The Houston Texans aren’t expected to be competitive at all in 2022. BetUS sportsbook has the Texans finishing at the bottom of the AFC South. And if their projected 4½ total for regular season wins is anything to go by, they’re also the likeliest to prop up the AFC and league as a whole when all is said and done.
If you’re a forward-thinking NFL bettor, as we are, then read on for our way too early game-by-game predictions for the Houston Texans. We dive into their NFL schedule, examine the NFL odds and take into consideration the latest NFL news, trades, injury reports and more before delivering our NFL predictions.
2022 NFL Futures – Houston Texans
- Super Bowl LVII — +25000
- AFC Conference – +12500
- AFC South – +2000
- Regular Season Win Totals O 4½ -105 / U 4½ -125
Is Lovie Smith the Answer?
Lovie Smith was the defensive coordinator and associate head coach on David Culley’s staff, which guided Houston to its disappointing 4-13-0 run in 2021. After firing Culley, General Manager Nick Caserio cast the net wide in his search for a replacement, interviewing multiple candidates over a month-long period. However, in the end, the best man for the job was right under their noses. Go figure!
Smith is the Texan’s third head coach in three seasons. In two previous head coaching stints, Smith enjoyed various highs and lows — from famously coaching the Chicago Bears for nine seasons and taking them to the Super Bowl in 2006 to being fired from the Tampa Bay Buccaneers after just two seasons and an 8-24-0 record.
Popular opinion is divided about the 64-year-old and whether he’s the right man for the job. Truth is, he hasn’t got a lot to work with. He inherits a team in total shambles and going through a major rebuild after back-to-back four-win seasons. It’s thin on talent, morale is low, second-year quarterback Davis Mills is a wild card and the organization’s culture has come under fire in the fallout of Deshaun Watson’s legal woes.
Growth and progress is the goal of any team and the Texans improved toward that end. But with the league as a whole doing the same, one wonders how tangible (if at all) will their results be? Will they actually get more wins than they did last season?
Find out as we get into the nitty and gritty of their NFL schedule and offer up our way too early predictions.
Houston Texans Game-by-Game Predictions
Week 1 vs Indianapolis Colts, Sunday, Sept. 11, 2022, 1 p.m. ET
Fun Fact: The Colts have lost their season opener in eight straight seasons. That trend gives the Texans some room for optimism. However, the Colts are the better team, even though they will be debuting a new quarterback in Matt Ryan. The Colts crushed the Texans by a combined 62-3 last season.
Week 2 at Denver Broncos, Sunday, Sept. 18, 2022, 4:25 p.m. ET
Acquiring Russell Wilson has catapulted the Broncos into contention in the AFC. They had a sound defense last season and now they have a viable quarterback as well. This is going to be a tough matchup for the Texans. (Mills and the Texans faced Wilson in Seattle last season and lost 33-13.)
Week 3 at Chicago Bears, Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, 1 p.m. ET
The Texans descend on Lovie Smith’s old stomping grounds, where he spent the best part of his head coaching career. Much like the Texans, the Bears are in transition this year. They might have the better quarterback in Justin Fields, but not much else.
Week 4 vs Los Angeles Chargers, Sunday, Oct. 2, 2022, 1 p.m. ET
The Texans beat four teams in 2021, one of which was LAthe Chargers in a 41-29 shocker at NRG Stadium. The Chargers will be looking to atone for that disappointment when they return to Houston.
Week 5 at Jacksonville Jaguars, Sunday, Oct. 9, 2022, 1 p.m. ET
The Texans put together a two-game winning streak in 2021, beating the Jaguars in Jacksonville (Week 15) and then the Chargers (Week 16). This year, they face the pair in succession but earlier in the season and in reverse order. With Doug Pederson at the helm, this will be a different Jacksonville team in some respects. Having said that, this is a winnable game.
Week 6 BYE
Week 7 at Las Vegas Raiders, Sunday, Oct, 23, 2022 4:05 p.m. ET
The Raiders were aggressive in the offseason, revamping their coaching staff and hiring new head coach Josh McDaniels and then acquiring one of the most enviable wide receivers in the market, Davante Adams. Need one say more?
