Following Week 13, the defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs continue to lead the way in the AFC Super Bowl 58 rankings. Despite losing two of their last three games, the Chiefs have yet to be usurped by another AFC team in 2023. The Chiefs lost in Week 11 in the Super Bowl rematch versus the Philadelphia Eagles and bounced back with a win over the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 12. Week 13 saw them upset on the road against the Green Bay Packers.
The two losses over this three-game stretch haven’t swayed oddsmakers much on the defending Super Bowl champs, according to the odds for the Super Bowl. The Chiefs’ reign continues at the top, but they have the Baltimore Ravens and Miami Dolphins breathing down their necks heading into Week 14.
It’s never too early to make Super Bowl betting predictions. At this point, it appears to be a three-team race for who will be representing the AFC at Super Bowl 58 in Las Vegas.
The Baltimore Ravens enjoyed their bye in Week 13. Baltimore is well on its way to an AFC North division title as we near the season’s final month. The Bengals got a surprise win this week, but without Joe Burrow for the rest of the season, they won’t be able to make a run at the Ravens. Baltimore is healthy and no other AFC North team has their franchise quarterback available as we enter Week 14.
The Miami Dolphins took care of business again in Week 13. One week after they demolished the New York Jets in the first-ever Black Friday game, they followed it up with complete domination of the Washington Commanders. The Cincinnati Bengals upset the Jacksonville Jaguars, and a surging CJ Stroud and Houston Texans are quietly lurking. Meanwhile, Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills had the bye week to lick their wounds.
I’m back with a breakdown of the latest 2024 Super Bowl odds and taking a closer look at which AFC teams might push Kansas City for the top spot in the AFC Super Bowl rankings.
The AFC continues to be a tight race. We knew that would be the case before the season began, and that’s holding true as we enter Week 14. Every week, at least one top-five AFC team gets upset or has an impressive, dominating performance that makes us believe no one in the league can beat them.
How do the top AFC contender’s NFL Super Bowl odds look heading into Week 14? Let’s look at the latest AFC Super Bowl contenders ahead of Week 14.
1- Kansas City Chiefs (+550) Remain On Top of Super Bowl 58 Odds
(Last Week 1, +450)
Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs remain on top of the AFC Super rankings heading into Week 14. A week after improving to 8-3, they suffered a disappointing loss on the road against the Green Bay Packers on Sunday Night Football. A week after the Chiefs’ offense looked unstoppable when they crushed the Las Vegas Raiders 31-17, they came out lethargic at Lambeau. Kansas City lost 27-19, and it couldn’t cool off a red-hot Jordan Love and Packers squad.
The Chiefs; defense has been one of the best units in the NFL to this point but they allowed the Packers to score touchdowns on three of their first four drives. Kansas City never had a lead in the game and ultimately failed to keep up with Green Bay. The Chiefs are now 8-4 heading into Week 14, and they sit behind the Dolphins and Ravens for the top seed in the AFC.
A few weeks back, Kansas City lost 21-17 versus the Philadelphia Eagles in the highly anticipated Super Bowl rematch in Week 11. Following that loss, oddsmakers didn’t budge on the Chiefs Super Bowl odds. Even after their second loss in three weeks, the Chiefs remain on top of the AFC Super Bowl contenders.
The Chiefs’ season has been a bit of a roller coaster despite being the top-ranked team in the AFC. This is mainly due to their offensive struggles, which is strange to say for a team led by Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid. Mahomes was named AFC Offensive Player of the Week in Week 12 but failed to back it up with another strong performance in Week 13.
Reigning MVP Mahomes completed 21 of 33 passes for 210 yards and one touchdown. Mahomes has slid down to fourth in MVP odds behind Jalen Hurts, Dak Prescott, and Brock Purdy for MVP with odds of +650.
The Chiefs nearly had an opportunity to drive down the field for a potential game-tying score with just over one minute remaining. A wild sequence closed the game as a blatant missed defensive pass interference was not called on a long pass attempt to former Packer receiver Marquez Valdes-Scantling. The Chiefs would have had the ball inside the 10-yard line with enough time on the clock for multiple attempts into the end zone.
Ending of Chiefs-Packers…
1) The unnecessary Roughness call
2) No DPI while defender is on the Marquez Valdes-Scantling’s back.
3) Clock stopping on the MVS catch
4) You all decide on the Hail Mary.
Every week. Same discussion. Nothing changes.pic.twitter.com/giRkWEWmwi
— Ari Meirov (@MySportsUpdate) December 4, 2023
There remains a silver lining for the Chiefs though. Their defense is the best that Mahomes has played with in his career so far. Kansas City stalled the Dolphins’ No. 1-ranked offense, holding Miami scoreless in the first half when they met back in Week 9. They kept Tyreek Hill in check, holding him to eight catches for just 62 yards. It was the first game that Miami was held scoreless in the first half since Week 2 of the 2021 season. Cornerback L’Jarius Sneed is having an All-Pro season as he followed up his performance in Germany against Hill by holding Philadelphia’s AJ Brown to just one catch for eight yards in Week 11. Sneed has been an exemplary piece of the Chiefs’ defense in 2023.
