The AFC had a rough season-opening week. Only six teams in the conference started 1-0, while the other 10 are sitting at 0-1. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers’ injury on Monday Night Football was the headline of bad news. Rodgers suffered a torn Achilles, likely ending the New York Jets’ Super Bowl 58 aspirations.
The Jets pulled off the 22-16 overtime win against the Buffalo Bills. However, New York’s Super Bowl odds skyrocketed to +5000. Few NFL picks could look to back the Jets as they have fallen out of the top five in our Super Bowl rankings. We have more movement, including a new team in the top five.
1. Kansas City Chiefs: +700 to Win Super Bowl 58
Travis Kelce and Chris Jones were absent. Both players are the most important players on the roster next to Patrick Mahomes. Kelce should return within the next week or two. Jones will be back to dominating on the defensive line after agreeing to a one-year contract.
Details: #Chiefs All-Pro Chris Jones will sign a 1-year deal worth up to $25M, sources say. The base of $19.5M remains the same, but he has the chance to make up the fines (and more) with his incentives package. He’ll be a free agent after the season, but KC also has the tag. https://t.co/jB48sQFTNW
— Ian Rapoport (@RapSheet) September 12, 2023
Kansas City’s Super Bowl odds went from +600 to +700. It is now co-favorites with the Philadelphia Eagles and San Francisco 49ers. The Chiefs have a chance to make a statement on the road against the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 2.
2. Buffalo Bills: +1000 to Win Super Bowl 58
The Buffalo Bills were underwhelming in their loss against the Jets. Turnovers remained a major problem for quarterback Josh Allen. He had four turnovers, including a fumble that gifted New York excellent field position in the fourth quarter.
According to Las Vegas NFL odds, Allen is tied for the second-lowest odds for the MVP Award (+900). After Week 1, are we sure about that? Avoiding this futures bet seems wise. Fortunately, most of the contenders in the AFC struggled. The Bills stay at No. 2.
3. Cincinnati Bengals (+1400) to Win Super Bowl 58 Despite Clunker
The Cincinnati Bengals were the most disappointing team among contenders, by a mile. After winning their previous game against the Cleveland Browns in 2022, it felt like Cincinnati may have finally ended the curse. So much for that. The Bengals fell 24-3. The Browns still own Cincy.
Quarterback Joe Burrow had perhaps the worst game of his professional career. This was poor timing after signing a record-breaking extension. He totaled only 82 passing yards. The sportsbook dropped the Bengals to +1400 to win Super Bowl 58, which was +1000 ahead of Week 1.
4. Baltimore Ravens: +1600 to Win Super Bowl 58
The Baltimore Ravens got off to a slow start against the Houston Texans. After leading 7-6 at halftime, the Ravens pulled away to a 25-9 win. It was a game dominated by Baltimore’s defense, which held Houston to 268 total yards.
The “revamped” defense was underwhelming. Quarterback Lamar Jackson totaled only 169 passing yards. Running back J.K. Dobbins suffered a season-ending injury, and safety Marcus Williams is expected to miss substantial time with a torn pec. The injury bug is back yet again. Baltimore could become the NFL betting favorite to win the AFC North with a win over the Bengals in Week 2.
5. Miami Dolphins (+1600) Elevate Bid to Win Super Bowl 58
Now, we get to our new entry into the top five. The Miami Dolphins’ offense was on full show in their 36-34 win over the Los Angeles Chargers. Wide receiver Tyreek Hill set his goal for 2,000 receiving yards during the offseason. After posting 215 yards and two touchdowns, maybe we should take Hill seriously.
This angle of Tua’s DIME to Tyreek Hill 🔥
— PFF (@PFF) September 11, 2023
NFL lines have Hill at +1000 to win Offensive Player of the Year; he is a co-favorite with Justin Jefferson and Christian McCaffrey. Miami’s new-look defense was torched, allowing 433 yards. However, if quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (466 yards) is playing at this rate, the Fins could become serious contenders.
The Cleveland Browns, who are +1800 to win Super Bowl 58, is another team to keep an eye on. They are knocking on the door of the top five after demolishing the Bengals.