- 1. Kansas City Chiefs +450 on Course to Super Bowl 58
- 2. Miami Dolphins +1100 Climb in Super Bowl Rankings Despite Loss
- 3. Baltimore Ravens (+1100) Rise in Odds to Win Super Bowl 58
- Take A Look At These Other 2 Super Bowl Special Articles
- 4. Buffalo Bills +1200 on Downward Slide
- 5. Cincinnati Bengals +2200 Resume Drive for Super Bowl 58
- 6. Jacksonville Jaguars +2200: Winning Streak Not Boosting Super Bowl Odds
- Questions Of The Day
Following Week 7, the defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs continue to lead the way in the AFC Super Bowl 58 rankings. The Chiefs took care of business against another AFC West foe, the Los Angeles Chargers, with another impressive performance.
Meanwhile, the Buffalo Bills were on the wrong end of the week’s biggest upset, getting taken down by the New England Patriots. The Miami Dolphins also dropped a game this week when they couldn’t get past the Philadelphia Eagles on the road. Lamar Jackson put on a vintage performance and thrust himself into the MVP conversation after the Baltimore Ravens clobbered the Detroit Lions.
I’m back with a breakdown of the latest 2024 Super Bowl odds and taking a closer look at which AFC teams might push Kansas City for the top spot in the AFC Super Bowl rankings. I’ll also provide a breakdown of the latest NFL betting lines for Super Bowl 58.
The AFC continues to be a tight race. We knew that would be the case before the season began, and that’s holding true as we near the halfway point of the season. Every week it seems there’s a top-five AFC team getting upset or having an impressive dominating performance that makes us believe there’s no one in the league that can beat them.
1. Kansas City Chiefs +450 on Course to Super Bowl 58
(Last Week 1, +500)
Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs remain on top of the AFC Super rankings heading into Week 8. They improved to 6-1 on the season with Patrick Mahomes and the offense coming to life. The reigning MVP, Patrick Mahomes, passed for 424 yards and four touchdowns. Travis Kelce continues to dominate with 12 catches for 179 yards on National Tight Ends Day.
Mahomes is back in the driver’s seat for MVP with odds of +260 ahead of Tua Tagovailoa. If Kelce continues to play at this pace, he will be worth an MVP bet for the Super Bowl as one of your Best Super Bowl player prop bets.
Unreal Travis Kelce stat 😅 pic.twitter.com/zLw4lq7vpd
— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) October 22, 2023
Kansas City defeated the Los Angeles Chargers 31-17. The Chiefs had struggled to score points this season, but they came to life in Week 7. The Chiefs are well on their way to being crowned AFC West champions for the eighth straight season. The defense has been the main reason for their current standing at the top of our AFC Super Bowl ranks. The defense, led by Defensive Coordinator Steve Spagnuolo, continues to dominate.
Compared to recent seasons, the Chiefs’ defense has been one of the best units in the entire NFL as they own the No. 2 scoring defense. Mahomes had 321 yards at halftime, and if this offense gets clicking to combine with its defense, there’s not a team in the NFL that can take them down. The Chiefs travel to Denver in Week 8 for a rematch with the Broncos, whom they defeated 19-8 in Week 6 on Thursday Night Football.
The Chiefs own the fourth-longest winning streak in history against one team. Denver has not beaten the Chiefs since 2015. After Week 8 in Denver, their schedule gets tough when they travel to Germany to battle the Dolphins, followed by a Super Bowl rematch against the Eagles.
2. Miami Dolphins +1100 Climb in Super Bowl Rankings Despite Loss
(Last Week 3, +1000)
The Miami Dolphins Super Bowl odds took a small hit after their road loss to the defending NFC Champion Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday Night Football. The Dolphins; odds for Super Bowl 58 have been hovering around +1000 ever since their incredible 70-point win over the Broncos. Miami put up somewhat of a fight but ultimately couldn’t keep up with the Eagles in their 31-17 loss. The Dolphins are 5-2 heading into Week 8.
Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa is now behind Mahomes in NFL MVP odds at (+420). The Dolphins own the best offense in the NFL, but the Eagles’ pass rush wouldn’t allow them to get going. The Dolphins have lost both games they have played against winning teams this season. Their five wins have come against teams with a combined record of 8-25. Miami has a good chance to bounce back in Week 8 when they welcome the New England Patriots to town.
3. Baltimore Ravens (+1100) Rise in Odds to Win Super Bowl 58
(Last Week 4, +1400)
The Baltimore Ravens had the most impressive win of any team in Week 8. They have leapfrogged the Bills in the AFC Super Bowl rankings. After their trip to London, where they defeated the Titans 24-16, they returned home in Week 7 and dominated an excellent Detroit Lions squad.