The Chiefs continue to hold onto the top spot in our AFC Super Bowl rankings primarily because of its defense. The unit, led by defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo, continues to impress. The Packers were just the first team this season to score more than 24 points against them. Compared to recent seasons, the Chiefs’ defense has been one of the best units in the entire NFL. They rank third in points allowed at just 17.3 points per game.
The AFC Championship Game has been played at Arrowhead for a record five straight seasons, and as we head into Week 14, it looks like that historic run is being threatened. The Chiefs have not lost back-to-back games since early in the 2021 season, and they will look to keep that streak going in Week 14 when they host the Buffalo Bills.
2-Baltimore Ravens (+600) Climbing in Super Bowl 58 Odds
(Last Week 2, +700)
The Baltimore Ravens continue their ascent despite enjoying their bye in Week 13. They have quietly been the juggernaut of the AFC. They have won six of their last seven, and some of the wins have been the most impressive of any AFC team this season.
The Ravens have demolished good teams this season, like the Detroit Lions and Seattle Seahawks. They put together back-to-back impressive wins over the Cincinnati Bengals and the Los Angeles Chargers before entering their bye. Baltimore sits just behind the Miami Dolphins for the No. 1 seed in the AFC at 9-3. The Ravens’ Super Bowl 58 odds continue to creep closer to the Chiefs.
Lamar Jackson continues to play extremely clean football with new offensive coordinator Todd Monken leading the way. The Bengals have won the AFC North the last two seasons, but it appears the Ravens are going to take the crown in 2023. The Ravens are the only AFC North team with their starting quarterback healthy right now.
The Browns were the last team to defeat Baltimore, but they also lost starting quarterback Deshaun Watson for the rest of the season. The Browns have lost two in a row and are 7-5. The Ravens’ only real threat left in the division was the 7-5 Pittsburgh Steelers, but they lost starting quarterback Kenny Pickett, who suffered a high ankle sprain in their Week 13 loss to the Arizona Cardinals. The NFL is always a battle of attrition, and the Ravens are winning that right now.
Jackson is in the middle of the MVP conversation, owning the fourth-best odds to win the award in 2023, priced at +650. With tight end Mark Andrews suffering a season-ending ankle injury, the Ravens need its receiving group to step up for Jackson moving forward, and that’s exactly what happened. First-round rookie wide receiver Zay Flowers finished Week 12 with two touchdowns and 62 total yards. It was the breakout game and the boost the offense needs moving forward.
The Ravens continue to own one of the best defensive units in the NFL. The Ravens forced four turnovers their last time out. The defense has allowed just 16 touchdowns, the lowest in the NFL, and is allowing the fewest points per game at 15.6. They lead the league with 47 sacks.
— NFL (@NFL) November 27, 2023
The Ravens will be trouble for any team they face in the playoffs. Baltimore is rightfully in the second spot in our AFC Super Bowl rankings and has built a compelling case to be named the best team in the NFL.
Coming out of their bye week well-rested and ready to make a push for the top spot in the AFC, Baltimore returns to action in Week 14 when they host Matthew Stafford and the Los Angeles Rams. In the two games this season that the Ravens have hosted NFC opponents, they combined to outscore them 75-9.
3-Miami Dolphins (+750) Finally See Boost in Super Bowl 58 Odds
(Last Week 3, +900)
The Miami Dolphins continue to torment opponents. When they face teams who are .500 or worse this season, they have been nothing short of unstoppable. A week after the Dolphins had the honor of playing in the inaugural NFL Black Friday game, where they grounded the Jets with a 34-13 beatdown, they followed it up with a 45-15 destruction of the Washington Commanders in Week 13.
The Dolphins’ odds for Super Bowl 58 had been between +1000 and +900 ever since their incredible 70-point eruption against the Broncos all the way back in Week 3, but they have finally seen some upward trajectory in the Super Bowl odds. They continue to trail both the Ravens and Chiefs in our AFC Super Bowl rankings, but their odds have finally begun to climb following the impressive back-to-back wins.
The Dolphins improved to 9-3 on the season. Tua Tagovailoa finished 18 of 24 for 280 yards and two touchdowns in the win over Washington. He currently sits third in the NFL in passing yards with 3,457 behind Sam Howell and C.J. Stroud. He is tied with the fourth-best odds in NFL MVP odds at +950.
The Dolphins own the most explosive offense in the NFL, thanks in large part to Tyreek Hill, who remains on a historic pace to have over 2,000 receiving yards in a season. The Cheetah finished with five catches for 157 yards and two touchdowns. He now has 12 touchdown catches on the season and is at a blistering pace to break Calvin Johnson’s receiving yards record. He has 1,481 receiving yards with five weeks left to play. Miami’s offense put up 406 total yards as they ran the ball effectively again, with veteran running back Raheem Mostert adding to his league-best 14 rushing touchdowns on the season.
TUA TO TYREEK ON A 78-YARD TD
— NFL (@NFL) December 3, 2023
Miami’s defense had been a concern early on, but with Jalen Ramsey in the lineup, the Dolphins have turned things around and are becoming one of the best units in the NFL. According to PFF, since Ramsey returned from injury, Miami has the highest-graded pass defense.