Week 8 vs Tennessee Titans, Sunday, Oct 30, 2022, 4:05 p.m. ET
The Texans delivered one of the biggest upsets when they beat the Titans 22-13 in Week 11 last season. They very nearly pulled off the upset in Week 18 too, before settling on the narrow 28-25 loss. Divisional games are unpredictable often, bringing out the best in teams. That said, it’s hard to see that happening again this year.
Week 9 vs Philadelphia Eagles, Thursday, Nov. 3, 2022, 8:15 p.m. ET
Following a physical divisional showdown with the Titans, the Texans face a quick turnaround for a Thursday Night Football showdown against the Philadelphia Eagles. That might be just what the doctor ordered. The Eagles have a talented roster, but quarterback Jalen Hurts is a big question mark. While everything here suggests the Eagles should have the upper hand, the Texans are the sort of team that will punch above its weight class from time to time.
Week 10 at New York Giants, Sunday, Nov.13, 2022, 1 p.m. ET
Talking about questionable quarterbacks, there’s none with a more doubtful future than Giants quarterback Daniel Jones. This year would appear to be his last chance to show he is the long-term answer, so there’s going to be a lot of pressure placed on the 25-year-old. Good news for Smith and the Texans: Jones crumbles under pressure. Expect the Texans to get after Jones and win this game.
Week 11 vs Washington Commanders, Sunday, Nov. 20, 2022, 1 p.m. ET
Washington will go as far as Carson Wentz will take them this season. It’s impossible to say which Wentz shows up in this game because the embattled quarterback has blown hot and cold in recent seasons. That said, Wentz and the Colts shredded the Texans by a combined 62-3 last season.
Week 12 at Miami Dolphins, Sunday, Nov. 27, 2022, 1 p.m. ET
Is Tua Tagovailoa the franchise quarterback Miami believed he could be when they drafted him No. 5 overall in 2020? His first two seasons were so underwhelming statistically that now there is genuine concern about the once highly touted college quarterback and his future in Miami. In all likelihood, this season, with new head coach Mike McDaniel at the helm, will provide a definitive answer. Talent-wise, the Dolphins have enough of an advantage to clinch the win at home.
Week 13 vs Cleveland Browns, Sunday, Dec. 4, 2022, 1 p.m. ET
Everybody and their grandmother will be cheering for the Texans to win this game, especially if the NFL clears Deshaun Watson to play in time for this Week 13 reunion at NRG Stadium.
Week 14 vs Dallas Cowboys, Sunday, Dec. 11, 2022, 1 p.m. ET
Even though the Cowboys made some controversial moves this offseason, trading away Amari Cooper and releasing La’el Collins, the talent gap is too wide between these two outfits. The Texans are sure to fight valiantly, but the Cowboys should win regardless.
Week 15 vs Kansas City Chiefs, Sunday, Dec. 18, 2022, 1 p.m. ET
Not long ago, the Texans gave the Chiefs a run for their money in the playoffs and very nearly delivered the upset. Those were the golden days of the Watson era. Today, this isn’t the same Texans team anymore. It is, however, the same Chiefs team, if not better.
Week 16 at Tennessee Titans, Sunday, Dec 24, 2022, 1 p.m. ET
The Titans were embarrassed at Nissan Stadium by the Texans, losing 22-13 in Week 11 last season. This won’t happen again, however. If the Titans are in the AFC South race and the playoff race for seedings, they’ll be buckling down in the final weeks of the season and fighting hard for every win.
Week 17 vs Jacksonville Jaguars, Sunday, Jan 1, 2023, 1 p.m. ET
The Texans swept the Jaguars in 2021. They’ll sweep them again this season.
Week 18 at Indianapolis Colts, Sunday, Jan 8, 2023, TBD
Could it be déjà vu all over again for the Colts? Last season, they needed a win in Week 18 but lost instead to the Jaguars. The blame was placed at Carson Wentz’s feet then. Who will be to blame if it happens again? It’s an interesting thought, but doing it on the road is going to be a big ask.
Houston Texans Regular Season Win Total Betting Verdict:
We have the Texans going 6-11-0 in their first season with Lovie Smith. Thus, going over the 4½ regular season win total currently trading at the sports betting exchange. Whether this marginal improvement is enough to save Smith’s job, remains to be seen.