Game: Indianapolis Colts (8-4) vs Las Vegas Raiders (7-5)
Location: Allegiant Stadium
Time: Sunday, Dec. 13 at 4:05 p.m. ET
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NFL betting is the most popular form of online sports betting, and the regular season is in the home stretch. There are only four weeks left to capitalize on these gridiron gambling opportunities, so let’s get down to it. Our sportsbook’s most recent NFL odds show the Colts as 2½-point road favorites vs the Raiders in Las Vegas on Sunday.
Indianapolis and Las Vegas are currently ranked seventh and eighth, respectively, regarding the AFC Wild-Card race. This game means a great deal to each team, and we can expect a ferocious battle from the opening kickoff up until the final whistle. Both the Colts and Raiders have solid Super Bowl Odds, and neither squad wants to miss the big dance. Let’s determine who has the edge, and which wagers make the most dollars and sense (see what I did there?).
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Next game: vs Texans
The Colts and Texans engaged in a good old-fashioned AFC South slugfest last week in Houston. The game was close right up until the end, but Indianapolis dominated the clock and ultimately played better overall defense. All the offensive scoring occurred in the first half, including a 39-yard TD catch by RB Jonathan Taylor on fourth-and-four.
The only points in the second half came on a fourth-quarter safety by Colts’ DE Justin Houston. The Texans blew an excellent opportunity to take the lead late in the game when they fumbled in the red zone. Indianapolis recovered the errant snap, effectively killing Houston’s comeback drive, and the Colts went on to win 26-20.
Indy QB Phillip Rivers played well, completing 27-of-35 passes for 285 yards and two touchdowns. WR T.Y. Hilton enjoyed his best game of the season, hauling in eight balls for 110 yards and a score. Hilton has scored a touchdown in consecutive contests and is hitting a stride with Rivers. Taylor was the real offensive star of the game though, stacking up 135 all-purpose yards and hitting paydirt twice.
Las Vegas Raiders
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Next game: vs Chargers
If the Raiders had been playing anyone other than the Jets, they’d have lost their third straight game. Las Vegas should be 6-6 right now, but NY is generous and gave Da Raidizz an early Christmas present. After scoring 15 fourth-quarter points to take the lead 28-24, the Jets defense collapsed to allow the game-winning touchdown.
Raiders’ QB Derek Carr connected with WR Henry Ruggs III on a 46-yard score, leaving five seconds on the clock. Inexplicably, Ruggs III was wide open, and Carr’s desperation bomb was placed perfectly. Las Vegas came back from the dead to defeat NY in MetLife Stadium by the final score of 31-28.
Carr was hit and miss all game, but managed to pile up 381 yards and three TDs on 28-of-47 passing. TE Darren Waller had a career day against the Jets, reeling in 13 passes for a remarkable 200 yards and two touchdowns. RB Devontae Booker played decently in place of the injured Josh Jacobs (ankle), tallying 50 yards on 16 carries.
Betting on the Game
The Colts are 7-4 ATS as a favorite this season, and 4-2 ATS on the road. The Raiders are above .500 ATS both at home and as an underdog in 2020, but they’re wobbly right now. Las Vegas barely escaped NY with a victory against the lowly Jets last week. The Raiders are not expecting Jacobs to return to the backfield vs the Colts, and the Indianapolis D is strong. Indy should cover the 2 ½ -point spread in Vegas fairly easily.
The Colts and Raiders have each won three of their previous five contests, but it’s clear that Indianapolis has the superior team. Las Vegas lost a close game against Kansas City, but followed that up by getting stomped in Atlanta and needing a miracle to beat a winless NY team. This is simply a bad matchup for the Raiders right now, and the Colts are going to overpower them. Putting $100 on Indy at -145 yields a profit of $68.97 when they win.
The over is teasing us here, begging us to bet on it. Don’t listen! Think of the Song of the Siren, and tie yourself to the mast (or your recliner). The under is the play here, because the Raiders’ offense is not currently in sync, especially without Jacobs. If we eliminate Waller’s dominant performance and the miracle bomb that won the game, Las Vegas is flat. The Colts’ will bottle Waller up, and the Raiders will be forced to earn every yard they gain. Remember the six-point performance from two weeks ago vs the Falcons. This stout Indianapolis defense is ranked seventh against the rush and the pass, and it’ll be tough sledding for Vegas.