los Angeles Chargers (-3½)October 4, 8:15 p.m. ET
What a great matchup to wrap up Week 4. The unbeaten Las Vegas Raiders visiting the Los Angeles Chargers with the AFC West top spot possibly on the line.
The Raiders suffered a lot more than expected against the Miami Dolphins, but their offense got the job done. Derek Carr, Peyton Barber, Henry Ruggs, and Darren Waller are capable of beating any team. Keep in mind that they’ve been winning even with RB Josh Jacobs out.
Justin Herbert and the Chargers come from a huge victory over the Kansas City Chiefs. With Keenan Allen and Mike Williams at their best, Herbert has become a real threat for opposing defenses.
Austin Ekeler is a reliable RB but expect the Chargers to keep throwing the ball a lot. In any case, Herbert is also good at running the football.
Both won five of their last 10 meetings. The total has gone under in four of the Chargers’ last five games when playing at home against the Raiders.
NFL Week 4 Picks
After an in-depth analysis of the NFL Week 3 betting lines alongside the latest NFL Week 4 news, our panel of experts share their betting predictions for all 16 NFL Week 4 matchups. Here’s the rundown.