It was an enormous statement game for the Ravens as the Lions didn’t have a chance from the first snap of the game. Lamar Jackson was electrifying and nearly perfect, finishing with a 155.8 passer rating. Jackson threw for 357 yards, three touchdowns and rushed for another score in the win.
This Baltimore Ravens team is playing INCREDIBLE football right now..
— Pat McAfee (@PatMcAfeeShow) October 23, 2023
After back-to-back strong performances, Jackson finds himself in the MVP conversation with +700 odds. The Ravens’ red zone struggles disappeared, and they played lights out on both sides of the ball. The Ravens scored on their first four drives against a solid Lions defense, and Jackson has now completed at least 70% of his passes in six of seven games. Baltimore’s strength has been its defense, as they have allowed just seven touchdowns, the lowest in the NFL.
If the offense can match the production, they will make noise deep in the postseason. Last week, I said it would be a huge matchup that will sway how we view the Ravens nearing the halfway point of the season. It’s very true as sportsbooks have boosted Baltimore’s Super Bowl chances after Week 7. Up next for the Ravens is a road test against the struggling but feisty Arizona Cardinals.
Take A Look At These Other 2 Super Bowl Special Articles
- AFC Super Bowl Rankings: Chiefs, Dolphins Brace for 1-2 Clash
- NFC Super Bowl Rankings: 49ers, Lions Take Step Back
4. Buffalo Bills +1200 on Downward Slide
(Last Week 2, +1200)
The Bills have looked shaky over the last three weeks. Even after they won in Week 6 over the New York Giants, we saw their Super Bowl odds worsen. They were on the wrong end of the week’s biggest upset as they were defeated by the Patriots 29-25. They found themselves trailing for almost the entirety of the game and scored just 10 points until there were about five minutes left in the game. They put themselves in front, but they allowed Mac Jones to drive down the field and throw a go-ahead touchdown to Mike Gesicki with 12 seconds left in the game.
— Taylor Kyles (@tkyles39) October 22, 2023
Last week, I said the Bills have been Jekyll and Hyde, and that truly has been the case so far in 2023. They had incredibly strong showings against the Raiders, Commanders and Dolphins, followed by a disappointing loss to the Jaguars in London, a narrow win over a shorthanded Giants squad, and a brutal loss against a reeling Patriots team.
Buffalo struggled mightily on third downs and in the red zone on Sunday. Josh Allen managed to throw for 265 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for a score in the loss. The loss snapped a four-game winning streak for the Bills against New England. After leading the NFL MVP odds all of September, Allen is now sixth at +1000.
Buffalo has now had three straight poor performances, but the Bills have a chance to right the ship immediately on Thursday Night Football when they host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
5. Cincinnati Bengals +2200 Resume Drive for Super Bowl 58
(Last Week 5, +2200)
The Bengals were on a bye in Week 7, but before that, they were finally rounding into the team we all thought they would be heading into the 2023 season. They defeated the Seattle Seahawks 17-13 before their bye. Coming back in Week 8, they should finally be healthy with Joe Burrow putting his preseason calf injury behind him and hopefully, Tee Higgins is back to full strength.
Before their bye, the Bengals were winners of back-to-back games and currently have a .500 record at 3-3. The Bengals hold steady in our AFC rankings. Up next for Cincinnati is a tough road matchup against the San Francisco 49ers in Week 8, followed by a massive clash with the Bills at home in Week 9. These next two games have a strong likelihood of deciding the Bengals season. Are they true contenders? Stay tuned.
6. Jacksonville Jaguars +2200: Winning Streak Not Boosting Super Bowl Odds
(Last Week, +2200)
The Jaguars are quietly running away with the AFC South title. Despite another impressive win in Week 7, their Super Bowl odds remain the same at 22 to 1. The Jaguars are one of the hottest teams in the NFL right now, with four straight wins as quarterback Trevor Lawrence continues to progress.
The Jaguars faced a quick turnaround and took down the New Orleans Saints on the road Thursday night in Week 7 in a 31-24 win. Travis Etienne is looking like a breakout star this season as he scored two touchdowns in three straight games. The Jaguars’ defense leads the NFL in takeaways with 16. Winning in the Superdome against the Saints is never an easy task for a road team, especially when the Saint’s defense ranked inside the top five in defensive DVOA.
The Jaguars appear to be on a mission this season and have their sights set on another playoff run. They face another tough road test in Week 8 when they travel north to take on a hard-hitting Pittsburgh Steelers squad that’s pushing its way up in the ranks.
— NFL (@NFL) October 20, 2023
Questions Of The Day
What are the two top AFC teams favored to win the Super Bowl this season?
The top two AFC teams favored to win the Super Bowl this season are the Chiefs and Dolphins
Which AFC defensive player is most likely to record multiple sacks or interceptions in the Super Bowl?
The AFC defensive player most likely to record multiple sacks in the Super Bowl is Chiefs defensive lineman Chris Jones.