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Is an NFC South 4-Peat in the Cards for Buccaneers in 2024?

Is it time to roll out some classic Rodney Dangerfield “I don’t get no respect” clips when previewing the potential of the 2024 Tampa Bay Buccaneers? Tampa Bay is the three-time defending NFC South champion and signed most of its key free agents. only to be behind the Atlanta Falcons in the NFC South Division title odds.

The NFL odds have Tampa Bay priced at +290 to win another NFC South title. Atlanta is currently at -125 to win its first division title since 2016, with New Orleans not far behind the Buccaneers at +350 to dethrone Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers are tied for ninth at +3000 in the odds of representing the NFC in the Super Bowl.

Is an NFC South 4-Peat in the Cards for Buccaneers in 2024?
Baker Mayfield #6 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers/Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images/AFP

When looking at the NFL futures odds, there are 20 teams with better odds of winning the Super Bowl than the Buccaneers, even after Tampa Bay rolled past defending Super Bowl champion Philadelphia in its 2023 playoff opener.

Tampa Bay opens its preseason schedule on the road against the Cincinnati Bengals on Aug. 10 before staying in Florida to face the Jacksonville Jaguars and Miami Dolphins.

 

 

Bucs, Lions to Meet Again

Tampa Bay’s 2023 season ended with an eight-point playoff loss on the road against the Detroit Lions.

After opening the 2024 regular season listed by the NFL spreads as a 4-point favorite against the Washington Commanders and No. 2 overall pick Jayden Daniels, Tampa Bay plays its road opener at the same site where its Super Bowl dreams came to an end in Week 2.

Along with a Week 4 showdown with the Philadelphia Eagles, there are some intriguing matchups in the first four games of the season.

Tampa Bay was 4-5 against the spread at home a season ago but 9-4 when listed by the sportsbook odds as the underdog.

 

Mayfield, Evans Among Key Returnees

Re-signing quarterback Baker Mayfield, receiver Mike Evans, safety Antoine Winfield and linebacker Lavonte David was not going to be easy but it was at the top of the offseason wish list for the Buccaneers.

Tampa Bay managed to bring all four of them back for the 2024 season so it is easy to excuse the Buccaneers for not actively pursuing other team’s free agents.

Tampa Bay did recently sign veteran receiver Sterling Shepard and added guard Ben Bredeson. On defense, Randy Gregory was signed to help a pass rush that will miss Shaq Barrett. Linebacker Devin White and cornerback Carlton Davis are also gone.

Tavierre Thomas, Bryce Hall, and former Buccaneer Jordan Whitehead were signed to help in the secondary.

Tampa Bay also addressed the issues in the interior offensive line when Duke center Graham Barton was picked in the first round.

 

Taking Care of Business in the NFC South

Since the start of the 2021 season, only the Dallas Cowboys, Kansas City Chiefs, Buffalo Bills and San Francisco 49ers have a better record in division games than Tampa Bay’s 12-6 mark versus NFC South competition. It hasn’t always been pretty as Tampa Bay has covered in nine of those 18 games.

Tampa Bay doesn’t play its first NFC South game until Oct. 3 when it heads to Atlanta. Ten days later, the Buccaneers are on the road again to face New Orleans. After a matchup with AFC North betting favorite Baltimore, the Buccaneers have a rematch with the Falcons.

That four-game stretch could determine whether the Buccaneers will be in the running for a fourth consecutive division title.

The regular season ends with the final two games coming against the Carolina Panthers and the New Orleans Saints.

Tampa Bay has won three of the last four games against the Saints with the last five games going under the total. The Buccaneers are 7-1 outright and 6-2 against the spread versus Carolina since 2020. During that same stretch, they are 6-2 against Atlanta.

 

A Pair of Super Matchups

Thanks to playing a first-place schedule, the Buccaneers not only get to play the two teams who met in the most recent Super Bowl, but those games come in back-to-back weeks.

Tampa Bay travels to meet the two-time defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs on Nov. 4. The Monday Night game will be on national television.

Six days later, Tampa Bay is at home to meet up with reigning NFC champion San Francisco. There is also a late-season game against the Dallas Cowboys so there will be some tough tests in the second half of the regular season.

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NFC South 4-Peat Will Not Be Easy

Tampa Bay’s recent drafts have provided some key additions to the roster. Tampa Bay has continued to add pass rushers as Yaya Diaby and Caliyah Kancey combined for 11½ sacks a season ago.


The Buccaneers used its second-round pick on Alabama defensive end Chris Braswell as they look to make life difficult for the NFC South quarterbacks.

Tampa Bay can use the hype being thrown Atlanta’s way to its advantage. When considering the NFL picks, keep in mind that Tampa Bay won the division despite being 3-5 in one-score games so the Buccaneers haven’t been doing it with smoke and mirrors.

This is going to be one of the most competitive divisions with Atlanta, Tampa Bay and New Orleans all having the talent to win the NFC South. Carolina should be an improved team, making it more challenging for the NFC South contenders.

Mayfield throwing the ball to Evans, Chris Godwin, tight end Cade Otton and running back Rachaad White could make Tampa Bay a tough team to deal with. If the cornerbacks provide solid play, watch out for the Buccaneers.

The expectations are on the low side for the Buccaneers with -110 odds to either go over or under eight wins during the regular season. Going with Tampa Bay to go over that number seems like the best way to proceed.

 

 

 

Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.

 

Questions Of The Day

Do the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have the toughest schedule in the NFL?


Tampa Bay’s opponents had a winning percentage of .478 in 2023. Only four teams have easier schedules – on paper. Three of them happen to play in the NFC South with New Orleans having the easiest schedule followed by Atlanta and New Orleans.

Which Tampa Bay players have the best odds to win NFL individual awards?


Defensive end Chris Braswell is in the top 20 in the NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year odds with quarterback Baker Mayfield in the top 25 in the regular season Most Valuable Player odds.

 

 

Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.

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