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Are Texans Poised to Become Legit Super Bowl Pick?

The Houston Texans have won the early portions of the NFL offseason. Houston traded for a Pro Bowl receiver in Stefon Diggs and a productive running back in Joe Mixon. That’s just the tip of it as the Texans look poised to become a problem. Per the latest NFL updates today, Houston’s outright odds have shortened to win the AFC South. The young contender now has steep expectations heading to next season.


Are Texans Poised to Become Legit Super Bowl Pick?
C.J. Stroud #7 of the Houston Texans | Megan Briggs/Getty Images/AFP

Diggs Addition Headlines Productive Texans Offseason

We all know what Stefon Diggs, a four-time Pro Bowler, did for the Buffalo Bills in 2020. He helped the Bills go from a playoff contender to a Super Bowl threat. Quarterback Josh Allen took his game to the next level with Diggs as his main target. So will Diggs do the same for the Texans?

While Diggs provides quarterback C.J. Stroud a new top receiver, he’s but a new shiny toy that joins a receiver room that is already productive. Nico Collins and Tank Dell were already a formidable tandem. The former recorded 1,297 yards on 80 receptions in just 15 games for Houston.

That’s why Diggs’s receiving yards prop is only set at 949½. This may be the first time he will not produce a 1,000-yard season since 2017. But even if he doesn’t, oddsmakers are bullish on the team’s NFL odds thanks to the team’s other upgrades.

Adding Diggs and Mixon bolsters the offense. But the team also added to the defense, which finished 11th in scoring and 14th in total yards last season.

Houston added defensive end Danielle Hunter, a four-time Pro Bowler from Minnesota. He had a career-high 16.5 sacks last season and will form a fearsome pass rush up front with Will Anderson Jr. The Texans also acquired three players from division rivals.

Defensive tackle (DT) Denico Autry and linebacker Azeez Al-Shaair come over from Tennessee while DT Foley Fatukasi arrives from Jacksonville. Their knowledge of their old teams could help Houston further set itself apart from the AFC South.

Currently, the online sports betting odds have Houston at +110 to win the AFC South again. That’s much shorter than +850 from last offseason.


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Houston May Still Have Problems

The AFC South is still a chaotic division. So we’d caution against betting online on Houston recklessly. Even a -190 line on Houston to make the playoffs is not a safe bet. After all, the Texans have a much tougher schedule this time.

Eleven of Houston’s 17 games are against teams who finished 2023 with a winning record. Houston has a difficult road schedule with visits to Dallas (8-0 at home in 2023), Green Bay and Kansas City. And at home, it’s not much easier as Houston hosts Baltimore (7-1 on the road), Detroit (6-3), Buffalo and Miami (4-4 each).

The Ravens also knocked the Texans out of the playoffs. They even added superstar running back Derrick Henry per NFL football news today. Detroit also made the NFC title game while Kansas City is the back-to-back Super Bowl champion.

There is also the worry of regression and/or injuries for Houston. The Texans went 7-3 in games decided by a touchdown or less. The offensive line was racked by injuries last season and Houston has not added depth so far. Sophomores can also have disappointing campaigns relative to their rookie years.

NFL teams now have the book on Stroud and the Texans. They will not “catch them by surprise” anymore. Now, Houston has the target on its back. Still, Houston is listed at +1400 to win the Super Bowl and +700 to win the AFC.

The Texans better take that next step or 2024 will be a hugely disappointing season.

Maintain your edge in the competition with unparalleled NFL Lines and Vegas NFL Odds.


Questions Of The Day

Will the Texans win 11 or more games in 2024?

The Texans have a regular-season win total of 10½. Most NFL predictions expect them to go under at -140.

Will Stefon Diggs lead the NFL in receiving touchdowns?

Diggs is listed at +2000 to lead the regular season in receiving touchdowns.

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