Best Bets For Chiefs in 2023: Super Bowl Champs or Betting Bust?

· Aug 25 - 3 minutes read

The defending Super Bowl Champions have a lot of work ahead of them if they hope to return to the title game for the third time in five years. But if any team is equipped to win back-to-back titles, it’s the Kansas City Chiefs.

We’ve covered this team from several angles this preseason, but I wanted to include one more. With that in mind, let’s dive into some season-long NFL betting futures for the defending champs.

Best Bets For Chiefs in 2023: Super Bowl Champs or Betting Bust? — Travis Kelce #87 of the Kansas City Chiefs - Norm Hall/Getty Images/afp

Patrick Mahomes to Lead NFL in Passing Touchdowns (+225) & Passing Yards (+325)

Chiefs starting QB Patrick Mahomes presents us an opportunity to reap a significant payday with two winnable future props. According to the current NFL odds, Mahomes is the favorite to lead the NFL in passing touchdowns (+225) and yards (+325).

Mahomes has already led the NFL in passing touchdowns twice in his five-year starting career in the NFL and posted one 50-TD season in 2018. The record is 55, set by Peyton Manning, and Mahomes is the most likely candidate to break it at some point. FYI, Manning did it in just 16 games.

The 2022 season was the first Mahomes led the NFL in passing yards (5.250). But he put up a mighty number, with only Tom Brady (5,316) totaling more yards since Manning in 2013 had 5,477.

The only QBs with 14,000+ passing yards since 2020

♦️ Patrick Mahomes – 14,829
🏖️ Tom Brady – 14,643
⚡️ Justin Herbert – 14,089 pic.twitter.com/pOjokDxQV0

— PFF (@PFF) August 24, 2023

The point of this bet is not to wager these props separately but to parlay them together for maximum profits. If we create an NFL parlay for Mahomes, the odds jump to +1281 and would pay out $1,281.50 on a $100 wager. Considering Mahomes led both categories last season, I love the value these NFL picks present when combined.

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Travis Kelce Over 1100½ Rec Yards (-115)

We can’t talk about Mahomes and not mention his partner in crime, TE Travis Kelce. As a tight end, it’s asking too much for Kelce to lead the NFL in yards. Even in his best season back in 2018, Kelce’s 1,416 yards would have left him in sixth place behind Stefon Diggs.

While getting the 1,700+ yards needed to lead the NFL in receiving yards is unlikely, eclipsing 1,100 is well in Kelce’s wheelhouse.

“Travis Kelce is a champion, twice” pic.twitter.com/ttGp8Vhrop

— BBQ Dom (@RealBBQDom) August 24, 2023

Considering Kelce has at least 1,125 receiving yards in six of his last seven seasons, it’s hard to bet against the guy to do it again in 2023. He showed no signs of his age last season and dominated defenses with 1,338 yards and an impressive 12 touchdown catches.

So far in the preseason, Kelce has one catch on one target for 20 yards. It’s not much to go off of, but it’s a start if nothing else.

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