With the Bolts desperate and the Bucs looking to improve their hopes of winning the NFC South and reaching the playoffs, let’s find out which team is most likely to cash in against their value-packed Chargers vs Buccaneers betting odds!
The Los Angeles Chargers will look to talented rookie signal-caller Justin Herbert in order to help them pull off the big upset when they hit the road to take on future Hall of Fame quarterback Tom Brady and a Tampa Bay Buccaneers team that will be looking for their third straight victory in Week 4.
| Game: LA Chargers (1-2) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1)
Location: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL Time: 1:00 PM ET |
NFL Betting Lines
| Team | Point Spread | Moneyline | Over/Under | Team Total |
| Chargers +7½ | +5 | +300 | 45 | 17½ |
| Buccaneers -7½ | -5 | -360 | 5745 | 27 |
Chargers vs Buccaneers Betting Odds: Head-to-Head
While these two interconference foes only meet once every four years, Tampa Bay has won two straight. The Bucs recorded a 28-21 home win as a 3.5-point underdog back in 2016, and beat the Bolts 34-24 as a 3-point road favorite in 2012. Prior to that, the Chargers won 41-24 in Tampa in 2008 to cover the spread as a 3.5-point underdog. The Over has gone 2-0-1 during the three-game span.
LA Chargers
Betting Record
| Team | Record | ATS | Home ATS | Away ATS | Fave ATS | Dog ATS | O/U |
| Chargers | 1-2 | 1-1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0-1 | 0-1-1 | 1-0 | 0-3 |
Next game: at Saints
Last Game
The Chargers kicked off their 2020 season by recording a narrow 16-13 win over Cincinnati while narrowly covering the chalk as a 2.5-point road favorite. The Bolts then put up a great effort in their 23-20 Week 2 overtime loss against the defending champion Kansas City Chiefs. The Bolts easily covered the chalk as Herbert passed for 311 yards with one touchdown and one interception.
In Week 3, LA was on the wrong end of a narrow 21-16 loss against Carolina despite the fact that Herbert passed for 330 yards with one TD and one interception despite failing to cover as a 6-point home favorite. Even in defeat, Herbert became the third quarterback since the merger to throw for 300 yards in his first two starts.
“I’m disappointed in the loss. Those are games that you’d love to win, but turn the ball over three times, you can’t expect to win,” Herbert said.
Stats Pack
The Chargers are ranked fifth in total offense, seventh in passing and sixth in rushing, but also rank an uninspiring 29th in scoring (17.3 ppg). Defensively, the Bolt are ranked an impressive ninth overall, an identical ninth against the pass, 11th against the run and stellar fourth in points allowed (19.0 ppg).
No Heckling Ekeler!
Fourth-year running back Austin Ekeler might not exactly be a household name, but the way he’s been playing this season suggests he should be. The unheralded former Western State star has 236 rushing yards and one touchdown while averaging 5.0 yards per carry. Ekeler also has 16 receptions for an additional 142 yards to give him an impressive 378 yards from scrimmage.
Injury Report
NIck Vigil – LB – Questionable
Chris Harris – CB – Out
Justin Jackson – RB – Questionable
Tyrod Taylor – QB – Doubtful
Trai Turner – G – Questionable
Melvin Ingram – DE – Out
Bryan Bulaga – T – Questionable
Mike Williams – WR – Questionable
Players to Fade
Second-year tight end Jalen Guyton is the one player you want to fade this week for LA. The 23-year-old former North Texas star has a modest four catches this season, although he did have two grabs for 23 yards in Week 3. Playing alongside leading receiver, tight end Hunter Henry (16 receptions), and wide receivers, Mike Williams (7 catches) and Keenan Allen (8 catches), Guyton just isn’t going to catch many passes this season.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Betting Record
| Team | Record | ATS | Home ATS | Away ATS | Fave ATS | Dog ATS | O/U |
| Buccaneers | 2-1 | 2-1 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 |
Next game: at Bears
Last Game
The Buccaneers got humbled in their regular-season opener by falling at New Orleans 34-23 while failing to cash in as a 4-point underdog. Tom Brady and company bounced back nicely in Week 2 to beat Teddy Bridgewater and the division rival Carolina Panthers 31-17 while easily covering the chalk as a 7.5-point home favorite. Tampa Bay then cruised to an easy 28-10 win over Denver to cash in as a 6-point road favorite as Brady passed for 297 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions. Mike Evans hauled in two of those TD tosses.
Stats Pack
The Buccaneers are ranked 25th in total offense, 18th in passing, 27th in rushing and 14th in scoring (27.3 ppg). Defensively, Tampa Bay ranks fourth overall, 14th against the pass, third against the run and seventh in points allowed (20.3 ppg).
Tom’s Terrific…Kind Of!
While Tom Brady is a sure-fire first-ballot Hall of Famer, he’s been solid, if not spectacular through three games with Tampa Bay – although he’s trending in the right direction heading into Week 4. After tossing two touchdowns and two picks in Week 1, Brady threw one TD pass – and another pick in Week 2. After throwing three touchdown passes and no picks last weekend, Brady has six TD passes and three picks. More importantly, he has a passer rating of 92.0, which is better than the 88.0 rating he posted in his final season in New England a year ago, but still ranks as the third-worst passer rating of his career. Brady will be tested by a Chargers defense that ranks fourth in points allowed.
Injury Report
Scott Miller – WR – Questionable
Justin Watson – WR – Questionable
Chris Godwin – WR – Doubtful
Sean Murphy-Bunting – Questionable
Travis Jonsen – WR – Questionable
Players to Fade
Running back LeSean McCoy might be nicknamed ‘Shady’ but he’s been more like a shadow of his former self in rushing one time in three games for -5 yards. He has added eight catches for 52 yards. Playing behind Ronald Jones and Leonard Fournette, McCoy just won’t put up big numbers in 2020.
Chargers vs Buccaneers Betting Odds for the Game
Point Spread
The Chargers have gone a blistering 11-4-2 ATS in their last 17 road games and 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog. Unfortunately, the Bolts are also 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October, 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss and 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Tampa Bay has gone 5-1 ATS in their last six games against a team with a losing record, 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite and 5-2-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Buccaneers are also just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 4 and 1-6-2 ATS in their last 9 home games.
Moneyline
Los Angeles has gone 1-5 SU in its last six games while going 1-4 SU in their last five road dates against the Buccaneers. Tampa Bay is 6-3 SU in their last nine games, but just 3-8 SU in their last 11 home games. The Bucs are also 3-7 SU in their last 10 games against the Chargers.
Over/Under
The Over is 7-1 in the Chargers last 8 road games against a team with a winning home record and 14-3 in the Bolts’ last 17 Week 4 games. The Under is 4-1 in the Chargers last 5 games overall and 8-2 in their last 10 games in October.
The Over is 5-0 in Tampa Bay’s last 5 games as a home favorite and 7-1 in their last 8 home games. The Over is also 14-3 in Tampa’s last 17 games overall and 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
