At the end of Week 13, the Miami Dolphins find themselves on top of the AFC, and if the playoffs started today, they would have a bye week through the first round. That puts the Dolphins in a prime position to be considered one of the best Super Bowl bets.
During the preseason, the lines did not favor the Dolphins to win the Super Bowl but that has changed. Heading into Week 1, Miami’s odds to win the Super Bowl were at +2500. Now, the Dolphins are +750, the fifth-lowest, while having the third-best odds to win the AFC at +300.
The Dolphins’ current positioning within the AFC helps them be an option for NFL best bets to win the Super Bowl, but there are still some overall questions. The most significant is that the Dolphins have only played three teams with a winning record at the time and lost each one.
Miami Dolphins Season Recap
There is a reason why the Dolphins are currently the No.1 seed in the AFC, and that is because of the offense. They have been putting up historical numbers, especially in the early part of the season, which featured a 70-20 win over the Denver Broncos. Miami put up a total of 726 yards in that game, rushing and passing for over 350 each.
However, while the NFL lines were starting to hop onto the Dolphins hype train after dominating the Broncos in Week 3, they immediately suffered their first loss to the Buffalo Bills the following week. That seems to be the biggest issue for the Dolphins this season – an inability to beat the good teams in the league.
While the Bills no longer have a winning record, they were once seen as Super Bowl contenders in the early part of the season. The only two teams the Dolphins have faced with a winning record are the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs, losing both.
That is something to keep in the back of your mind when looking at Super Bowl predictions. Miami has the Dallas Cowboys, Baltimore Ravens and Bills in the season’s final three games. Those three games could be defining moments for this team heading into the playoffs, already favored at -3000 to win the AFC East.
ANOTHER DEEP TOUCHDOWN FOR TYREEK HILL
MOST. VALUABLE. PLAYER. pic.twitter.com/T3VQ7MilyF
— JPAFootball (@jasrifootball) December 3, 2023
On top of that, it does not seem like anyone will be slowing down Tyreek Hill. He is second in receptions (93), first in yards (1,481, 299 more than the next wide receiver), and leads the NFL in receiving touchdowns (12). He is the focal point of the Miami offense, and anything else plays off his success, which could make him an MVP candidate with NFL odds at +1500. Without a clear quarterback front-runner, Hill could have a chance as he bids to become the first wideout with 2,000 receiving yards in a season.
The passing game is built around Hill, but quarterback Tua Tagovailoa also leans heavily on Jaylen Waddle, who has 743 yards – 549 more than the third-leading receiver on the team. Furthermore, because of how electric the passing attack can be, that opens up a lot of running lanes. Miami is second in rushing yards and first in touchdowns on the season.
Some of the concerns for the Dolphins do come on the defensive end. Heading into Week 14, they rank 21st in points allowed but sixth in yards given up. That is kind of a weird position for one of the top teams in the NFL to be in.
However, the defense has improved over recent weeks. After a Week 10 bye week, the Dolphins have allowed 15 or fewer points in three straight games, seemingly figuring things out on that side of the ball. But that should be taken with a grain of salt, with Miami facing the Las Vegas Raiders, New York Jets and Washington Commanders, teams not known for their offense.
Miami Dolphins Super Bowl Predictions
Super Bowl betting on the Dolphins can be interesting. On one hand, this is an elite offense with a defense trending upward. On the other hand, the Dolphins have not beaten a legit playoff team. That makes the betting public very skeptical of how real this team is.
Furthermore, when comparing the Dolphins to the Chiefs or the Ravens, the favorites out of the AFC, it does seem like they are slightly behind. Miami does have an offense that could make things interesting in the playoffs, but not the consistency to reach the Super Bowl yet.
Questions Of The Day
Can Week 14 Results Impact the Dolphins' Super Bowl Chances Among AFC Contenders?
Only if the Dolphins lose, because they will be facing the Tennessee Titans, another team they should beat.
What Key Factor Could Shape the Dolphins' Super Bowl Odds Moving Forward?
One of the biggest factors for the Dolphins is how well Tyreek Hill continues to play and if he can carry that into the playoffs.