The Dolphins have lost all three games they have played against winning teams, so every win against a losing team can’t be an overreaction. Their nine wins have come against teams with a combined record of 31-65. Their soft schedule has helped them solidify their standings in the AFC.
Miami has two more juicy matchups on deck at home versus the Tennessee Titans on Monday Night Football in Week 14, followed by the New York Jets. Miami could easily be 11-3 before it closes out the season versus three tough opponents: The Cowboys, Ravens, and Bills.
4-Jacksonville Jaguars (+2000) Slipping in Super Bowl 58 Odds
(Last Week 4, +1600)
The Jaguars’ Super Bowl odds took a hit after Week 13. Jacksonville suffered a brutal overtime loss on Monday night to the Cincinnati Bengals. It was just their second loss since suffering that embarrassing 34-3 defeat to the San Francisco 49ers coming out of their bye in Week 10. This one hurt much more, though, as starting quarterback Trevor Lawrence left the game with what appeared to be a brutal leg injury.
The Jaguars were forced to finish the game without Lawrence, and they ultimately lost in overtime 34-31. The Jaguars’ defense has been strong most of the season, but they allowed Jake Browning to throw for 354 yards in his second NFL start, filling in for the injured Burrow. The loss and the injury to Lawrence certainly stunned Jacksonville.
The Jaguars had two strong showings in Weeks 11 and 12, where they walked away with a massive divisional win over the Houston Texans. If they didn’t win that matchup in Houston, we would be feeling much differently toward the Jaguars.
Jacksonville continues to lead the AFC South despite the loss with an 8-4 record. The Jaguars have won six of their last eight games and are 15-6 over their last 21 regular-season games. Lawrence left the locker room in a walking boot and on crutches. Early reports on Tuesday say he suffered a high ankle sprain, which is better news than most expected. No timetable has been announced for his return, but there is a window open that he won’t miss any time.
Trevor Lawrence has a high-ankle sprain and will not miss significant time 🙏
His status is uncertain for this Sunday pic.twitter.com/sIGO7puj8u
— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) December 5, 2023
The Jaguars’ defense has played well most of the season but they failed to slow down the Bengals on Monday night. Lawrence was beginning to be heavily ridiculed for his play through the first half of the season, but he was well on his way to silencing the doubters. Lawrence completed 22 of 29 attempts for 259 yards and two touchdowns before he was injured. If Lawrence misses time, veteran backup C.J. Beathard will take over under center. Jacksonville will also be forced to move forward without star wide receiver Christian Kirk, who suffered a groin injury on the game’s first play.
If the Jaguars can get healthy and reach the playoffs, they are a threat to make some noise. Last postseason, they had a historic 27-point comeback over the Los Angeles Chargers, and they gave the Chiefs a tough battle at Arrowhead in the Divisional Round. The Jaguars are a real threat in the AFC if they can get back to good health for January.
Jacksonville will look to bounce back in Week 14 when they travel to battle a tough Cleveland Browns squad.
5-Buffalo Bills (+3500): Super Bowl 58 Odds Stagnant
(Last Week 5, +3500)
The Buffalo Bills had their bye week in Week 13 to lick their wounds and regroup for the final five games of the regular season. They have fallen to 6-6 after they suffered another gut-wrenching loss in Week 12 to the Philadelphia Eagles. Buffalo currently sits outside of the playoff picture, but its odds remain the fifth-best in the AFC.
Buffalo fired offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and immediately, their offense looked revitalized in their 32-6 rout of the New York Jets in Week 11. In Week 12, the Bills’ offense came out on fire again and nearly took down the defending NFC champion Eagles, but their defense ultimately couldn’t slow down Jalen Hurts.
Buffalo lost 37-34 in an overtime thriller and has now failed to win back-to-back games since Oct. 1. Josh Allen has played like an MVP since they fired Dorsey, and if the Bills have any hopes of even reaching the playoffs, it will be on the back of Allen.
Allen was the early front-runner for NFL MVP, but he has dropped out of immediate contention, falling to 1-th with odds of +4000. The Bills have suffered multiple injuries to key defensive players this season, including Tre’Davious White and Matt Milano, which will make it difficult for them to take down their toughest opponents. The Bills will need the offense to carry them the rest of the way if they are to reach the postseason.
Buffalo is currently on the outside of the playoff picture looking in. The Bills are all the way down at 11th in the AFC standings behind the Colts, Texans, Broncos and Bengals. Only the top seven teams reach the playoffs, so Buffalo has its work cut out if it wants a chance.
The Bills have proven they can compete with the best teams in the NFL. The bad news is the Bills’ schedule doesn’t get much easier. Next, they face the Chiefs at Arrowhead and then the Dallas Cowboys back home. Buffalo has a tough path to a spot in the playoffs right now.
Questions Of The Day
Which AFC quarterback will throw for the most passing yards this week?
The AFC quarterback that will throw for the most yards this week is Tua Tagovailoa.
Which team is underrated by the odds to win the Superbowl 2024?
The Miami Dolphins are underrated by the odds to win the Super Bowl.